(H)

FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER LUTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18 Gk Hayden Barnes 15 0 15 Sw Keith Davis 15 2 17 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18 Df Steven Gascoigne 13 2 15 Df Thomás Lebre 14 2 16 Df Finlay Butcher 9 2 11 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 13 2 15 Df Melvin Bergman 8 2 10 Mf Robin Ostrander 11 2 13 Mf Cristobal Benitez 15 2 17 Mf Victor Shepard 14 1 15 Mf Simon Fischer 17 2 19 Mf Jonathan Heddle 14 1 15 Mf Kian Sansom 9 2 11 Fw Nathan Phillips 14 2 16 Fw Ben Byrne 16 1 17 Fw Jamie Carroll 13 1 14 Fw Noah Schäfer 13 2 15 Fw William Johnson 12 2 14 Fw Harley Dowson 9 2 11 Fw Nils Schneider 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 17 36 47 43 ROSTER TOTALS 15 18 31 43 57 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 17 36 47 55 T O T A L S 15 18 31 43 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.34 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.6 (no red card) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.64 (no red card) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.49 (no red card) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.74 (no red card) Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.21 (no red card) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.1 (no red card) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.94 (no red card) Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.4 (no red card) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.89 (no red card) Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no red card) ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.86 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.48 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.42 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.32 (no red card) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.53 (no red card) Mf Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.23 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.64 (no red card) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.67 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.97 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card) Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.09 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.54 (no injury) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.87 (no injury) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.79 (no injury) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.47 (no injury) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.94 (no injury) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.13 (no injury) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no injury) Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.8 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Noah Schäfer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Noah Schäfer new match skill level = 7 Noah Schäfer new match total level = 9 Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.86 (no injury) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.87 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.34 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Thomás Lebre is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Thomás Lebre new match skill level = 7 Thomás Lebre new match total level = 9 Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no injury) Mf Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.54 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.91 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.2 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Nathan Phillips is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.07 (no injury) Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15 intRndPk = 77 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Victor Shepard SL 14 - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16 intRndPk = 89 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 20 17 36 47 49 Luton Town FC 15 18 24 43 57 FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 25 (49 - 24); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 2 ((47 - 43) / 2) ; result rounded up FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 57) / 3; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 27: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 15 18 24 43 57 FC United of Manchester 20 17 36 47 49 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (57 - 36); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((43 - 47) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 21 1: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 90.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 50.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 19.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 4 - LUTON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes

Here’s a good way to end our winning streak, before Al even gets a chance to give us the ol’ Kiss of Death!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/14 - 7:59 PM

Unless Mike “hasn’t lost in a month” and the Luton Town team needs to rest a few guys, or play the backups just to make this one a fair match
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/14 - 8:05 PM

Never bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/17 - 5:52 AM

Our unbeaten league season is at high risk here. Best of luck, Kev!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/19 - 6:40 PM


Well done, Kev!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/19 - 7:06 PM

And have yourself a day Mr Ben Byrne!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/20 - 2:46 AM

4 for our Fw! Thrilled to have weathered the Luton legion with aplomb
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/22 - 11:03 PM