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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    1   18     Gk Luca Werner            15    2   17
Df Devon Allen            16    2   18     Sw Sean Carroll            9    2   11
Df Luca Herrmann          17    1   18     Df Luke Crowley           13    2   15
Mf Jonas Koch             15    2   17     Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15
Mf Bernd Lang             14    2   16     Df Ciaran Healy            9    2   11
Mf Gaëtan Picard           6    2    8     Df Steve Gordon            5    2    7
Mf Arran Fergus           13    2   15     Mf Fernando Rocha         14    2   16
Mf Nils Pettersson        12    2   14     Mf Joe Barrett            17    2   19
Mf Samuel Rose            11    2   13     Fw Matais Juarez          16    2   18
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15     Fw Michael Turner         14    2   16
Fw Evan Gerrard            9    2   11     Fw Jens Kristensen         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 36 83 26        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 48 35 45    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 43 83 28         T O T A L S       19 13 55 35 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 20.69 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.61 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.74 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.6 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.01 (no red card)

Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.75 (no red card)

Mf Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.13 (no red card)

Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.79 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.78 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 42.96 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 14.44 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 85.77 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.2 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.86 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 63.76 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 26.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 52.55 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 60.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 84.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.86 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.91 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 59.2 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 15.29 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.61 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 34.45 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 90.32 (no injury) 
Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 22.39 (no injury) 
Mf Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 79.96 (no injury) 
Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 48.95 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 92.17 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 79.95 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 59.27 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.27 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.44 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 76.88 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.72 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.19 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 20.1 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.42 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.78 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.22 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 78.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19   0  43  83  28
  Tonbridge Angels         19  13  55  35  45

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 55)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 24 ((83 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Picard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 3.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Picard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 76.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Picard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19  13  55  35  45
  Welling United FC        19   0  43  83  28

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 1 (45 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 83) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 5 ((55 - 28) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 46.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 21.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 14.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
Not expecting to much from this game with Welling chasing down Wimbledon.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/18 - 4:13 PM
Not too much of a chase recently
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:47 PM
That’s a steal by us.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/26 - 11:31 AM
 
 
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