(N)
Croatia
John Holden
Poland
Brian Beerman
World Cup 48 Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CROATIA POLAND
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk CRO GK 2 10 2 12 Gk John Kosowski 8 1 9
Df Oliver Grbic 10 1 11 Sw Thiago Boniek 16 1 17
Df Ivan Rakitic 8 1 9 Df Robert Bak 15 1 16
Mf Filip Kramaric 12 1 13 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 12 2 14
Mf Stjepan Grbic 12 1 13 Mf Artur Zalewski 13 1 14
Mf Mario Budimir 12 1 13 Mf Rafal Karas 10 2 12
Mf Tin Perisic 11 1 12 Mf Jacek Frankowski 10 2 12
Mf Ilija Pjaca 10 2 12 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 14 1 15
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 12 1 13 Fw Jakub Fabianski 12 1 13
Fw Nikica Corluka 11 1 12 Fw David Dziekanowski 12 2 14
Fw Dario Sucic 8 2 10 Fw John Skoras 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 0 20 63 35 ROSTER TOTALS 9 17 30 38 55
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 3 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 0 23 63 35 T O T A L S 12 20 30 38 55
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CROATIA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk CRO GK 2: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no red card)
Df Oliver Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.37 (no red card)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.63 (no red card)
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no red card)
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.3 (no red card)
Mf Mario Budimir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.09 (no red card)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.38 (no red card)
Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.04 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no red card)
Fw Nikica Corluka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.04 (no red card)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no red card)
******* POLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.83 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.02 (no second yellow)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.6 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.79 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.45 (no second yellow)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.79 (no red card)
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.12 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.77 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.69 (no second yellow)
Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.38 (no red card)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CROATIA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Croatia Team Hardness = 0
- Poland Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk CRO GK 2: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.83 (no injury)
Df Oliver Grbic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.92 (no injury)
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.08 (no injury)
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.83 (no injury)
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.56 (no injury)
Mf Mario Budimir: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.69 (no injury)
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.52 (no injury)
Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.93 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.64 (no injury)
Fw Nikica Corluka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury)
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.82 (no injury)
******* POLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Poland Team Hardness = 1
- Croatia Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 16.46 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.47 (no injury)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.58 (no injury)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.66 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.32 (no injury)
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.44 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.82 (no injury)
Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.42 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* POLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Filip Kramaric SL 12
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* CROATIA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 15
- Defending Gk: CRO GK 2 SL 10
intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CROATIA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Croatia 15 0 23 63 35
Poland 12 20 30 38 55
Croatia Fw Attacks = 5 (35 - 30); result rounded up
Croatia Mf Attacks = 13 ((63 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Croatia Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
Croatia Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Mf Mario Budimir
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ilija Pjaca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Mario Budimir
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ilija Pjaca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Filip Kramaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Mario Budimir
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Mario Budimir
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Ilija Pjaca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Mario Budimir
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Ilija Pjaca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Nikica Corluka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Nikica Corluka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
******* POLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Poland 12 20 30 38 55
Croatia 15 0 23 63 35
Croatia is using Offside Trap!
Poland Fw Attacks = 16 (55 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Poland Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 63) / 2; rounded up)
Poland Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 3; rounded up)
Poland Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw David Dziekanowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Croatia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CROATIA 0 - POLAND 3
Match Notes
Good luck here, John, but not too much luck.
Brian (Poland) 09/11 - 2:16 PM
Good tactic John, but that lone keeper was overwhelmed.
Brian (Poland) 09/18 - 6:19 PM