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Switzerland
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Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWITZERLAND                                IRELAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    0   12     Gk Craig Carsley          15    1   16
Df Josip Sommer           13    0   13     Sw Marek Murray            8    1    9
Df Philipp Vogel          12    0   12     Df Edwin O'Doherty        13    1   14
Df Johnny Müller          11    0   11     Df Shay Given             11    1   12
Df Vladimir Bürki         10    0   10     Df Brian Finnan            8    1    9
Df Nestor Omlin           10    2   12     Mf Gareth Smith           13    1   14
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes   12    0   12     Mf Gearoid O'Rourke       11    1   12
Mf Blaise Akanji          11    0   11     Mf Daragh Breen           11    2   13
Mf Albert Ohrel            7    0    7     Df Damien Sullivan         6    2    8
Fw Renato Cabanas         14    0   14     Fw IRE FW 2                9    2   11
Fw Martin Jashari         14    0   14     Fw Charles Sweeney         9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 58 30 28        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 43 39 21    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  4  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 58 32 28         T O T A L S       19 12 47 39 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWITZERLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.76 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.53 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.86 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.53 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.52 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.57 (no red card)

Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.83 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.92 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.36 (no red card)

Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.54 (no red card)

*******  IRELAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card)

Sw Marek Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.87 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.09 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.37 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.23 (no red card)

Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.82 (no red card)

Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.07 (no red card)

Df Damien Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card)

Fw IRE FW 2: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.27 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWITZERLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Switzerland Team Hardness = 2
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.66 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.58 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.27 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.83 (no injury) 
Mf Blaise Akanji: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.96 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.24 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.24 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury) 

*******  IRELAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - Switzerland Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 13.85 (no injury) 
Sw Marek Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.75 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.64 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.68 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.2 (no injury) 
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.1 (no injury) 
Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.82 (no injury) 
Df Damien Sullivan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.46 (no injury) 
Fw IRE FW 2: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      IRE FW 2 loses 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      IRE FW 2 new match skill level =  5
      IRE FW 2 new match total level =  7
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.44 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  IRELAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWITZERLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Doherty SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWITZERLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Switzerland              12   0  58  32  28
  Ireland                  19  12  47  39  17

Switzerland Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 47)
Switzerland Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Switzerland Df Attacks = 9 ((58 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Switzerland Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 12.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 21.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Johnny Müller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Vladimir Bürki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 64.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  IRELAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ireland                  19  12  47  39  17
  Switzerland              12   0  58  32  28

Ireland Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 58)
Ireland Mf Attacks = 4 ((39 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ireland Df Attacks = 7 ((47 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Ireland Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Shay Given
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Shay Given
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Damien Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Brian Finnan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Brian Finnan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Switzerland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 8.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWITZERLAND 0  -  IRELAND 0
 
Match Notes
So, is Ireland through on Disciplinary Points? All of the other tiebreakers are even.
Jason (France) 09/18 - 10:39 PM
Fair Play is the hallmark of an Al Sellers coached team...
Allan (Ireland) 09/18 - 10:53 PM
The irony
Jason (France) 09/18 - 11:14 PM
 
 
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