(N)
Poland
Brian Beerman
Wales
Graham Wilkes
World Cup 48 Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
POLAND WALES
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk John Kosowski 8 2 10 Gk Brynmor Harding 13 2 15
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Sw Bryn Gough 13 2 15
Df Robert Bak 15 2 17 Df Eirwyn Davey 14 2 16
Df Maciek Szymanski 13 2 15 Df Goronwy Wright 14 2 16
Df Roman Piatek 13 2 15 Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15
Mf Artur Zalewski 13 2 15 Mf Aeron Moore 10 2 12
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 11 2 13 Mf Hywel James 10 2 12
Mf Krystian Sobolewski 10 2 12 Fw John Clarke 15 2 17
Mf Stefan Boniek 10 2 12 Fw Dafydd Chapman 10 2 12
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 14 2 16 Fw Ieuan Roberts 9 2 11
Fw Jakub Fabianski 12 2 14 Fw Conway Roberts 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 18 47 52 30 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 47 24 50
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 18 47 52 30 T O T A L S 15 15 47 24 50
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* POLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 29.8 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.94 (no red card)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.02 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.79 (no second yellow)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.6 (no red card)
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.87 (no red card)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.73 (no red card)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.55 (no red card)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.63 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.06 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.54 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.21 (no second yellow)
******* WALES YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.07 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.28 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.79 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.06 (no red card)
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.29 (no red card)
Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.95 (no red card)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.28 (no red card)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.6 (no red card)
Fw Ieuan Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.24 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.05 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.24 (no second yellow)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* POLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Poland Team Hardness = 1
- Wales Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.52 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.91 (no injury)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury)
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.64 (no injury)
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury)
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury)
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.39 (no injury)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.14 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.39 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.68 (no injury)
******* WALES CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Wales Team Hardness = 0
- Poland Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Brynmor Harding: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.57 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.06 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.33 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.65 (no injury)
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury)
Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.14 (no injury)
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.57 (no injury)
Fw Ieuan Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.85 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.37 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WALES CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 15
- Defending Gk: Brynmor Harding SL 13
intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
******* POLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: John Clarke SL 15
- Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* POLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Poland 11 18 47 52 30
Wales 15 15 47 24 50
Poland Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 47)
Poland Mf Attacks = 14 ((52 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Poland Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Poland Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
******* WALES ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Wales 15 15 47 24 50
Poland 11 18 47 52 30
Wales Fw Attacks = 3 (50 - 47); result rounded up
Wales Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 52) / 2; rounded up)
Wales Df Attacks = 6 ((47 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Wales Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 53.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ieuan Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
POLAND 0 - WALES 2
Match Notes
This will be tough vs BB hard game to open with
Graham (Wales) 09/09 - 11:10 PM
Graham - your defense is unlikely to concede more than a handful of shots. And you have the only 2-digit SL keeper in the group. Not sure how we're supposed to score against that.
Brian (Poland) 09/10 - 4:14 PM
We just got unlucky here. Zero shots on goal will never win a game. Never.
Cheers Graham!
Cheers Graham!
Brian (Poland) 09/18 - 6:21 PM