(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC CARLTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 13 0 13 Gk João Costa 8 2 10
Sw Joel Strömberg 15 2 17 Df Francis Martin 14 2 16
Df Philipp Koch 18 2 20 Df Chris Howard 14 1 15
Df Frank Goodwin 9 2 11 Df Carleton Griffiths 8 2 10
Mf Nathan Dean 15 2 17 Mf Alexander Daly 13 2 15
Mf Rhys Johnstone 9 2 11 Mf Liam Dixon 12 1 13
Mf Harley Ritchie 9 2 11 Mf Federico Gentile 10 2 12
Fw Corey Williams 13 2 15 Mf Oscar Zapata 7 2 9
Fw Nathan Phillips 12 2 14 Fw Trevor Hanny 14 2 16
Fw Roberto Conti 9 2 11 Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 0 15
Fw Victor Jourdan 9 2 11 Fw Rhys McColl 11 1 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 17 31 39 51 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 41 49 43
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 4 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 1 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 18 31 39 60 T O T A L S 10 0 41 53 43
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.26 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.33 (no red card)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.92 (no red card)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.64 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.71 (no red card)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.13 (no red card)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.77 (no red card)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.05 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.04 (no red card)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.46 (no red card)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk João Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.87 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.49 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 26.28 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.41 (no red card)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 49.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 1.35 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Carleton Griffiths new match skill level = 4
Carleton Griffiths new match total level = 6
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.76 (no red card)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 11.84 (no red card)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 57.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.73 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.01 (no red card)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.19 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 46.96 (no second yellow)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 33.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 47.78 (no red card)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 58.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.91 (no injury)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.41 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 98.11 (no injury)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.62 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 20.39 (no injury)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.21 (no injury)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.4 (no injury)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 63.87 (no injury)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk João Costa: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 43.09 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.86 (no injury)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.92 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no injury)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.54 (no injury)
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.8 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.09 (no injury)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.72 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Philipp Koch SL 18
- Defending Gk: João Costa SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 16 18 31 39 60
Carlton Town FC 10 0 37 53 43
Carlton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (60 - 37) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 53) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 81.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Roberto Conti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Victor Jourdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Victor Jourdan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 26.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 10 0 37 53 43
Luton Town FC 16 18 31 39 60
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (43 - 31); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((53 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 33.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 2 - CARLTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Essential home points here as we try to stave off relegation.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/04 - 3:32 PM
Halpins often find a way, best of luck Mike!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/04 - 3:32 PM
Luton win 2-0. The points go to the home side, as physics and mild competence intended. Carlton Town made the trip, which is something, though I am not entirely sure what.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 07/04 - 7:31 PM