(H)
United States
Phil McIntosh
Turkey
John Holden
WC MD15
🏟️ SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles | 👥 70,240
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
UNITED STATES TURKEY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matt Turner 10 1 11 Gk Uğurcan Çakır 10 2 12
Sw Chris Richards 10 2 12 Sw Samet Akaydin 8 1 9
Df Sergiño Dest 12 0 12 Df Mert Müldür 10 2 12
Df Auston Trusty 8 2 10 Df Ferdi Kadıoğlu 10 2 12
Mf Tyler Adams 10 1 11 Df Ozan Kabak 8 2 10
Mf Weston McKennie 10 1 11 Mf Salih Özcan 10 1 11
Fw Christian Pulisic 12 1 13 Mf İsmail Yüksek 8 2 10
Fw Folarin Balogun 10 1 11 Fw Arda Güler 12 1 13
Fw Ricardo Pepi 10 1 11 Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz 8 2 10
Fw Timothy Weah 10 2 12 Fw İrfan Can Kahveci 8 2 10
Fw Brenden Aaronson 10 1 11 Fw Can Uzun 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
11 12 22 22 58 ROSTER TOTALS 12 9 34 21 42
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 12 22 22 65 T O T A L S 13 9 34 21 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* UNITED STATES YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Matt Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.78 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.11 (no red card)
Sw Chris Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.66 (no red card)
Df Sergiño Dest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.05 (no red card)
Df Auston Trusty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.99 (no red card)
Mf Tyler Adams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.86 (no red card)
Mf Weston McKennie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.13 (no red card)
Fw Christian Pulisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.64 (no red card)
Fw Folarin Balogun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)
Fw Ricardo Pepi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.06 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.24 (no second yellow)
Fw Timothy Weah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.98 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.56 (no second yellow)
Fw Brenden Aaronson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.18 (no red card)
******* TURKEY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Uğurcan Çakır: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.12 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 76.01 (no red card)
Sw Samet Akaydin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.11 (no red card)
Df Mert Müldür: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.89 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.52 (no second yellow)
Df Ferdi Kadıoğlu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.8 (no red card)
Df Ozan Kabak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.9 (no red card)
Mf Salih Özcan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.48 (no red card)
Mf İsmail Yüksek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.87 (no red card)
Fw Arda Güler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.45 (no red card)
Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.53 (no red card)
Fw İrfan Can Kahveci: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card)
Fw Can Uzun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* UNITED STATES CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- United States Team Hardness = 0
- Turkey Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Matt Turner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.75 (no injury)
Sw Chris Richards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.13 (no injury)
Df Sergiño Dest: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.53 (no injury)
Df Auston Trusty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.87 (no injury)
Mf Tyler Adams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury)
Mf Weston McKennie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury)
Fw Christian Pulisic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.7 (no injury)
Fw Folarin Balogun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.56 (no injury)
Fw Ricardo Pepi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.46 (no injury)
Fw Timothy Weah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.78 (no injury)
Fw Brenden Aaronson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.53 (no injury)
******* TURKEY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Turkey Team Hardness = 1
- United States Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Uğurcan Çakır: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.56 (no injury)
Sw Samet Akaydin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.8 (no injury)
Df Mert Müldür: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.27 (no injury)
Df Ferdi Kadıoğlu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.82 (no injury)
Df Ozan Kabak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.87 (no injury)
Mf Salih Özcan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.24 (no injury)
Mf İsmail Yüksek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no injury)
Fw Arda Güler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.91 (no injury)
Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury)
Fw İrfan Can Kahveci: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.69 (no injury)
Fw Can Uzun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TURKEY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sergiño Dest SL 12
- Defending Gk: Uğurcan Çakır SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
******* UNITED STATES CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Arda Güler SL 12
- Defending Gk: Matt Turner SL 10
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* UNITED STATES ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
United States 11 12 22 22 65
Turkey 13 9 34 21 42
United States Fw Attacks = 31 (65 - 34); result rounded up
United States Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
United States Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
United States Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Tyler Adams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Folarin Balogun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Folarin Balogun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Brenden Aaronson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Brenden Aaronson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Brenden Aaronson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Folarin Balogun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Brenden Aaronson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Folarin Balogun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Brenden Aaronson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Timothy Weah
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 27.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Ricardo Pepi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Christian Pulisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Folarin Balogun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* TURKEY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Turkey 13 9 34 21 42
United States 11 12 22 22 65
Turkey Fw Attacks = 20 (42 - 22); result rounded up
Turkey Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Turkey Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Turkey Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Fw İrfan Can Kahveci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Can Uzun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Can Uzun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 69.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Can Uzun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 23.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw İrfan Can Kahveci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Barış Alper Yılmaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw İrfan Can Kahveci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Arda Güler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
UNITED STATES 1 - TURKEY 3
Match Notes
Hazel and Jeff all over this prediction...
Allan (Haiti) 06/25 - 10:29 PM
Even John picked USA? Wow! Big win for Turkiye!
Allan (Haiti) 06/25 - 10:30 PM
Wow! John takes it to the hosts and wins the group with ease.
Brian (Tunisia) 06/25 - 11:26 PM