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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17     Gk Marcus Mathisen        14    2   16
Sw Fortunato  Torres      11    1   12     Sw Arran Wood             12    2   14
Df Gabriel Williams       15    2   17     Df Ethan Shaw             14    0   14
Df Henry Martin           14    0   14     Df Mael Bourdon           12    0   12
Df Freddy Arboleda         9    2   11     Df Maximillian Beerman    10    2   12
Mf Benjamin Healy         14    1   15     Mf Carlos Torres          16    0   16
Mf Gregor Millar           9    2   11     Mf Thomas Hills           11    2   13
Fw Ian Hunter             15    1   16     Fw Reece Fortune-West     16   -1   15
Fw Conor Thompson         14    2   16     Fw Frank Gerrard          15   -1   14
Fw William Torres         12    1   13     Fw Nicola Marino          16    1   17
Fw Justin Neumann          9    1   10     Fw Michael White           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 12 42 26 55        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 38 29 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 12 42 26 64         T O T A L S       16 14 38 29 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.16 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.25 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.76 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.14 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.56 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.14 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.03 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.47 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.9 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.06 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.29 (no red card)

Df Mael Bourdon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.26 (no second yellow)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.61 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.08 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.88 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.05 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.92 (no red card)

Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.98 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.92 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.62 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.27 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.58 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.13 (no injury) 
Df Mael Bourdon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.61 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.98 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.82 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Reece Fortune-West is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Reece Fortune-West new match skill level =  8
      Reece Fortune-West new match total level =  7
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.59 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.64 (no injury) 
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Williams SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 14

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Torres SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  42  26  64
  York City FC             16  14  38  29  49

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 26 (64 - 38); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 89.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             16  14  38  29  49
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  42  26  64

York City FC Fw Attacks = 7 (49 - 42); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Carlos Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  YORK CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
R.O.U.S.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/17 - 5:59 AM
Fortunate to get a win and I don't know what ROUS means...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/19 - 7:11 PM
 
 
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