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Korea
Roger Mendonça
 
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Andy Shaw
 
 
World Cup 48 Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KOREA                                      NIGERIA

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          15    1   16     Gk NGA GK 2                9    2   11
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        18    1   19     Sw Enoch Yahaya           10    2   12
Df Jun-Seo Min            13    2   15     Df Alex Ganiyu            12    1   13
Df Dong Min Young-pyo     11    1   12     Df Yahaya Etim            12    1   13
Mf Jeong Yong             13    1   14     Df Alex Hassan            11    2   13
Mf Sung Yong               8    2   10     Df James Aminu            10    1   11
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung       16    1   17     Mf Efe Akpan              13    1   14
Fw Lee Jin-hyeon          16    1   17     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          13    1   14
Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    1   14     Mf Ahmed Usman            15    1   16
Fw Song Sun               12    1   13     Fw Julius Nwosu           15    1   16
Fw Ki Seon-min            12    2   14     Fw Ahmed Ibrahim          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 19 27 24 75        ROSTER TOTALS      11 12 50 44 29    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 19 27 25 75         T O T A L S       14 12 50 44 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KOREA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.2 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)

Df Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.1 (no red card)

Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.16 (no red card)

Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.2 (no red card)

Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.38 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.72 (no red card)

Fw Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.02 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.94 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.5 (no red card)

Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.36 (no red card)

*******  NIGERIA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk NGA GK 2: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 52.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 54.69 (no red card)

Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.49 (no red card)

Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 66.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.17 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.61 (no red card)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.37 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.01 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 86.01 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 67.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KOREA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Korea Team Hardness = 1
   - Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 37.62 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury) 
Df Dong Min Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 24.29 (no injury) 
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 12.5 (no injury) 
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 67.56 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 11.84 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 41.61 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 18.32 (no injury) 
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 4.91 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Song Sun loses 6 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Song Sun new match skill level =  6
      Song Sun new match total level =  7
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.44 (no injury) 

*******  NIGERIA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
   - Korea Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk NGA GK 2: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 2.96 (no injury) 
Sw Enoch Yahaya: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.5 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.12 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.58 (no injury) 
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.8 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.92 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.45 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NIGERIA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Hwangbo Min-sung SL 16
   - Defending Gk: NGA GK 2 SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  KOREA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ahmed Usman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KOREA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Korea                    16  19  27  25  69
  Nigeria                  14  12  50  44  34

Korea Fw Attacks = 19 (69 - 50); result rounded up
Korea Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Korea Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Korea Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 43.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lee Jin-hyeon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NIGERIA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nigeria                  14  12  50  44  34
  Korea                    16  19  27  25  69

Nigeria Fw Attacks = 7 (34 - 27); result rounded up
Nigeria Mf Attacks = 10 ((44 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nigeria Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Nigeria Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 33.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KOREA 1  -  NIGERIA 0
 
Match Notes
A draw may be good enough here. Shame I haven’t got enough defenders to park the bus!
Roger (Korea) 09/11 - 8:17 PM
 
 
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