(N)
Netherlands
Roger Mendonça
Japan
Rob Peterson
WC MD4
🏟️ NRG Stadium, Houston | 👥 72,220
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NETHERLANDS JAPAN
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Bart Verbruggen 11 1 12 Gk Zion Suzuki 10 1 11
Sw Jurriën Timber 13 1 14 Sw Kō Itakura 10 1 11
Df Virgil van Dijk 13 1 14 Df Hiroki Itō 10 1 11
Df Jan Paul van Hecke 11 1 12 Df Takehiro Tomiyasu 10 1 11
Mf Ryan Gravenberch 13 1 14 Df Yukinari Sugawara 10 1 11
Mf Teun Koopmeiners 13 1 14 Mf Takefusa Kubo 12 1 13
Fw Cody Gakpo 13 1 14 Mf Wataru Endo 14 1 15
Fw Brian Brobbey 13 1 14 Mf Ao Tanaka 10 1 11
Fw Justin Kluivert 11 1 12 Mf Ritsu Dōdan 10 1 11
Fw Noa Lang 11 1 12 Fw Ayase Ueda 10 1 11
Fw Donyell Malen 11 1 12 Fw Keisuke Gotō 8 1 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 14 26 28 64 ROSTER TOTALS 11 11 33 50 20
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 DEFENSE COACH 0 0 2 0 0
=======================================================================
13 14 26 28 64 T O T A L S 11 14 39 50 20
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NETHERLANDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Bart Verbruggen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 62.19 (no red card)
Sw Jurriën Timber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.57 (no red card)
Df Virgil van Dijk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.7 (no red card)
Df Jan Paul van Hecke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.13 (no red card)
Mf Ryan Gravenberch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)
Mf Teun Koopmeiners: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)
Fw Cody Gakpo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.07 (no red card)
Fw Brian Brobbey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.79 (no red card)
Fw Justin Kluivert: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.97 (no red card)
Fw Noa Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.64 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Noa Lang new match skill level = 6
Noa Lang new match total level = 7
Fw Donyell Malen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.11 (no red card)
******* JAPAN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Zion Suzuki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.08 (no red card)
Sw Kō Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.37 (no red card)
Df Hiroki Itō: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.7 (no red card)
Df Takehiro Tomiyasu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)
Df Yukinari Sugawara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.97 (no red card)
Mf Takefusa Kubo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)
Mf Wataru Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.44 (no red card)
Mf Ao Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.84 (no red card)
Mf Ritsu Dōdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.07 (no red card)
Fw Ayase Ueda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.83 (no red card)
Fw Keisuke Gotō: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NETHERLANDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Netherlands Team Hardness = 1
- Japan Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Bart Verbruggen: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 85.77 (no injury)
Sw Jurriën Timber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.84 (no injury)
Df Virgil van Dijk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.95 (no injury)
Df Jan Paul van Hecke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.38 (no injury)
Mf Ryan Gravenberch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.81 (no injury)
Mf Teun Koopmeiners: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.37 (no injury)
Fw Cody Gakpo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.23 (no injury)
Fw Brian Brobbey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.41 (no injury)
Fw Justin Kluivert: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.35 (no injury)
Fw Noa Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.47 (no injury)
Fw Donyell Malen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no injury)
******* JAPAN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Japan Team Hardness = 0
- Netherlands Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Zion Suzuki: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 83.77 (no injury)
Sw Kō Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.09 (no injury)
Df Hiroki Itō: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.81 (no injury)
Df Takehiro Tomiyasu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.87 (no injury)
Df Yukinari Sugawara: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.44 (no injury)
Mf Takefusa Kubo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.95 (no injury)
Mf Wataru Endo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.37 (no injury)
Mf Ao Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.69 (no injury)
Mf Ritsu Dōdan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.28 (no injury)
Fw Ayase Ueda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.45 (no injury)
Fw Keisuke Gotō: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.0 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* JAPAN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Virgil van Dijk SL 13
- Defending Gk: Zion Suzuki SL 10
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* NETHERLANDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Wataru Endo SL 14
- Defending Gk: Bart Verbruggen SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NETHERLANDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Netherlands 13 14 26 28 59
Japan 11 14 39 50 20
Netherlands Fw Attacks = 20 (59 - 39); result rounded up
Netherlands Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 50) / 2; rounded up)
Netherlands Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Netherlands Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Df Jan Paul van Hecke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Virgil van Dijk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 88.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Brian Brobbey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Donyell Malen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Brian Brobbey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Justin Kluivert
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Justin Kluivert
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 30.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Noa Lang
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Cody Gakpo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Justin Kluivert
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Noa Lang
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Donyell Malen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Justin Kluivert
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
******* JAPAN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Japan 11 14 39 50 20
Netherlands 13 14 26 28 59
Japan is Playing For A Draw!
Japan Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 26)
Japan Mf Attacks = 6 ((50 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Japan Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Japan Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Takefusa Kubo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Wataru Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Takefusa Kubo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Takefusa Kubo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Ritsu Dōdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
Shaman VAR Review (offside): 2% chance | Roll = 9
6: Attack for Mf Ritsu Dōdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NETHERLANDS 2 - JAPAN 1
Match Notes
The Samurai are ready to kick off this World Cup with a pivotal challenge. Our metal shall be tested immediately against group favorites in the Oranje from the Netherlands. A draw will be a positive outcome here.
Rob (Japan) 06/08 - 5:29 PM
That’s a hell of a midfield Mr Peterson.
Roger (Netherlands) 06/09 - 3:54 PM
Should be like an Elite 8 match...
Allan (Mexico) 06/11 - 1:40 AM
As close as this looks, Netherlands are ~2 points higher in T11 and T16.
Brian (Germany) 06/12 - 5:53 PM
That being said, I think this might be a low scoring draw.
Brian (Germany) 06/12 - 5:53 PM
MASSIVE FIXTURE...
Allan (Mexico) 06/13 - 12:34 AM
OOH, this was a close one. There's just too much firepower in that Netherlands squad.
Rob (Japan) 06/14 - 7:45 PM
Nearly a tale of two sweepers. Lucky to have scraped that one
Roger (Jordan) 06/14 - 8:07 PM
Closer than I would have expected (but not as close as the draw I had predicted)
Brian (Tunisia) 06/16 - 4:52 PM