(N)
Nigeria
Andy Shaw
Belgium
Carl Oakes
World Cup 48 Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NIGERIA BELGIUM
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk NGA GK 1 9 2 11 Gk Xavier Lambert 12 2 14
Df Alex Ganiyu 12 0 12 Sw Ludovic Kompany 11 2 13
Df Yahaya Etim 12 0 12 Df Herman Lambert 13 2 15
Df Alex Hassan 11 1 12 Df Mbo Denis 11 1 12
Df Festus Abubakar 8 2 10 Df Guy Herpoel 10 1 11
Mf Aliyu Edet 15 1 16 Mf Denis Fellaini 14 1 15
Mf Efe Akpan 13 0 13 Mf Etienne Willems 13 1 14
Mf Ahmed Usman 16 0 16 Mf Geert De Ketelaere 10 1 11
Mf Nasiru Kabiru 9 2 11 Fw Peter Goossens 13 2 15
Fw Julius Nwosu 15 0 15 Fw Kevin De Smet 13 1 14
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim 11 1 12 Fw Pierre Dumont 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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11 0 46 56 27 ROSTER TOTALS 14 13 38 40 42
3 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 5 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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14 0 46 56 32 T O T A L S 14 13 38 40 42
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NIGERIA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk NGA GK 1: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 0.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 75.29 (no red card)
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.65 (no red card)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.69 (no red card)
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 82.12 (no second yellow)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.22 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.12 (no second yellow)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.58 (no red card)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.25 (no red card)
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card)
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.86 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 30.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.32 (no red card)
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no second yellow)
******* BELGIUM YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.48 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.36 (no red card)
Sw Ludovic Kompany: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.33 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.41 (no red card)
Df Mbo Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.09 (no red card)
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.39 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.15 (no red card)
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.45 (no red card)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.95 (no red card)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.25 (no red card)
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.19 (no red card)
Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.12 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NIGERIA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
- Belgium Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk NGA GK 1: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury)
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.17 (no injury)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury)
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.14 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.63 (no injury)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.97 (no injury)
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.35 (no injury)
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.35 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.24 (no injury)
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.09 (no injury)
******* BELGIUM CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Belgium Team Hardness = 0
- Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury)
Sw Ludovic Kompany: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.17 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.71 (no injury)
Df Mbo Denis: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 9.93 (no injury)
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 52.89 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury)
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no injury)
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.66 (no injury)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no injury)
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.01 (no injury)
Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BELGIUM CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ahmed Usman SL 16
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 12
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
******* NIGERIA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 14
- Defending Gk: NGA GK 1 SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NIGERIA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nigeria 14 0 46 56 32
Belgium 14 13 38 40 42
Nigeria Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 38)
Nigeria Mf Attacks = 8 ((56 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nigeria Df Attacks = 1 ((46 - 42) / 5); result rounded up
Nigeria Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Nasiru Kabiru
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BELGIUM ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Belgium 14 13 38 40 42
Nigeria 14 0 46 56 32
Nigeria is using Offside Trap!
Belgium Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 46)
Belgium Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 56) / 2; rounded up)
Belgium Df Attacks = 2 ((38 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Belgium Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Mbo Denis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
NIGERIA 1 - BELGIUM 0