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Monday, February 16th, 2026 - 11:51:23 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             12    2   14     Gk Ryan Walsh             14    2   16
Sw Danny Butcher          12    2   14     Sw Rendor Veres           16    2   18
Df Mason Shaw             10    2   12     Df Christopher McLachlan  13    2   15
Df Jared Lampton           7    2    9     Df Adam Clarke             7    2    9
Mf Ryan White             10    2   12     Mf Lior Tal               13    2   15
Mf Lewis Coppell          10    2   12     Mf Robert O'Neal           7    2    9
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       7    2    9     Fw Markus Laursen         13    2   15
Mf Francis Jankel          3    2    5     Fw Abe Chavez             11    2   13
Fw Leo O'Donnell           7    2    9     Fw Yong Sun  Yoo           7    2    9
Fw Tyler MacDonald         7    2    9     Fw Ian Lee                 7    2    9
Fw Kai Roberts             3    2    5     Fw Francis Wilson          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 21 38 23        ROSTER TOTALS      16 18 24 24 51    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 21 47 23         T O T A L S       16 18 24 24 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 93.16 (no red card)

Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.03 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.1 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.1 (no second yellow)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.93 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.55 (no red card)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.25 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.75 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card)

Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.46 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.35 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.19 (no red card)

Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.93 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.68 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.68 (no red card)

Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.37 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.5 (no red card)

Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.4 (no red card)

Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.56 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.12 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 24.44 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.29 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.47 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.04 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.16 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.61 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.99 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.01 (no injury) 
Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.03 (no injury) 
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.62 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.94 (no injury) 
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.36 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.79 (no injury) 
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.34 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.27 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mason Shaw SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 14

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Christopher McLachlan SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15  14  21  47  23
  Burton Albion FC         16  18  24  24  51

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 24)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((47 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 79.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         16  18  24  24  51
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15  14  21  47  23

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 30 (51 - 21); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Christopher McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Yong Sun  Yoo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 89.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Abe Chavez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1  -  BURTON ALBION FC 4
 
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