(N)
Colombia
Bryce Kalmbach
DR Congo
Colin Scott
WC MD13
🏟️ Estadio Akron, Guadalajara | 👥 48,000
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
COLOMBIA DR CONGO
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk David Ospina 11 1 12 Gk Timothy Fayulu 8 2 10
Df Davinson Sánchez 11 1 12 Sw Chancel Mbemba 9 2 11
Df Daniel Muñoz 11 0 11 Df Aaron Wan-Bissaka 9 1 10
Df Yerry Mina 11 0 11 Df Steve Kapuadi 7 2 9
Mf Richard RĂos 11 1 12 Mf Edo Kayembe 7 2 9
Mf Juan Fernando Quintero 11 2 13 Mf Charles Pickel 7 2 9
Mf Juan Portilla 7 2 9 Mf Samuel Moutoussamy 7 2 9
Fw Luis DĂaz 15 1 16 Fw Yoane Wissa 11 2 13
Fw Jhon Arias 11 1 12 Fw Meschak Elia 9 2 11
Fw Andrés Gómez 7 2 9 Fw Simon Banza 9 2 11
Fw Jaminton Campaz 7 2 9 Fw CĂ©dric Bakambu 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 0 34 34 46 ROSTER TOTALS 10 11 19 27 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 2 0 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 DEFENSE COACH 0 0 2 0 0
=======================================================================
15 0 36 34 48 T O T A L S 13 14 21 27 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* COLOMBIA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk David Ospina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.18 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.31 (no red card)
Df Davinson Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)
Df Daniel Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.3 (no red card)
Df Yerry Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.81 (no red card)
Mf Richard RĂos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.83 (no red card)
Mf Juan Fernando Quintero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.26 (no red card)
Mf Juan Portilla: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.21 (no red card)
Fw Luis DĂaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.2 (no red card)
Fw Jhon Arias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.89 (no red card)
Fw Andrés Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.76 (no red card)
Fw Jaminton Campaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.99 (no red card)
******* DR CONGO YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Timothy Fayulu: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 3.45 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 35.22 (no red card)
Sw Chancel Mbemba: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no red card)
Df Aaron Wan-Bissaka: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.83 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.8 (no second yellow)
Df Steve Kapuadi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.15 (no red card)
Mf Edo Kayembe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.09 (no red card)
Mf Charles Pickel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no red card)
Mf Samuel Moutoussamy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.56 (no red card)
Fw Yoane Wissa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.51 (no second yellow)
Fw Meschak Elia: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)
Fw Simon Banza: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)
Fw CĂ©dric Bakambu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 48.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* COLOMBIA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Colombia Team Hardness = 0
- DR Congo Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk David Ospina: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 49.72 (no injury)
Df Davinson Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury)
Df Daniel Muñoz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 12.88 (no injury)
Df Yerry Mina: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Yerry Mina is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Yerry Mina new match skill level = 6
Yerry Mina new match total level = 6
Mf Richard RĂos: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 71.49 (no injury)
Mf Juan Fernando Quintero: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.33 (no injury)
Mf Juan Portilla: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 5.82 (no injury)
Fw Luis DĂaz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.85 (no injury)
Fw Jhon Arias: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.41 (no injury)
Fw Andrés Gómez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.87 (no injury)
Fw Jaminton Campaz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no injury)
******* DR CONGO CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- DR Congo Team Hardness = 3
- Colombia Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Timothy Fayulu: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 86.42 (no injury)
Sw Chancel Mbemba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.35 (no injury)
Df Aaron Wan-Bissaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.71 (no injury)
Df Steve Kapuadi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.5 (no injury)
Mf Edo Kayembe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.78 (no injury)
Mf Charles Pickel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.59 (no injury)
Mf Samuel Moutoussamy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury)
Fw Yoane Wissa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.08 (no injury)
Fw Meschak Elia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.24 (no injury)
Fw Simon Banza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury)
Fw CĂ©dric Bakambu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.9 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DR CONGO CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Luis DĂaz SL 15
- Defending Gk: Timothy Fayulu SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
******* COLOMBIA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Yoane Wissa SL 11
- Defending Gk: David Ospina SL 11
intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* COLOMBIA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Colombia 15 0 31 34 48
DR Congo 13 14 21 27 48
Colombia Fw Attacks = 27 (48 - 21); result rounded up
Colombia Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Colombia Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 48) / 5; rounded up)
Colombia Total Attacks = 31
1: Attack for Mf Juan Portilla
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 49.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Juan Portilla
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Richard RĂos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Richard RĂos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jhon Arias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jhon Arias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Jhon Arias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jhon Arias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Andrés Gómez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Luis DĂaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Jaminton Campaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
******* DR CONGO ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
DR Congo 13 14 21 27 48
Colombia 15 0 31 34 48
Colombia is using Offside Trap!
DR Congo Fw Attacks = 9 (48 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
DR Congo Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
DR Congo Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
DR Congo Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Fw Meschak Elia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Simon Banza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Simon Banza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Meschak Elia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Simon Banza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Meschak Elia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Simon Banza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw CĂ©dric Bakambu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw CĂ©dric Bakambu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Colombia
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
COLOMBIA 3 - DR CONGO 1
Match Notes
I feel like Colin is getting tired of winning the prediction league again...
Allan (Mexico) 06/22 - 10:20 PM
This one is tough to predict
Colin (Morocco) 06/23 - 12:45 PM
Turns out, it wasn’t
Colin (Morocco) 06/23 - 8:29 PM
Big win for Colombia and Bryce...
Allan (Mexico) 06/23 - 10:31 PM