(H)
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BEDFORD TOWN FC WELLING UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Guillaume Hebert 9 2 11 Gk Robert Morgan 17 1 18
Sw Ian Moore 15 2 17 Df Devon Allen 16 2 18
Df Lok Guo 14 2 16 Df Luca Herrmann 17 1 18
Df Alfons Larsson 10 2 12 Df Louie Ince 11 2 13
Df Max Hermansson 9 2 11 Df Jonas Koch 13 2 15
Mf Harvey Allen 19 1 20 Mf Bernd Lang 14 2 16
Mf Kyle Moore 11 2 13 Mf Gaëtan Picard 6 2 8
Mf Jeff Shilton 11 2 13 Mf Arran Fergus 13 2 15
Mf Marco Rizzo 10 2 12 Fw Nils Pettersson 14 2 16
Fw Alexander Stewart 15 2 17 Fw Samuel Rose 13 2 15
Fw Zak Bell 9 2 11 Fw Marcos Azevedo 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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11 17 39 58 28 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 64 39 42
0 0 0 2 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 17 48 60 28 T O T A L S 19 0 64 39 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.52 (no red card)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.39 (no red card)
Df Alfons Larsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.53 (no red card)
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.94 (no red card)
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.17 (no red card)
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.01 (no red card)
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.29 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.88 (no second yellow)
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.01 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.07 (no second yellow)
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.97 (no red card)
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 73.14 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.66 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.77 (no red card)
Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.3 (no red card)
Df Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.64 (no red card)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.85 (no red card)
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.56 (no red card)
Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.59 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.45 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.97 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.68 (no injury)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.1 (no injury)
Df Alfons Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 47.34 (no injury)
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.86 (no injury)
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.56 (no injury)
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.89 (no injury)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury)
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.47 (no injury)
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.54 (no injury)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 26.56 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.81 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 8.57 (no injury)
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.67 (no injury)
Df Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.91 (no injury)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 5.4 (no injury)
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 15.01 (no injury)
Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 84.05 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.41 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 74.88 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 19
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 11 17 48 60 28
Welling United FC 19 0 64 39 42
Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 64)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 21 ((60 - 39) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((48 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Df Lok Guo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Lok Guo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 31.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Marco Rizzo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 73.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 2.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Marco Rizzo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Marco Rizzo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 63.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 62.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 32.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 19 0 64 39 42
Bedford Town FC 11 17 48 60 28
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 48)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 60) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 8 ((64 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Devon Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Devon Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Louie Ince
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Louie Ince
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 0
Match Notes
7 matches without win (and counting) are probably a new record for WEL in Div1
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/20 - 9:11 AM
Quite likely also a record for any #1 T7
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/20 - 9:12 AM
Probably time to look for a new manager
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/20 - 9:12 AM