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Belgium
Mike Parnaby
 
Iran
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BELGIUM                                    IRAN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thibaut Courtois       13    0   13     Gk Alireza Beiranvand     10    0   10
Sw Arthur Theate          11    0   11     Df Ramin Rezaeian          8    2   10
Df Timothy Castagne       11    0   11     Df Aria Yousefi            7    2    9
Df Brandon Mechele        11    0   11     Df Danial Eiri             7    2    9
Df Thomas Meunier         11    0   11     Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh    12    0   12
Mf Amadou Onana           13    0   13     Mf Saman Ghoddos          10    0   10
Mf Youri Tielemans        11    2   13     Mf Rouzbeh Cheshmi         8    2   10
Mf Hans Vanaken           11    2   13     Mf Mehdi Torabi            8    2   10
Fw Dodi Lukébakio         11    2   13     Mf Mehdi Taremi           10    0   10
Fw Alexis Saelemaekers    11    2   13     Fw Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh 7    2    9
Fw Leandro Trossard       11    2   13     Fw Shahriyar Moghanlou     7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 33 39 39        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 28 52 18    
       0  0  2  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  5  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  2  8  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 37 39 44         T O T A L S       10  0 32 60 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BELGIUM YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thibaut Courtois: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.54 (no red card)

Sw Arthur Theate: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.71 (no red card)

Df Timothy Castagne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.26 (no red card)

Df Brandon Mechele: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.9 (no red card)

Df Thomas Meunier: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Mf Amadou Onana: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.58 (no red card)

Mf Youri Tielemans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.71 (no red card)

Mf Hans Vanaken: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Fw Dodi Lukébakio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.78 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Saelemaekers: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.32 (no red card)

Fw Leandro Trossard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

*******  IRAN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alireza Beiranvand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.66 (no red card)

Df Ramin Rezaeian: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.84 (no red card)

Df Aria Yousefi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.0 (no red card)

Df Danial Eiri: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.87 (no red card)

Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.62 (no red card)

Mf Saman Ghoddos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.28 (no red card)

Mf Rouzbeh Cheshmi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.73 (no red card)

Mf Mehdi Torabi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.63 (no red card)

Mf Mehdi Taremi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.0 (no red card)

Fw Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.32 (no red card)

Fw Shahriyar Moghanlou: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.22 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BELGIUM CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Belgium Team Hardness = 2
   - Iran Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Thibaut Courtois: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 21.92 (no injury) 
Sw Arthur Theate: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 6.77 (no injury) 
Df Timothy Castagne: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 32.11 (no injury) 
Df Brandon Mechele: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Meunier: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no injury) 
Mf Amadou Onana: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury) 
Mf Youri Tielemans: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 3.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Youri Tielemans is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Youri Tielemans new match skill level =  6
      Youri Tielemans new match total level =  8
Mf Hans Vanaken: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 36.82 (no injury) 
Fw Dodi Lukébakio: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 4.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Dodi Lukébakio is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Alexis Saelemaekers: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 62.17 (no injury) 
Fw Leandro Trossard: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.42 (no injury) 

*******  IRAN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Iran Team Hardness = 2
   - Belgium Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Alireza Beiranvand: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury) 
Df Ramin Rezaeian: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 76.39 (no injury) 
Df Aria Yousefi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no injury) 
Df Danial Eiri: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 8.64 (no injury) 
Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no injury) 
Mf Saman Ghoddos: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no injury) 
Mf Rouzbeh Cheshmi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 93.24 (no injury) 
Mf Mehdi Torabi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 7.47 (no injury) 
Mf Mehdi Taremi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 18.83 (no injury) 
Fw Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 27.5 (no injury) 
Fw Shahriyar Moghanlou: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 98.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  IRAN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Amadou Onana SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alireza Beiranvand SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)

*******  BELGIUM CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Alireza Jahanbakhsh SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Thibaut Courtois SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BELGIUM ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Belgium                  13  11  37  34  44
  Iran                     10   0  32  60  20

Iran is using Offside Trap!
Belgium Fw Attacks = 6 (44 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Belgium Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Belgium Df Attacks = 6 ((37 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Belgium Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Thomas Meunier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Thomas Meunier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 55.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Brandon Mechele
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Brandon Mechele
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Thomas Meunier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Thomas Meunier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 58.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Dodi Lukébakio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Leandro Trossard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Leandro Trossard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Leandro Trossard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 26.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Leandro Trossard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 29.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Dodi Lukébakio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Iran
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 44.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  IRAN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Iran                     10   0  32  60  20
  Belgium                  13  11  37  34  44

Iran Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 37)
Iran Mf Attacks = 13 ((60 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Iran Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 44) / 5;  rounded up)
Iran Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Rouzbeh Cheshmi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 71.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Mehdi Taremi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Rouzbeh Cheshmi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mehdi Torabi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 51.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Alireza Jahanbakhsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 49.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Saman Ghoddos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BELGIUM 1  -  IRAN 2
 
Match Notes
Perhaps Simon would like to share his thoughts on this spectacular pick 👏
Colin (DR Congo) 06/21 - 7:58 PM  
Just a no brainer , Martyn knows mike inside out after years of postal united 😉
Simon (Qatar) 06/21 - 8:58 PM  
 
 
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