(N)
Belgium
Mike Parnaby
Egypt
James Bucknall
WC MD5
🏟️ Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta | 👥 71,000
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S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BELGIUM EGYPT
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Thibaut Courtois 13 1 14 Gk Mohamed El Shenawy 10 1 11
Sw Arthur Theate 11 1 12 Sw Mohamed Abdelmonem 10 1 11
Df Timothy Castagne 11 1 12 Df Ahmed Fatouh 8 1 9
Df Brandon Mechele 11 1 12 Df Mohamed Hany 8 1 9
Df Thomas Meunier 11 1 12 Df Yasser Ibrahim 8 1 9
Mf Kevin De Bruyne 15 1 16 Df Karim Hafez 8 1 9
Mf Amadou Onana 13 1 14 Df Ramy Rabia 8 1 9
Mf Nicolas Raskin 11 1 12 Mf Hamdy Fathy 10 1 11
Fw Jérémy Doku 15 1 16 Mf Emam Ashour 10 1 11
Fw Charles De Ketelaere 13 1 14 Fw Mohamed Salah 14 1 15
Fw Romelu Lukaku 13 1 14 Fw Omar Marmoush 12 1 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 12 36 42 44 ROSTER TOTALS 11 11 45 22 28
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 5 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 0 DEFENSE COACH 0 0 2 0 0
=======================================================================
14 12 38 42 49 T O T A L S 11 11 49 22 30
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BELGIUM YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thibaut Courtois: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.33 (no red card)
Sw Arthur Theate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.4 (no red card)
Df Timothy Castagne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.18 (no red card)
Df Brandon Mechele: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.27 (no red card)
Df Thomas Meunier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)
Mf Kevin De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.73 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Kevin De Bruyne new match skill level = 8
Kevin De Bruyne new match total level = 9
Mf Amadou Onana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.44 (no red card)
Mf Nicolas Raskin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.62 (no red card)
Fw Jérémy Doku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.56 (no red card)
Fw Charles De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.43 (no red card)
Fw Romelu Lukaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.02 (no red card)
******* EGYPT YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mohamed El Shenawy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.22 (no red card)
Sw Mohamed Abdelmonem: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 44.88 (no red card)
Df Ahmed Fatouh: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.58 (no red card)
Df Mohamed Hany: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 58.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)
Df Yasser Ibrahim: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 54.47 (no red card)
Df Karim Hafez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 67.49 (no red card)
Df Ramy Rabia: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 95.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.82 (no red card)
Mf Hamdy Fathy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 36.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 68.11 (no red card)
Mf Emam Ashour: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 85.18 (no red card)
Fw Mohamed Salah: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.69 (no red card)
Fw Omar Marmoush: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 80.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 21.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BELGIUM CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Belgium Team Hardness = 0
- Egypt Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Thibaut Courtois: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.41 (no injury)
Sw Arthur Theate: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 36.56 (no injury)
Df Timothy Castagne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no injury)
Df Brandon Mechele: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 6.84 (no injury)
Df Thomas Meunier: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no injury)
Mf Kevin De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury)
Mf Amadou Onana: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no injury)
Mf Nicolas Raskin: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.44 (no injury)
Fw Jérémy Doku: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 26.77 (no injury)
Fw Charles De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 77.46 (no injury)
Fw Romelu Lukaku: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 0.85 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Romelu Lukaku is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
******* EGYPT CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Egypt Team Hardness = 4
- Belgium Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Mohamed El Shenawy: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 92.63 (no injury)
Sw Mohamed Abdelmonem: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.9 (no injury)
Df Ahmed Fatouh: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.56 (no injury)
Df Mohamed Hany: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.51 (no injury)
Df Yasser Ibrahim: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.77 (no injury)
Df Karim Hafez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.06 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Karim Hafez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Ramy Rabia: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.38 (no injury)
Mf Hamdy Fathy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.01 (no injury)
Mf Emam Ashour: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury)
Fw Mohamed Salah: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.63 (no injury)
Fw Omar Marmoush: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* EGYPT CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jérémy Doku SL 15
- Defending Gk: Mohamed El Shenawy SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
******* BELGIUM CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mohamed Salah SL 14
- Defending Gk: Thibaut Courtois SL 13
intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BELGIUM ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Belgium 14 12 38 35 49
Egypt 11 11 49 22 30
Belgium Fw Attacks = 0 (49 - 49)
Belgium Mf Attacks = 7 ((35 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Belgium Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Belgium Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Thomas Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Timothy Castagne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Brandon Mechele
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Amadou Onana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Amadou Onana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Amadou Onana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Amadou Onana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Nicolas Raskin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Nicolas Raskin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Nicolas Raskin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
******* EGYPT ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Egypt 11 11 49 22 30
Belgium 14 12 38 35 49
Egypt Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 38)
Egypt Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Egypt Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Egypt Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BELGIUM 2 - EGYPT 0
Match Notes
Not a lot of love in the predictions for Egypt. Can Salah works some magic or will it be a clinical Red Devils result for Mike and Belgium??
Allan (Mexico) 06/14 - 11:20 PM
A tall order for Egypt, but I think a draw is within reach.
Brian (Germany) 06/15 - 4:09 PM
Hey I got one right!
Allan (Mexico) 06/15 - 9:44 PM