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United States
Phil McIntosh
 
Poland
Brian Beerman
 
 
World Cup 48 Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

UNITED STATES                              POLAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gregory Reyna          15    2   17     Gk Gustaw Zmuda           10    1   11
Sw Bradley Perry          13    2   15     Sw Thiago Boniek          16    0   16
Df Christian Hennessey    15    2   17     Df Robert Bak             15    1   16
Df Gregory Robinson       13    2   15     Df Maciek Szymanski       13    1   14
Df William Roldan         12    2   14     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      12    2   14
Df Jeff Stewart           15    2   17     Mf Artur Zalewski         13    1   14
Mf Cameron Gates          12    2   14     Mf Rafal Karas            10    2   12
Mf Seth Sibley            10    2   12     Mf Stefan Boniek          10    2   12
Mf Josh Jordan             8    1    9     Mf Jacek Frankowski       10    2   12
Fw Justin Sibley          12    2   14     Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     14    1   15
Fw Weston Ross            10    2   12     Fw David Dziekanowski     12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 63 35 26        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 44 50 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 18 63 35 26         T O T A L S       12 17 44 50 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  UNITED STATES YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.33 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.44 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no second yellow)

Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.15 (no red card)

Df William Roldan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.8 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.51 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.91 (no red card)

Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.59 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no red card)

Fw Weston Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.13 (no second yellow)

*******  POLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gustaw Zmuda: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.91 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.84 (no red card)

Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.08 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.65 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.95 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.79 (no second yellow)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.3 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.05 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.79 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.4 (no red card)

Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  UNITED STATES CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - United States Team Hardness = 0
   - Poland Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.16 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.51 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.6 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.42 (no injury) 
Df William Roldan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.35 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.71 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.97 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.31 (no injury) 
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.43 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.12 (no injury) 
Fw Weston Ross: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.39 (no injury) 

*******  POLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Poland Team Hardness = 2
   - United States Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Gustaw Zmuda: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) 
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.51 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.42 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.4 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.14 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.1 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.64 (no injury) 
Fw David Dziekanowski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  POLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Christian Hennessey SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gustaw Zmuda SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 61 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  UNITED STATES CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  UNITED STATES ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  United States            20  18  63  35  26
  Poland                   12  17  44  50  29

United States Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 44)
United States Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
United States Df Attacks = 12 ((63 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
United States Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 23.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 89.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 46.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  POLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Poland                   12  17  44  50  29
  United States            20  18  63  35  26

Poland Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 63)
Poland Mf Attacks = 8 ((50 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Poland Df Attacks = 6 ((44 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Poland Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Robert Bak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 49.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
UNITED STATES 2  -  POLAND 0
 
Match Notes
When playing their full defense, no one has scored against the Stars & Stripes. I fear it will be the same here.
Brian (Poland) 09/19 - 12:04 PM
Well that is disappointing. Thought we had a legitimate chance here. Great play by by both gk's, we just landed on the wrong side.
Brian (Poland) 09/21 - 6:19 PM
congratulations, Phil. Best of luck against th3 mighty Sweden!
Brian (Poland) 09/21 - 6:21 PM
 
 
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