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Andy Shaw
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SENEGAL                                    NIGERIA

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16     Gk NGA GK 3                9    2   11
Sw Ibou Sene              12    2   14     Df Alex Ganiyu            12    2   14
Df Ibra Wagué             14    2   16     Df Yahaya Etim            12    2   14
Df Abdou Mballo           14    2   16     Df James Aminu            10    2   12
Df Mohamadou Sy           13    2   15     Df Festus Abubakar         8    2   10
Mf Babou Kebe             14    2   16     Mf Aliyu Edet             14    2   16
Mf Balla Diouf            13    2   15     Mf Efe Akpan              13    2   15
Mf Youssouf Konaté        13    2   15     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          13    2   15
Mf Tony Gueye             10    2   12     Mf Ahmed Usman            15    2   17
Fw Harouna Niang          14    2   16     Fw Julius Nwosu           15    2   17
Fw Jean Diouf             13    2   15     Fw Chibuikem Thomas       12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 47 58 31        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 50 63 31    
       1  1  1  0  2          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 48 58 33         T O T A L S       14  0 50 63 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SENEGAL YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 70.57 (no red card)

Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 61.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 84.72 (no red card)

Df Ibra Wagué: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 99.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 50.32 (no red card)

Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 53.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 29.6 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 75.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 87.35 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 73.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 0.32 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Babou Kebe new match skill level =  7
      Babou Kebe new match total level =  9

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 85.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 58.28 (no red card)

Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 7.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 18.94 (no second yellow)

Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 90.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 75.26 (no red card)

Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 93.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 77.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 44.56 (no red card)

*******  NIGERIA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk NGA GK 3: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 78.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 2.11 (no red card)

Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.73 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no second yellow)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.35 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.19 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no second yellow)

Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.77 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.19 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SENEGAL CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Senegal Team Hardness = 5
   - Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.0%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury) 
Df Ibra Wagué: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 35.94 (no injury) 
Df Abdou Mballo: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 74.38 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 13.54 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 89.25 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 4.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Youssouf Konaté loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Youssouf Konaté new match skill level =  7
      Youssouf Konaté new match total level =  9
Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 4.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Tony Gueye loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tony Gueye new match skill level =  5
      Tony Gueye new match total level =  7
Fw Harouna Niang: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 75.44 (no injury) 

*******  NIGERIA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nigeria Team Hardness = 3
   - Senegal Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk NGA GK 3: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no injury) 
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 12.12 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 8.58 (no injury) 
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 65.78 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 67.57 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Aliyu Edet loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Aliyu Edet new match skill level =  7
      Aliyu Edet new match total level =  9
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 70.04 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 61.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed Usman: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 62.41 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 68.51 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 3.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Chibuikem Thomas loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Chibuikem Thomas new match skill level =  6
      Chibuikem Thomas new match total level =  8
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NIGERIA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ibra Wagué SL 14
   - Defending Gk: NGA GK 3 SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  SENEGAL CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ahmed Usman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SENEGAL ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Senegal                  17  15  48  40  33
  Nigeria                  14   0  50  56  30

Nigeria is using Offside Trap!
Senegal Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 50)
Senegal Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Senegal Df Attacks = 6 ((48 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Senegal Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Ibra Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Ibra Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Mohamadou Sy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nigeria
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NIGERIA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nigeria                  14   0  50  56  30
  Senegal                  17  15  48  40  33

Nigeria Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 48)
Nigeria Mf Attacks = 8 ((56 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nigeria Df Attacks = 4 ((50 - 33) / 5); result rounded up
Nigeria Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df James Aminu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df James Aminu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Alex Ganiyu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Yahaya Etim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ahmed Usman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SENEGAL 2  -  NIGERIA 0
 
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