(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC WIMBLEDON WELLING UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kenzie Ross 15 2 17 Gk Robert Morgan 15 2 17
Df Aarron Lowe 15 2 17 Sw Douglas Pereira 16 2 18
Df Louis Butler 13 2 15 Df Luca Herrmann 14 2 16
Df Luke Jackson 10 2 12 Df Jake McDonald 10 1 11
Df Oscar Evans 7 2 9 Df Amine Monteil 8 1 9
Mf Isao Mori 14 2 16 Mf Leon Baumann 14 2 16
Mf Freddie May 11 2 13 Mf Eoghan Carroll 13 2 15
Mf Aarron Shepherd 10 2 12 Fw Greg Scott 13 2 15
Mf Manuel Iglesias 7 2 9 Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 2 15
Fw Reuben Thomas 13 2 15 Fw Nils Pettersson 12 2 14
Fw Carrington Bates 7 2 9 Fw Allan Burns 11 1 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 0 53 50 24 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 36 31 56
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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20 0 53 59 24 T O T A L S 18 18 36 31 56
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.87 (no red card)
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.2 (no red card)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.04 (no red card)
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no red card)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.84 (no red card)
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.42 (no red card)
Mf Freddie May: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.06 (no red card)
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.13 (no red card)
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.04 (no red card)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.18 (no red card)
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 75.84 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.13 (no red card)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.45 (no red card)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.8 (no red card)
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.11 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.15 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.14 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.8 (no red card)
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.84 (no injury)
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.16 (no injury)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.63 (no injury)
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.56 (no injury)
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.96 (no injury)
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.14 (no injury)
Mf Freddie May: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.19 (no injury)
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury)
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.77 (no injury)
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.11 (no injury)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.17 (no injury)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 27.8 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Douglas Pereira is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no injury)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.53 (no injury)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.93 (no injury)
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.98 (no injury)
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.85 (no injury)
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.14 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Aarron Lowe SL 15
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 15
intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 20 0 53 59 24
Welling United FC 18 18 36 31 56
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 36)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 14 ((59 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 56) / 5; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Freddie May
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Freddie May
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 18 18 36 31 56
AFC Wimbledon 20 0 53 59 24
AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 2 (56 - 53) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 59) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Amine Monteil
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Amine Monteil
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 29.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 0
Match Notes
(dramatic music) Don don don....
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/29 - 4:27 AM
Not much drama. WEL haven't won at WIM since forever.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/01 - 10:51 AM
MASSIVE FIXTURE!!!!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/01 - 4:04 PM
Was justice done with this result?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/01 - 9:19 PM
Roughly, yes. And the gap to WIM is now a manageable 3 LPs.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/04 - 5:46 PM