(N)
Sweden
Mike Cabral
Denmark
Eduard Habermann
World Cup 48 Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWEDEN DENMARK
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Alexander Bach 16 1 17
Sw Lars Stenbeck 11 1 12 Sw Joachim Thygesen 13 2 15
Df Martin Persson 13 1 14 Df Frederik Hansen 16 1 17
Df Sakariya Hedman 10 2 12 Df Fank Dahl 15 1 16
Df Kurt Mörner 10 1 11 Mf Mikkel Iversen 11 2 13
Df Martin Toivonen 9 2 11 Mf Michael Frost 11 2 13
Mf Isaac Juhlin 14 1 15 Mf Vibeke Skov 12 1 13
Mf Ludwig Troell 12 1 13 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 11 1 12
Mf Per Alexandersson 11 1 12 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 14 1 15
Mf Mats Larsson 11 1 12 Fw Erik Christiansen 13 1 14
Fw Sven Skog 15 1 16 Fw Torben Thygesen 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 12 48 52 16 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 33 51 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 2 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 48 54 18 T O T A L S 18 15 33 51 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWEDEN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.33 (no red card)
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.91 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.89 (no red card)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.39 (no red card)
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.28 (no red card)
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.56 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.89 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.16 (no red card)
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.27 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.46 (no red card)
******* DENMARK YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 85.2 (no red card)
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.47 (no red card)
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.19 (no red card)
Df Fank Dahl: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.38 (no red card)
Mf Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.5 (no red card)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.64 (no red card)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.94 (no red card)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.5 (no red card)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.46 (no red card)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWEDEN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Sweden Team Hardness = 0
- Denmark Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury)
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.67 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.68 (no injury)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.16 (no injury)
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.07 (no injury)
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.6 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.4 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.01 (no injury)
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Per Alexandersson loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Per Alexandersson new match skill level = 6
Per Alexandersson new match total level = 7
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.87 (no injury)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury)
******* DENMARK CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Denmark Team Hardness = 1
- Sweden Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.99 (no injury)
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.09 (no injury)
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.39 (no injury)
Df Fank Dahl: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.41 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.29 (no injury)
Mf Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no injury)
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury)
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.68 (no injury)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.46 (no injury)
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DENMARK CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
******* SWEDEN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Frederik Hansen SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWEDEN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Sweden 18 15 48 49 18
Denmark 18 15 33 51 44
Sweden Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 33)
Sweden Mf Attacks = 0 ((49 - 51) / 2; rounded up)
Sweden Df Attacks = 2 ((48 - 44) / 3); result rounded up
Sweden Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Martin Toivonen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Martin Persson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* DENMARK ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Denmark 18 15 33 51 44
Sweden 18 15 48 49 18
Denmark Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 48)
Denmark Mf Attacks = 1 ((51 - 49) / 2) ; result rounded up
Denmark Df Attacks = 5 ((33 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Denmark Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Fank Dahl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Frederik Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Mikkel Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWEDEN 1 - DENMARK 0
Match Notes
Best of luck, Eduard! Your teams are always stout, all games/all sports.
Mike (Sweden) 09/17 - 3:19 PM
2 Swedish shots at 5% goal chance - I was probably lucky not to lose by 2 goals
Eduard (Denmark) 09/18 - 10:40 PM
Good luck in the playoffs, Mike - nonetheless
Eduard (Denmark) 09/18 - 10:44 PM
We definitely lucked out, sorry Eduard. We tried to keep it low energy, which I guess kind of worked, 6 - 2 attacks. Happy to advance!
Mike (Sweden) 09/18 - 11:50 PM