Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:53:13 PM (gmt)
 
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Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIDGWATER TOWN                            CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joe Richman             2    2    4     Gk Benjamin Guery          6    2    8
Sw Lucas Moore             6    2    8     Df Chris Howard            5    2    7
Df Josh Martin            10    0   10     Df Dylan Cameron           5    1    6
Df John Tufnel             6    2    8     Df Francis Martin          2    2    4
Df Cesar Ruiz              2    2    4     Mf Federico Gentile        9    1   10
Mf Melker Lundin           6    2    8     Mf Liam Dixon              5    2    7
Mf Jakob Schmitz           5    2    7     Mf Alexander Daly          2    2    4
Fw Conall Walsh           14    0   14     Fw Jonas Lien              8    0    8
Fw Jay Meldrum            10    0   10     Fw Taylor Cockayne         7    1    8
Fw Toby Hall               5    2    7     Fw Sveinur Hansen          6    2    8
Fw Taylor Shilton          5    2    7     Fw Trevor Hanny            2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4  8 22 15 38        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 17 21 28    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       4  8 22 15 40         T O T A L S        8  0 17 21 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.46 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.09 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.26 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.29 (no red card)

Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.43 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.77 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.51 (no red card)

Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.44 (no red card)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.58 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.17 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.24 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.05 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.77 (no red card)

Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.41 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.78 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.81 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.98 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.59 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.83 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Joe Richman: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 39.9 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.22 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.55 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.26 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury) 
Fw Conall Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.92 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.97 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.22 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.56 (no injury) 
Df Dylan Cameron: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.36 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.05 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.05 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.85 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.51 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.42 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Trevor Hanny is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Trevor Hanny new match skill level =  1
      Trevor Hanny new match total level =  3
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Conall Walsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 6

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Federico Gentile SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Joe Richman SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          4   8  22  15  40
  Carlton Town FC          8   0  17  21  27

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 23 (40 - 17); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 74.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 69.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 23.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 36.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Toby Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 68.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 4.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Taylor Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Taylor Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Taylor Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 99.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Conall Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 51 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jay Meldrum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 69.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          8   0  17  21  27
  Bridgwater Town          4   8  22  15  40

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (27 - 22); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((21 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 58.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 43.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 69.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIDGWATER TOWN 6  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Bridgwater needs to win, have Clevedon lose, and make up six goals of difference. Carlton are out and have the blues. That sentence was an aussie rules pun.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 10:39 PM
 
 
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