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Germany
Martyn Hathaway
 
Mexico
Roy Rolsten
 
 
World Cup 48 3rd Place
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

GERMANY                                    MEXICO

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Uli Schaub              9    2   11     Gk MEX GK 2               12    1   13
Sw Toni Meyer             13    1   14     Sw Saul Aquino            13    2   15
Df Tobias Kimmich         12    1   13     Df Martin Rodríguez       13    0   13
Df Florian Ramelow        12    0   12     Df Rodrigo de Corona      11    2   13
Df Erik Richter           10    1   11     Df Antonio Moreno          8    2   10
Df Niklas Ziege           10    2   12     Mf Santiago Villa         13   -2   11
Mf Tobias Graf            13    1   14     Mf Raúl Lozano            11    1   12
Mf Joshua Brandt           9    1   10     Fw Julio Morales          15    1   16
Mf Per Hamann              7    2    9     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        15    1   16
Fw Armin Seuffert         13    1   14     Fw Eduardo Luna           14   -1   13
Fw Jonas Kimmich          13   -1   12     Fw Héctor Vasquez         13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 14 48 33 26        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 36 23 59    
       0  0  3  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 14 62 33 26         T O T A L S       13 15 36 23 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  GERMANY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Uli Schaub: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.71 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.68 (no second yellow)

Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.16 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no red card)

Df Niklas Ziege: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 16.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no red card)

Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 8.6 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 9.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no red card)

Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 78.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.0 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 66.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 57.99 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.34 (no red card)

*******  MEXICO YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk MEX GK 2: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.13 (no red card)

Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.1 (no second yellow)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)

Mf Raúl Lozano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.83 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.38 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.6 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.84 (no red card)

Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  GERMANY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Germany Team Hardness = 3
   - Mexico Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Uli Schaub: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 31.92 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.89 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.11 (no injury) 
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.19 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.6 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Ziege: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.44 (no injury) 
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.24 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Brandt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury) 
Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.94 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.36 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.1 (no injury) 

*******  MEXICO CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mexico Team Hardness = 0
   - Germany Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk MEX GK 2: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      MEX GK 2 loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      MEX GK 2 new match skill level =  6
      MEX GK 2 new match total level =  7
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.79 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.29 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury) 
Df Antonio Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.22 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.0 (no injury) 
Mf Raúl Lozano: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 28.66 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.42 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 49.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MEXICO CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tobias Graf SL 13
   - Defending Gk: MEX GK 2 SL 6

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  GERMANY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Julio Morales SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Uli Schaub SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  GERMANY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Germany                  11  14  62  33  26
  Mexico                   7  15  36  23  59

Germany is Playing For A Draw!
Germany Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 36)
Germany Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Germany Df Attacks = 1 ((62 - 59) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Germany Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Niklas Ziege
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Per Hamann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joshua Brandt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 75.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Per Hamann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 70.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  MEXICO ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mexico                   7  15  36  23  59
  Germany                  11  14  62  33  26

Mexico Fw Attacks = 0 (59 - 62)
Mexico Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Mexico Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Mexico Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Rodrigo de Corona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Antonio Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Rodrigo de Corona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
GERMANY 2  -  MEXICO 1
 
Match Notes
This might be for the bronze medal, but it's going to be a fantastic scrap til the finish.
Brian (Poland) 09/29 - 4:07 PM
Congratulations Martyn and nice run here Mr. Rolsten!
Allan (Ireland) 10/01 - 11:27 PM
Well played Martyn
Roy (Mexico) 10/02 - 6:11 PM
Random injury to our keeper losing 4 fitness before KO did not help!
Roy (Mexico) 10/02 - 6:12 PM
 
 
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