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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

IRAQ                                       NORWAY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fahad Talib             7    1    8     Gk Sander Tangvik          6    1    7
Sw Zaid Tahseen            7    1    8     Sw Kristoffer Ajer         9    1   10
Df Hussein Ali             7    1    8     Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 9    1   10
Df Akam Hashim             7    1    8     Df David Møller Wolfe      7    1    8
Df Merchas Doski           7    1    8     Df Fredrik André Bjørkan   7    1    8
Df Ahmed Yahya             7    1    8     Mf Martin Ødegaard        11    1   12
Mf Zidane Iqbal            9    1   10     Mf Sander Berge            9    1   10
Mf Amir Al-Ammari          7    1    8     Mf Patrick Berg            9    1   10
Mf Ali Al-Hamadi           9    1   10     Fw Erling Haaland         15    1   16
Fw Aymen Hussein           9    1   10     Fw Jørgen Strand Larsen    9    1   10
Fw Mohanad Ali             7    1    8     Fw Alexander Sørloth       9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  8 32 28 18        ROSTER TOTALS       7 10 26 32 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 10 41 28 18         T O T A L S        7 10 28 32 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  IRAQ YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fahad Talib: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)

Sw Zaid Tahseen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)

Df Hussein Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.86 (no red card)

Df Akam Hashim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

Df Merchas Doski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.34 (no red card)

Df Ahmed Yahya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.37 (no red card)

Mf Zidane Iqbal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.97 (no red card)

Mf Amir Al-Ammari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.48 (no red card)

Mf Ali Al-Hamadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.42 (no red card)

Fw Aymen Hussein: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.24 (no red card)

Fw Mohanad Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.74 (no red card)

*******  NORWAY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sander Tangvik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.43 (no red card)

Sw Kristoffer Ajer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.9 (no red card)

Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.1 (no red card)

Df David Møller Wolfe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.25 (no red card)

Df Fredrik André Bjørkan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.95 (no red card)

Mf Martin Ødegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)

Mf Sander Berge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.56 (no second yellow)

Mf Patrick Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.83 (no red card)

Fw Erling Haaland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Erling Haaland new match skill level =  8
      Erling Haaland new match total level =  9

Fw Jørgen Strand Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Sørloth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  IRAQ CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Iraq Team Hardness = 0
   - Norway Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Fahad Talib: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.14 (no injury) 
Sw Zaid Tahseen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.66 (no injury) 
Df Hussein Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Df Akam Hashim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.05 (no injury) 
Df Merchas Doski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.58 (no injury) 
Df Ahmed Yahya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.14 (no injury) 
Mf Zidane Iqbal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.21 (no injury) 
Mf Amir Al-Ammari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Mf Ali Al-Hamadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.79 (no injury) 
Fw Aymen Hussein: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no injury) 
Fw Mohanad Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no injury) 

*******  NORWAY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Norway Team Hardness = 0
   - Iraq Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sander Tangvik: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.86 (no injury) 
Sw Kristoffer Ajer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.6 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury) 
Df David Møller Wolfe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.01 (no injury) 
Df Fredrik André Bjørkan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.96 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Ødegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) 
Mf Sander Berge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.88 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.33 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Haaland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.39 (no injury) 
Fw Jørgen Strand Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Sørloth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORWAY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zidane Iqbal SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Sander Tangvik SL 6

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  IRAQ CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Ødegaard SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Fahad Talib SL 7

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  IRAQ ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Iraq                     11  10  41  28  18
  Norway                   7  10  28  32  29

Iraq is Playing For A Draw!
Iraq Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 28)
Iraq Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Iraq Df Attacks = 2 ((41 - 29) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Iraq Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Merchas Doski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hussein Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NORWAY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Norway                   7  10  28  32  29
  Iraq                     11  10  41  28  18

Norway Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 41)
Norway Mf Attacks = 2 ((32 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Norway Df Attacks = 4 ((28 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Norway Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Fredrik André Bjørkan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Patrick Berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Patrick Berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
IRAQ 0  -  NORWAY 0
 
Match Notes
So many draws
Brian (Tunisia) 06/16 - 5:24 PM  
And Haaland is suspended for matchday 2? That's rough.
Jason (South Africa) 06/16 - 10:52 PM  
Did compo get a prediction correct 👍
Simon (Qatar) 06/17 - 9:07 PM  
 
 
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