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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CANADA                                     PORTUGAL

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dayne St. Clair        10    2   12     Gk Diogo Costa            14    2   16
Sw Moïse Bombito          10    0   10     Sw Rúben Dias             14    2   16
Df Alphonso Davies        14    1   15     Df João Cancelo           14    1   15
Df Alistair Johnston      10    0   10     Df Diogo Dalot            12    2   14
Df Alfie Jones             8    2   10     Df Nélson Semedo          12    2   14
Df Derek Cornelius         8    2   10     Mf João Neves             14    1   15
Mf Ismaël Koné            10    2   12     Mf Bruno Fernandes        14    2   16
Mf Stephen Eustáquio      10    1   11     Mf Vitinha                12    2   14
Fw Jonathan David         12    0   12     Fw João Félix             14    1   15
Fw Tajon Buchanan         10    1   11     Fw Rafael Leão            14    1   15
Fw Cyle Larin             10    1   11     Fw Francisco Conceição    12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 10 45 23 34        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 43 45 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        DEFENSE COACH       0  0  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 10 45 23 41         T O T A L S       16 16 45 45 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CANADA YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dayne St. Clair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.85 (no red card)

Sw Moïse Bombito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.24 (no red card)

Df Alphonso Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.88 (no red card)

Df Alistair Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card)

Df Alfie Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.04 (no red card)

Df Derek Cornelius: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)

Mf Ismaël Koné: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card)

Mf Stephen Eustáquio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.12 (no red card)

Fw Jonathan David: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.04 (no red card)

Fw Tajon Buchanan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)

Fw Cyle Larin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.43 (no red card)

*******  PORTUGAL YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Diogo Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.15 (no red card)

Sw Rúben Dias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no red card)

Df João Cancelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.86 (no red card)

Df Diogo Dalot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no second yellow)

Df Nélson Semedo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.24 (no red card)

Mf João Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.92 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.04 (no red card)

Mf Vitinha : Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)

Fw João Félix: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.43 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Leão: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Conceição: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CANADA CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Canada Team Hardness = 0
   - Portugal Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dayne St. Clair: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.89 (no injury) 
Sw Moïse Bombito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.15 (no injury) 
Df Alphonso Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.66 (no injury) 
Df Alistair Johnston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no injury) 
Df Alfie Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury) 
Df Derek Cornelius: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ismaël Koné: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) 
Mf Stephen Eustáquio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.79 (no injury) 
Fw Jonathan David: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.93 (no injury) 
Fw Tajon Buchanan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.07 (no injury) 
Fw Cyle Larin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.93 (no injury) 

*******  PORTUGAL CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Portugal Team Hardness = 0
   - Canada Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Diogo Costa: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.71 (no injury) 
Sw Rúben Dias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.21 (no injury) 
Df João Cancelo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no injury) 
Df Diogo Dalot: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury) 
Df Nélson Semedo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no injury) 
Mf João Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.63 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no injury) 
Mf Vitinha : Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.08 (no injury) 
Fw João Félix: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.84 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Leão: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Conceição: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORTUGAL CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alphonso Davies SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diogo Costa SL 14

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  CANADA CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: João Cancelo SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dayne St. Clair SL 10

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CANADA ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Canada                   12  10  45  23  41
  Portugal                 16  16  45  45  44

Canada Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 45)
Canada Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Canada Df Attacks = 1 ((45 - 44) / 3); result rounded up
Canada Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Derek Cornelius
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PORTUGAL ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Portugal                 16  16  45  45  44
  Canada                   12  10  45  23  41

Portugal Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 45)
Portugal Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Portugal Df Attacks = 2 ((45 - 41) / 3); result rounded up
Portugal Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Diogo Dalot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Nélson Semedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bruno Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf João Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf João Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Vitinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Vitinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf João Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Bruno Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 35.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Vitinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Vitinha 
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf João Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf João Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 68.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CANADA 0  -  PORTUGAL 2
 
Match Notes
Will Carl let CR7 take a PK today?
Allan (Mexico) 07/06 - 12:20 AM  
Also it MUST be noted that Sneaky Carl's Portugal has scored 14 and allowed 0 (ZERO) in this competition...
Allan (Mexico) 07/06 - 12:21 AM  
Please see my comments on US v ARG - they apply here as well.
Brian (Germany) 07/06 - 6:16 PM  
Did Phil forget to use his GPs? Or was he just that confident?
Roger (Netherlands) 07/07 - 5:12 PM  
 
 
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