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Poland
Brian Beerman
 
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Roy Rolsten
 
 
World Cup 48 Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

POLAND                                     MEXICO

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gustaw Zmuda            9    2   11     Gk MEX GK 2               11    2   13
Sw Thiago Boniek          16    0   16     Sw Rafael Corona          12    1   13
Df Robert Bak             15    1   16     Df Martin Rodríguez       13    1   14
Df Maciek Szymanski       13    2   15     Df Rodrigo de Corona      11    2   13
Df Roman Piatek           13    2   15     Df Saul Arteaga            8    2   10
Mf Artur Zalewski         13    1   14     Mf Santiago Villa         13    0   13
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     11    2   13     Mf Óscar Cota              8    2   10
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     14    1   15     Fw Julio Morales          15    1   16
Fw Jakub Fabianski        12    1   13     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        15    1   16
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski   11    2   13     Fw Héctor Vasquez         13    2   15
Fw Lukasz Dudka           11    2   13     Fw Francisco Sánchez      11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 16 46 27 54        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 37 23 60    
       1  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  2  0  0  6  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 19 46 27 60         T O T A L S       13 13 37 23 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  POLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gustaw Zmuda: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.24 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.19 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.46 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.75 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.13 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.31 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.67 (no red card)

Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.98 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.19 (no second yellow)

*******  MEXICO YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk MEX GK 2: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.98 (no red card)

Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.89 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.61 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no red card)

Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.75 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.86 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.13 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.59 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)

Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.45 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  POLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Poland Team Hardness = 2
   - Mexico Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Gustaw Zmuda: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 60.55 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.37 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.27 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.26 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.66 (no injury) 
Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.35 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.77 (no injury) 

*******  MEXICO CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mexico Team Hardness = 0
   - Poland Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk MEX GK 2: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 26.03 (no injury) 
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.25 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.07 (no injury) 
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.51 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.33 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.05 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.85 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.55 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.37 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MEXICO CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 15
   - Defending Gk: MEX GK 2 SL 11

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)

*******  POLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Julio Morales SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gustaw Zmuda SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  POLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Poland                   14  19  46  27  60
  Mexico                   13  13  37  23  60

Poland Fw Attacks = 23 (60 - 37); result rounded up
Poland Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Poland Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Poland Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Zbigniew Baszczynski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MEXICO ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mexico                   13  13  37  23  60
  Poland                   14  19  46  27  60

Mexico Fw Attacks = 14 (60 - 46); result rounded up
Mexico Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Mexico Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Mexico Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
POLAND 3  -  MEXICO 1
 
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