(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 6
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MARINE FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Thiago Alves 10 2 12 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 8 2 10
Sw Alfredo Herrera 4 2 6 Df Mateo Hernández 5 0 5
Df Niall Dunn 7 -1 6 Df Ellis Fisher 4 0 4
Df Ryan Richardson 7 0 7 Df Zadok Chazan 3 2 5
Df Afonso Gomes 4 2 6 Df Kyle Harris 3 2 5
Mf Jack Barry 8 0 8 Mf Luca Cole 4 1 5
Mf Adi Peretz 8 0 8 Mf Luke Terry 3 2 5
Mf Rory MacDonald 4 2 6 Mf Nick Weiss 3 2 5
Fw Joel Sansom 7 0 7 Fw Peter East 16 2 18
Fw Reuben Dowson 6 0 6 Fw Gabriel Whiteside 6 2 8
Fw Alexander Murphy 4 2 6 Fw Moritz Hofmann 6 0 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 6 19 22 19 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 19 15 32
0 0 2 2 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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12 6 24 27 24 T O T A L S 10 0 19 15 32
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 6
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.57 (no red card)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 95.22 (no red card)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 91.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.1 (no red card)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 75.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.0 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 4.26 (no red card)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 79.65 (no red card)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 66.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.71 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 87.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 21.73 (no red card)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 99.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 23.66 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 73.4 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.36 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.33 (no red card)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.01 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.67 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.34 (no red card)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.82 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.3 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.82 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.67 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 71.02 (no injury)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.91 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.79 (no injury)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no injury)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.87 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.66 (no injury)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.74 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.76 (no injury)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.5 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.21 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.8 (no injury)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 34.77 (no injury)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 43.77 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.18 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Zadok Chazan loses 6 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Zadok Chazan new match skill level = 2
Zadok Chazan new match total level = 4
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 98.86 (no injury)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 57.1 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 48.63 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 64.62 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 65.22 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jack Barry SL 8
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 8
intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Peter East SL 16
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 12 6 24 27 24
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 18 15 32
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 6 (24 - 18); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((27 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 3; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Mf Rory MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 82.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Jack Barry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 28.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jack Barry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Adi Peretz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Jack Barry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 91.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Mf Adi Peretz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 18 15 32
Marine FC 12 6 24 27 24
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 8 (32 - 24); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 24) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
MARINE FC 3 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
Match Notes
Home game for you Derek, good luck.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/12 - 10:21 PM