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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

IRAN                                       NEW ZEALAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alireza Beiranvand     10    1   11     Gk Max Crocombe            7    1    8
Sw Hossein Kanaanizadegan  8    1    9     Sw Michael Boxall          7    1    8
Df Milad Mohammadi         8    1    9     Df Liberato Cacace         9    1   10
Df Ehsan Hajsafi           8    1    9     Df Tommy Smith             7    1    8
Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh    12    1   13     Df Tyler Bindon            6    1    7
Fw Saman Ghoddos           8    1    9     Mf Marko Stamenić          7    1    8
Mf Saeid Ezatolahi         8    1    9     Mf Joe Bell                7    1    8
Fw Mehdi Taremi           12    1   13     Fw Chris Wood             11    1   12
Fw Mehdi Ghayedi           8    1    9     Fw Ben Waine               6    1    7
Fw Ali Alipour             8    1    9     Fw Kosta Barbarouses       6    1    7
Fw Dennis Eckert           8    1    9     Fw Jesse Randall           5    1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  9 18 22 49        ROSTER TOTALS       8  8 25 16 32    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  9 20 22 51         T O T A L S       11 11 27 16 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  IRAN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alireza Beiranvand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.23 (no red card)

Sw Hossein Kanaanizadegan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.76 (no red card)

Df Milad Mohammadi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.13 (no red card)

Df Ehsan Hajsafi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.18 (no red card)

Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)

Fw Saman Ghoddos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card)

Mf Saeid Ezatolahi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Taremi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.62 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Ghayedi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.75 (no second yellow)

Fw Ali Alipour: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.34 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Eckert: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.29 (no red card)

*******  NEW ZEALAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Max Crocombe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.61 (no red card)

Sw Michael Boxall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card)

Df Liberato Cacace: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.38 (no red card)

Df Tommy Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.98 (no red card)

Df Tyler Bindon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.73 (no red card)

Mf Marko Stamenić: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)

Mf Joe Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.07 (no red card)

Fw Chris Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.58 (no red card)

Fw Ben Waine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.85 (no red card)

Fw Kosta Barbarouses: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.32 (no red card)

Fw Jesse Randall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  IRAN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Iran Team Hardness = 2
   - New Zealand Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Alireza Beiranvand: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no injury) 
Sw Hossein Kanaanizadegan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) 
Df Milad Mohammadi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury) 
Df Ehsan Hajsafi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.12 (no injury) 
Fw Saman Ghoddos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.54 (no injury) 
Mf Saeid Ezatolahi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.94 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Taremi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Ghayedi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mehdi Ghayedi is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Ali Alipour: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.92 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Eckert: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 

*******  NEW ZEALAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - New Zealand Team Hardness = 0
   - Iran Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Max Crocombe: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury) 
Sw Michael Boxall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.16 (no injury) 
Df Liberato Cacace: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.98 (no injury) 
Df Tommy Smith: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.75 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Bindon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.89 (no injury) 
Mf Marko Stamenić: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.71 (no injury) 
Fw Chris Wood: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.34 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Waine: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.76 (no injury) 
Fw Kosta Barbarouses: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.83 (no injury) 
Fw Jesse Randall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NEW ZEALAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alireza Jahanbakhsh SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Max Crocombe SL 7

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  IRAN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Chris Wood SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Alireza Beiranvand SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  IRAN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Iran                     11   9  20  22  51
  New Zealand              11  11  27  16  36

Iran Fw Attacks = 24 (51 - 27); result rounded up
Iran Mf Attacks = 3 ((22 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Iran Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Iran Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Saeid Ezatolahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 77.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mehdi Ghayedi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dennis Eckert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Dennis Eckert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 39.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Dennis Eckert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 87.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Mehdi Ghayedi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Dennis Eckert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 31.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Ali Alipour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Mehdi Ghayedi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 30.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NEW ZEALAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  New Zealand              11  11  27  16  36
  Iran                     11   9  20  22  51

New Zealand Fw Attacks = 16 (36 - 20); result rounded up
New Zealand Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
New Zealand Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
New Zealand Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Ben Waine
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Chris Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Jesse Randall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Chris Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Chris Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jesse Randall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kosta Barbarouses
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Waine
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kosta Barbarouses
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jesse Randall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Kosta Barbarouses
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Waine
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kosta Barbarouses
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kosta Barbarouses
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ben Waine
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 57.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Chris Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
IRAN 4  -  NEW ZEALAND 0
 
Match Notes
Whoever's picked NZ to win this is crazy.Iran are 1.9 a man better off9 than us. That's about 13 shots I reckon.
Steve (Senegal) 06/12 - 2:14 PM  
Not that we had a chance but Olnec made sure: their SW did better than my better one,.they play hard and we give away the penalty and even their injury had no effect.
Steve (New Zealand) 06/15 - 6:33 PM  
Steve was right about this one. Not close...
Allan (Mexico) 06/15 - 9:40 PM  
 
 
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