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Haiti
Allan Sellers
 
Scotland
James White
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HAITI                                      SCOTLAND

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexandre Pierre        6    1    7     Gk Angus Gunn              9    1   10
Sw Hannes Delcroix         7    1    8     Df Andy Robertson         11    1   12
Df Jean-Kévin Duverne      7    1    8     Df Aaron Hickey            9    1   10
Df Keeto Thermoncy         6    2    8     Df Nathan Patterson        9    1   10
Df Wilguens Paugain        6    1    7     Df Kieran Tierney          9    1   10
Mf Jean-Ricner Bellegarde  9    1   10     Mf Scott McTominay        11    1   12
Mf Woodensky Pierre        6    1    7     Mf Lewis Ferguson          9    1   10
Fw Wilson Isidor          11    1   12     Mf John McGinn             9    1   10
Fw Frantzdy Pierrot        7    1    8     Fw Ché Adams               9    1   10
Fw Duckens Nazon           7    1    8     Fw Lawrence Shankland     11    1   12
Fw Derrick Etienne Jr.     7    1    8     Fw Findlay Curtis          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  8 23 17 36        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 42 32 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 11 25 17 36         T O T A L S       13  0 42 32 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HAITI YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alexandre Pierre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.56 (no red card)

Sw Hannes Delcroix: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.05 (no red card)

Df Jean-Kévin Duverne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.75 (no red card)

Df Keeto Thermoncy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.73 (no red card)

Df Wilguens Paugain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.0 (no red card)

Mf Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.02 (no red card)

Mf Woodensky Pierre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.82 (no red card)

Fw Wilson Isidor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.19 (no red card)

Fw Frantzdy Pierrot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.21 (no red card)

Fw Duckens Nazon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.04 (no red card)

Fw Derrick Etienne Jr.: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

*******  SCOTLAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Angus Gunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.29 (no red card)

Df Andy Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.25 (no red card)

Df Aaron Hickey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.27 (no red card)

Df Nathan Patterson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.88 (no red card)

Df Kieran Tierney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.92 (no red card)

Mf Scott McTominay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.7 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.17 (no red card)

Mf John McGinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)

Fw Ché Adams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.12 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Shankland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card)

Fw Findlay Curtis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HAITI CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Haiti Team Hardness = 0
   - Scotland Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alexandre Pierre: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.39 (no injury) 
Sw Hannes Delcroix: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.29 (no injury) 
Df Jean-Kévin Duverne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.42 (no injury) 
Df Keeto Thermoncy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no injury) 
Df Wilguens Paugain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.66 (no injury) 
Mf Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.08 (no injury) 
Mf Woodensky Pierre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.09 (no injury) 
Fw Wilson Isidor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury) 
Fw Frantzdy Pierrot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.81 (no injury) 
Fw Duckens Nazon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.3 (no injury) 
Fw Derrick Etienne Jr.: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no injury) 

*******  SCOTLAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Scotland Team Hardness = 0
   - Haiti Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Angus Gunn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.16 (no injury) 
Df Andy Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.94 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Hickey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.55 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Patterson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.6 (no injury) 
Df Kieran Tierney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.94 (no injury) 
Mf Scott McTominay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Scott McTominay is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Scott McTominay new match skill level =  6
      Scott McTominay new match total level =  7
Mf Lewis Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.23 (no injury) 
Mf John McGinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.89 (no injury) 
Fw Ché Adams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Shankland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no injury) 
Fw Findlay Curtis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SCOTLAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wilson Isidor SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Angus Gunn SL 9

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  HAITI CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andy Robertson SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Alexandre Pierre SL 6

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HAITI ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Haiti                    10  11  25  17  36
  Scotland                 13   0  42  27  30

Scotland is using Offside Trap!
Haiti Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 42)
Haiti Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Haiti Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Haiti Total Attacks = 0


*******  SCOTLAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Scotland                 13   0  42  27  30
  Haiti                    10  11  25  17  36

Scotland Fw Attacks = 5 (30 - 25); result rounded up
Scotland Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Scotland Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Scotland Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Nathan Patterson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kieran Tierney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf John McGinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf John McGinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 51.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Lewis Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Scott McTominay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Lewis Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Ché Adams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lawrence Shankland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 80.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Lawrence Shankland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Lawrence Shankland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ché Adams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HAITI 0  -  SCOTLAND 1
 
Match Notes
I had lunch with a Scottish friend today. I said to him, surely you’ve got to make it out of the group this time? You’ve only got to beat Haiti. He did not look confident.
Roger (Jordan) 06/09 - 8:11 PM  
Well, he probably knew Haiti had the hardness dial set to 10?
Allan (Mexico) 06/11 - 1:37 AM  
Congratulations to Scotland...
Allan (Mexico) 06/13 - 6:29 PM  
James played this one perfectly.
Brian (Tunisia) 06/18 - 1:33 PM  
 
 
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