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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

UNITED STATES                              SWEDEN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gregory Reyna          15    1   16     Gk Kurt Östman            16    2   18
Sw Bradley Perry          13    1   14     Sw Lars Stenbeck          11    1   12
Df Christian Hennessey    15    1   16     Df Martin Persson         13    1   14
Df Gregory Robinson       13    1   14     Df Kurt Mörner            10    2   12
Df William Roldan         12    1   13     Mf Isaac Juhlin           14    1   15
Df Jeff Stewart           16    1   17     Mf Ludwig Troell          12    1   13
Mf Cameron Gates          12    1   13     Mf Per Alexandersson      11    1   12
Mf Seth Sibley            10    1   11     Mf Mats Larsson           11    1   12
Mf Cobi Keller             8    2   10     Mf Johan Larsson           8    2   10
Fw Justin Sibley          12    1   13     Fw Sven Skog              15    1   16
Fw Weston Ross            10    1   11     Fw Ulf Helander           13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 60 34 24        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 26 62 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 60 34 24         T O T A L S       18 15 26 62 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  UNITED STATES YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.81 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.52 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.98 (no red card)

Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.22 (no red card)

Df William Roldan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.47 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.21 (no red card)

Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.69 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

Fw Weston Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.96 (no red card)

*******  SWEDEN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.73 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.74 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.89 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.39 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.89 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.01 (no red card)

Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.8 (no second yellow)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.66 (no red card)

Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.38 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.37 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  UNITED STATES CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - United States Team Hardness = 0
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.6 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.04 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.94 (no injury) 
Df William Roldan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.95 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.56 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.19 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.58 (no injury) 
Fw Weston Ross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.4 (no injury) 

*******  SWEDEN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - United States Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.37 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.24 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.62 (no injury) 
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.33 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.63 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWEDEN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jeff Stewart SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  UNITED STATES CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  UNITED STATES ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  United States            19  17  60  34  24
  Sweden                   18  15  26  62  30

United States Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 26)
United States Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 62) / 2;  rounded up)
United States Df Attacks = 10 ((60 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
United States Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df William Roldan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Gregory Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWEDEN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sweden                   18  15  26  62  30
  United States            19  17  60  34  24

Sweden Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 60)
Sweden Mf Attacks = 14 ((62 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sweden Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Sweden Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Johan Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 14.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Johan Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Johan Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 5.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
UNITED STATES 0  -  SWEDEN 1
 
Match Notes
Both teams with sound tactics. One booking and one goal. And quietly Sweden sneaks back to the semifinals.
Brian (Poland) 09/25 - 9:39 PM
 
 
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