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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRAZIL                                     SCOTLAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alisson Becker         13    2   15     Gk Angus Gunn              9    2   11
Sw Gabriel Magalhães      13    2   15     Df Andy Robertson         11    1   12
Df Bremer                 13    0   13     Df Aaron Hickey            9    2   11
Df Wesley França           7    2    9     Df Nathan Patterson        9    2   11
Mf Bruno Guimarães        13    1   14     Df Kieran Tierney          9    2   11
Mf Fabinho                11    1   12     Df Anthony Ralston         7    1    8
Fw Vinícius Júnior        15    0   15     Mf Lewis Ferguson          9    2   11
Fw Raphinha               13    2   15     Mf John McGinn             9    1   10
Fw Gabriel Martinelli     11    1   12     Mf Ryan Christie           7    1    8
Fw Matheus Cunha          11    2   13     Fw Ross Stewart            7    2    9
Fw Endrick                 9    2   11     Fw Lyndon Dykes            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 22 26 66        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 53 29 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 24 26 66         T O T A L S       14  0 58 31 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRAZIL YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alisson Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.31 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Magalhães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.31 (no red card)

Df Bremer : Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.23 (no red card)

Df Wesley França: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.75 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.74 (no red card)

Mf Fabinho : Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Fw Vinícius Júnior: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no red card)

Fw Raphinha : Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.42 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Martinelli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.83 (no red card)

Fw Matheus Cunha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.48 (no red card)

Fw Endrick : Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card)

*******  SCOTLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Angus Gunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.27 (no red card)

Df Andy Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.4 (no red card)

Df Aaron Hickey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.3 (no red card)

Df Nathan Patterson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.4 (no red card)

Df Kieran Tierney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.16 (no red card)

Df Anthony Ralston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.11 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Lewis Ferguson new match skill level =  5
      Lewis Ferguson new match total level =  7

Mf John McGinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.09 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Christie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)

Fw Ross Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.28 (no red card)

Fw Lyndon Dykes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRAZIL CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brazil Team Hardness = 0
   - Scotland Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alisson Becker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.47 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Magalhães: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.5 (no injury) 
Df Bremer : Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.13 (no injury) 
Df Wesley França: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.95 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Guimarães: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.26 (no injury) 
Mf Fabinho : Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.69 (no injury) 
Fw Vinícius Júnior: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.57 (no injury) 
Fw Raphinha : Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.7 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Martinelli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.05 (no injury) 
Fw Matheus Cunha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.29 (no injury) 
Fw Endrick : Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.62 (no injury) 

*******  SCOTLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Scotland Team Hardness = 0
   - Brazil Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Angus Gunn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.51 (no injury) 
Df Andy Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hickey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.21 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Patterson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no injury) 
Df Kieran Tierney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Df Anthony Ralston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.38 (no injury) 
Mf John McGinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.45 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Christie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ross Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no injury) 
Fw Lyndon Dykes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SCOTLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vinícius Júnior SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Angus Gunn SL 9

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRAZIL CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andy Robertson SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Alisson Becker SL 13

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRAZIL ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brazil                   15  15  24  26  66
  Scotland                 14   0  58  27  18

Brazil Fw Attacks = 8 (66 - 58); result rounded up
Brazil Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Brazil Df Attacks = 2 ((24 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Brazil Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Bremer 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Bremer 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Matheus Cunha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
      Shaman VAR Review (offside): 2% chance | Roll = 42
4: Attack for Fw Endrick 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Raphinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
      Shaman VAR Review (offside): 2% chance | Roll = 38
6: Attack for Fw Vinícius Júnior
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Vinícius Júnior
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Vinícius Júnior
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Vinícius Júnior
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Raphinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Scotland
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SCOTLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Scotland                 14   0  58  27  18
  Brazil                   15  15  24  26  66

Scotland is Playing For A Draw!
Scotland Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 24)
Scotland Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Scotland Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Scotland Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRAZIL 2  -  SCOTLAND 0
 
Match Notes
I imagine the real world will mirror this result.
Brian (Germany) 06/24 - 5:26 PM  
 
 
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