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Denmark
Eduard Habermann
 
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Allan Sellers
 
 
World Cup 48 Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DENMARK                                    IRELAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach         16    2   18     Gk Craig Carsley          15    2   17
Mf Frederik Hansen        14    2   16     Sw Marek Murray            8    2   10
Mf Fank Dahl              13    2   15     Df Edwin O'Doherty        12    2   14
Df Carsten Kragelund      14    2   16     Df Shay Given             11    2   13
Df Mikkel Iversen         13    2   15     Df Marek Murphy            8    2   10
Mf Vibeke Skov            12    2   14     Df Gareth Smith           11    2   13
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       11    2   13     Df Edwin O'Kelly          11    2   13
Mf Hans Cornelius         10    2   12     Mf Gearoid O'Rourke       11    2   13
Mf Farzan Vestergaard     12    2   14     Mf Daragh Breen           11    2   13
Fw Erik Christiansen      13    2   15     Fw IRE FW 1                9    2   11
Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15     Fw IRE FW 2                9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 31 84 30        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 63 26 22    
       0  0  0  3  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 31 87 30         T O T A L S       17 13 67 26 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DENMARK YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.75 (no red card)

Mf Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.28 (no red card)

Mf Fank Dahl: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.47 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no red card)

Mf Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 35.07 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.78 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Torben Thygesen new match skill level =  7
      Torben Thygesen new match total level =  9

*******  IRELAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.42 (no red card)

Sw Marek Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.24 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.14 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.12 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.88 (no red card)

Df Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.96 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.99 (no red card)

Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.51 (no red card)

Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.17 (no red card)

Fw IRE FW 1: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.32 (no red card)

Fw IRE FW 2: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DENMARK CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Denmark Team Hardness = 3
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 26.18 (no injury) 
Mf Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.65 (no injury) 
Mf Fank Dahl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.58 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.23 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.81 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) 
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.35 (no injury) 
Mf Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.38 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.97 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.51 (no injury) 

*******  IRELAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - Denmark Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 78.48 (no injury) 
Sw Marek Murray: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.22 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 91.23 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.26 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 34.65 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.94 (no injury) 
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.76 (no injury) 
Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.28 (no injury) 
Fw IRE FW 1: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.2 (no injury) 
Fw IRE FW 2: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  IRELAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Frederik Hansen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  DENMARK CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Doherty SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 82 (pk blocked)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DENMARK ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Denmark                  18   0  31  87  24
  Ireland                  17  13  67  26  22

Denmark Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 67)
Denmark Mf Attacks = 31 ((87 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Denmark Df Attacks = 2 ((31 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Denmark Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Mikkel Iversen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Carsten Kragelund
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Mf Fank Dahl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Mf Frederik Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Mf Hans Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Mf Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  IRELAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ireland                  17  13  67  26  22
  Denmark                  18   0  31  87  24

Denmark is using Offside Trap!
Ireland is Playing For A Draw!
Ireland Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 31)
Ireland Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 87) / 2;  rounded up)
Ireland Df Attacks = 8 ((67 - 24) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ireland Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Shay Given
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Gareth Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Marek Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Denmark
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DENMARK 1  -  IRELAND 1
 
Match Notes
As they say, this is a "business trip" to play Eduard's Denmark. And by "business" I mean we'll be losing 7-nil...
Allan (Ireland) 09/06 - 12:23 AM
What’s the official O/U?
Brian (Poland) 09/06 - 2:07 AM
Does Ireland even have an attack?
Dave (Argentina) 09/09 - 1:11 AM
The Irish don't need an attack. They have luck!
Brian (Poland) 09/10 - 4:15 PM
And we call that the "Luck O The Irish"...
Allan (Ireland) 09/10 - 10:11 PM
Shameful sportsmanship from Ireland
Dave (Argentina) 09/11 - 11:34 AM
 
 
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