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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

GERMANY                                    IVORY COAST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Neuer           11    2   13     Gk Alban Lafont            7    2    9
Sw Malick Thiaw           11    1   12     Sw Ousmane Diomande       11    1   12
Df Nico Schlotterbeck     11    2   13     Df Wilfried Singo          9    2   11
Df Waldemar Anton         11    2   13     Df Emmanuel Agbadou        9    2   11
Mf Florian Wirtz          14    1   15     Df Ghislain Konan          9    2   11
Mf Jamal Musiala          14    1   15     Df Guéla Doué              7    2    9
Mf Joshua Kimmich         13    2   15     Mf Seko Fofana             9    2   11
Mf Leon Goretzka          11    2   13     Mf Jean Michaël Seri       7    2    9
Fw Kai Havertz            15    2   17     Fw Amad Diallo            11    1   12
Fw Nick Woltemade         11    1   12     Fw Simon Adingra           9    1   10
Fw Deniz Undav            11    2   13     Fw Bazoumana Touré         6    1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 26 58 42        ROSTER TOTALS       9 12 42 20 29    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 28 58 42         T O T A L S        9 12 44 20 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  GERMANY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Neuer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.42 (no red card)

Sw Malick Thiaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card)

Df Nico Schlotterbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.11 (no red card)

Df Waldemar Anton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.95 (no red card)

Mf Florian Wirtz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.12 (no red card)

Mf Jamal Musiala: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.82 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Kimmich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.51 (no red card)

Mf Leon Goretzka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.81 (no red card)

Fw Kai Havertz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card)

Fw Nick Woltemade: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.17 (no red card)

Fw Deniz Undav: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card)

*******  IVORY COAST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alban Lafont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.25 (no red card)

Sw Ousmane Diomande: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.47 (no red card)

Df Wilfried Singo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.58 (no red card)

Df Emmanuel Agbadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.21 (no red card)

Df Ghislain Konan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.17 (no red card)

Df Guéla Doué: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card)

Mf Seko Fofana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.29 (no red card)

Mf Jean Michaël Seri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.04 (no red card)

Fw Amad Diallo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.12 (no red card)

Fw Simon Adingra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.47 (no red card)

Fw Bazoumana Touré: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  GERMANY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Germany Team Hardness = 1
   - Ivory Coast Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Manuel Neuer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.8 (no injury) 
Sw Malick Thiaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Malick Thiaw is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Malick Thiaw new match skill level =  6
      Malick Thiaw new match total level =  7
Df Nico Schlotterbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.59 (no injury) 
Df Waldemar Anton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.16 (no injury) 
Mf Florian Wirtz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.16 (no injury) 
Mf Jamal Musiala: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.13 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Kimmich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.3 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Goretzka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Havertz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.83 (no injury) 
Fw Nick Woltemade: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.5 (no injury) 
Fw Deniz Undav: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.06 (no injury) 

*******  IVORY COAST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ivory Coast Team Hardness = 0
   - Germany Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alban Lafont: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 18.51 (no injury) 
Sw Ousmane Diomande: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.24 (no injury) 
Df Wilfried Singo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.96 (no injury) 
Df Emmanuel Agbadou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.43 (no injury) 
Df Ghislain Konan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.37 (no injury) 
Df Guéla Doué: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.01 (no injury) 
Mf Seko Fofana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.5 (no injury) 
Mf Jean Michaël Seri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.18 (no injury) 
Fw Amad Diallo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.77 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Adingra: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.09 (no injury) 
Fw Bazoumana Touré: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  IVORY COAST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kai Havertz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alban Lafont SL 7

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  GERMANY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Amad Diallo SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Neuer SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  GERMANY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Germany                  13   8  28  58  42
  Ivory Coast              9  12  44  20  29

Germany Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 44)
Germany Mf Attacks = 19 ((58 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Germany Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Germany Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Florian Wirtz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 8.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Florian Wirtz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jamal Musiala
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 55.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Joshua Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Florian Wirtz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Leon Goretzka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  IVORY COAST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ivory Coast              9  12  44  20  29
  Germany                  13   8  28  58  42

Ivory Coast Fw Attacks = 1 (29 - 28); result rounded up
Ivory Coast Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 58) / 2;  rounded up)
Ivory Coast Df Attacks = 1 ((44 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Ivory Coast Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Wilfried Singo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Amad Diallo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
GERMANY 1  -  IVORY COAST 1
 
Match Notes
Big result here for Graham!
Allan (Mexico) 06/20 - 5:10 PM  
And look at old Smiling Compo over there as the only one who chose a draw!
Allan (Mexico) 06/20 - 5:10 PM  
Well that was unexpected
Brian (Germany) 06/20 - 5:45 PM  
Pretty close to reality here...
Allan (Mexico) 06/21 - 12:17 AM  
how did no one else see the draw lol
Simon (England) 06/21 - 8:30 AM  
 
 
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