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Sweden
Mike Cabral
 
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Vick Hall
 
 
World Cup 48 Final
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWEDEN                                     UKRAINE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          17    1   18     Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    1   17
Sw Lars Stenbeck          11    1   12     Sw Nazariy Kozak          16    1   17
Df Martin Persson         13    0   13     Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       16    1   17
Df Sakariya Hedman        10    1   11     Df Duško Bondarenko       14    1   15
Df Kurt Mörner            10    2   12     Df Yuriy Polishchuk       13    2   15
Mf Isaac Juhlin           14   -1   13     Mf Nazariy Gusak          13    1   14
Mf Ludwig Troell          12    1   13     Mf Borys Onishchenko       9    2   11
Mf Per Alexandersson      11    1   12     Fw Adam Vasilev           15    0   15
Df Mats Larsson            9    1   10     Fw Valentyn Shulga        17    1   18
Fw Sven Skog              15    1   16     Fw Valeriy Yastenko       13    2   15
Mf Ulf Helander           11    1   12     Fw Slava Levchenko        13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 12 46 50 16        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 47 25 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  2  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 46 50 17         T O T A L S       20 17 47 26 65    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWEDEN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.37 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.45 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.12 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.21 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.82 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.99 (no red card)

Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.96 (no red card)

Df Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.19 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)

Mf Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.45 (no red card)

*******  UKRAINE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.81 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.05 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.6 (no red card)

Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.39 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.67 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Borys Onishchenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.4 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.78 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWEDEN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - Ukraine Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 2.41 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.45 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.37 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.14 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.79 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.21 (no injury) 
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.68 (no injury) 
Df Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.17 (no injury) 
Mf Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.41 (no injury) 

*******  UKRAINE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ukraine Team Hardness = 1
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.33 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.39 (no injury) 
Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.49 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.16 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.18 (no injury) 
Mf Borys Onishchenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.15 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.52 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  UKRAINE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWEDEN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWEDEN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sweden                   18  14  46  50  17
  Ukraine                  20  17  47  26  65

Sweden Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 47)
Sweden Mf Attacks = 12 ((50 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sweden Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Sweden Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Per Alexandersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  UKRAINE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ukraine                  20  17  47  26  65
  Sweden                   18  14  46  50  17

Ukraine Fw Attacks = 19 (65 - 46); result rounded up
Ukraine Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Ukraine Df Attacks = 10 ((47 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Ukraine Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Yuriy Polishchuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Duško Bondarenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Duško Bondarenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Duško Bondarenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Yuriy Polishchuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWEDEN 0  -  UKRAINE 1
 
Match Notes
The blue & yellow final!
Brian (Poland) 09/29 - 2:54 PM
Ukraine look strong even with the injury.

Best of luck chaps
Roger (Korea) 09/29 - 3:37 PM
Best of luck in the final Mike. I´m sure it will be an entertaining game!!!!!
Vick (Ukraine) 09/30 - 9:38 AM
Wow, what a clean game. Congratulations Vick on your first trophy. Mike, you were so close. Next year!
Brian (Poland) 10/01 - 9:42 PM
Congrats, Vick, champs!
Mike (Sweden) 10/01 - 9:51 PM
We knew we were a bit outgunned here and could not be happier with our showing (unless we won) in the Cup.
Mike (Sweden) 10/01 - 9:52 PM
Brian, thanks for a great addition to the Olmec family of games.
Mike (Sweden) 10/01 - 9:52 PM
Delighted to have won such a coveted cup for Ukraine!

Unlucky Mike
Vick (Ukraine) 10/01 - 10:37 PM
Congratulations Vick!
Allan (Ireland) 10/01 - 11:28 PM
Great tourney run Mr. C-Ball!
Allan (Ireland) 10/01 - 11:28 PM
Always a tough ask for Sweden. Congrats Vick.
Roger (Korea) 10/02 - 7:37 AM
 
 
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