(N)
England
Simon Compton
Ghana
Martyn Hathaway
WC MD13
🏟️ BMO Field, Toronto | 👥 45,736
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ENGLAND GHANA
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dean Henderson 8 2 10 Gk Joseph Anang 6 2 8
Df Reece James 12 1 13 Sw Jerome Opoku 6 2 8
Df John Stones 14 0 14 Df Abdul Rahman Baba 7 2 9
Df Jarell Quansah 8 2 10 Df Derrick Luckassen 7 2 9
Df Nico O'Reilly 8 2 10 Mf Thomas Partey 9 0 9
Mf Jude Bellingham 14 1 15 Mf Kwasi Sibo 6 2 8
Mf Declan Rice 14 0 14 Fw Abdul Fatawu 9 0 9
Mf Kobbie Mainoo 12 1 13 Fw Kamaldeen Sulemana 11 0 11
Mf Elliot Anderson 8 2 10 Fw Antoine Semenyo 9 0 9
Fw Marcus Rashford 12 2 14 Fw Brandon Thomas-Asante 7 2 9
Fw Anthony Gordon 12 2 14 Fw Jordan Ayew 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 47 52 28 ROSTER TOTALS 8 8 18 17 47
0 0 0 2 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 3 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 9
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 0 DEFENSE COACH 0 0 2 0 0
=======================================================================
12 0 52 54 28 T O T A L S 8 8 20 19 56
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ENGLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dean Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.88 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.64 (no red card)
Df Reece James: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.63 (no red card)
Df John Stones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.53 (no red card)
Df Jarell Quansah: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.39 (no red card)
Df Nico O'Reilly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.45 (no red card)
Mf Jude Bellingham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.48 (no red card)
Mf Declan Rice: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.92 (no red card)
Mf Kobbie Mainoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.13 (no red card)
Mf Elliot Anderson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.63 (no red card)
Fw Marcus Rashford: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.22 (no red card)
Fw Anthony Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.78 (no red card)
******* GHANA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joseph Anang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.18 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.11 (no red card)
Sw Jerome Opoku: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)
Df Abdul Rahman Baba: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.07 (no red card)
Df Derrick Luckassen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.86 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)
Mf Kwasi Sibo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.28 (no red card)
Fw Abdul Fatawu: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.98 (no red card)
Fw Kamaldeen Sulemana: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.91 (no red card)
Fw Antoine Semenyo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.35 (no red card)
Fw Brandon Thomas-Asante: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.27 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.16 (no second yellow)
Fw Jordan Ayew: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ENGLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- England Team Hardness = 2
- Ghana Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Dean Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 24.2 (no injury)
Df Reece James: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury)
Df John Stones: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.49 (no injury)
Df Jarell Quansah: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 35.36 (no injury)
Df Nico O'Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no injury)
Mf Jude Bellingham: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.53 (no injury)
Mf Declan Rice: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury)
Mf Kobbie Mainoo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury)
Mf Elliot Anderson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 39.93 (no injury)
Fw Marcus Rashford: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no injury)
Fw Anthony Gordon: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 18.8 (no injury)
******* GHANA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ghana Team Hardness = 2
- England Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Joseph Anang: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 33.17 (no injury)
Sw Jerome Opoku: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury)
Df Abdul Rahman Baba: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.06 (no injury)
Df Derrick Luckassen: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 28.85 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Partey: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury)
Mf Kwasi Sibo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 25.73 (no injury)
Fw Abdul Fatawu: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury)
Fw Kamaldeen Sulemana: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no injury)
Fw Antoine Semenyo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no injury)
Fw Brandon Thomas-Asante: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 90.7 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Ayew: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* GHANA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: John Stones SL 14
- Defending Gk: Joseph Anang SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* ENGLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Kamaldeen Sulemana SL 11
- Defending Gk: Dean Henderson SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 76 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ENGLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
England 12 0 52 54 28
Ghana 8 8 20 19 56
England Fw Attacks = 8 (28 - 20); result rounded up
England Mf Attacks = 18 ((54 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
England Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 56) / 5; rounded up)
England Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Declan Rice
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Declan Rice
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 77.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Kobbie Mainoo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Jude Bellingham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Kobbie Mainoo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 64.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Mf Jude Bellingham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Kobbie Mainoo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Elliot Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Jude Bellingham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Jude Bellingham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 71.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Mf Kobbie Mainoo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Declan Rice
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Mf Kobbie Mainoo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 54.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Marcus Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Anthony Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 57.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Anthony Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Anthony Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Anthony Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 59 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Marcus Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Anthony Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Marcus Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
******* GHANA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ghana 8 8 20 19 56
England 12 0 52 54 28
England is using Offside Trap!
Ghana Fw Attacks = 2 (56 - 52) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Ghana Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 54) / 2; rounded up)
Ghana Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 3; rounded up)
Ghana Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Fw Abdul Fatawu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for England
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Abdul Fatawu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for England
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
ENGLAND 6 - GHANA 1
Match Notes
Can Compo's 3 Lions find the back of the net today against Mr. Hathaway's Ghana?
Allan (Mexico) 06/22 - 10:16 PM
Look at the level of confidence these predictors have for Compo?
Allan (Mexico) 06/22 - 10:17 PM
Yikes!
Brian (Germany) 06/23 - 6:21 PM
Shame the main team couldn’t do that
Simon (England) 06/23 - 10:12 PM
Should Compo be the real national team coach?
Allan (Mexico) 06/23 - 10:23 PM
What kind of world are we living in where a Compo team "earns" two PKs?
Allan (Mexico) 06/23 - 10:27 PM