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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 42 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jermaine Anderson      15    1   16     Gk Leon Farrell           15    2   17
Df Gonzalo Sanz           17    1   18     Df Marius Jacobsen         2    2    4
Df Bryan Martin            9    2   11     Df Steven Williams        13    2   15
Df Peter Chaffersey        4    2    6     Df Jannis Schmid           4    2    6
Mf Jayden McLaughlin      15    2   17     Df Jules De Cock           2    2    4
Mf Francisco Reyes         9    2   11     Mf Finn McMillan          16    2   18
Mf Joel Symes              4    2    6     Mf Alex Turner             9    2   11
Fw Gregg Smith             9    2   11     Mf Alexander Long          8    2   10
Fw André Ribeiro           9    2   11     Mf Jack Young              4    2    6
Fw Sean Ward               4    2    6     Fw Ze'ev Bar               9    2   11
Fw Joshua Holmes           4    2    6     Fw Daniel Pritchard        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 35 34 34        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 29 45 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 35 34 34         T O T A L S       20  0 29 45 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.64 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.3 (no red card)

Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)

Df Peter Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Jayden McLaughlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.19 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.88 (no red card)

Mf Joel Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.85 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.4 (no red card)

Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.86 (no red card)

Fw Sean Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.58 (no red card)

Fw Joshua Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.22 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card)

Df Marius Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.67 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.73 (no red card)

Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.57 (no red card)

Df Jules De Cock: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.11 (no red card)

Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.31 (no red card)

Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.49 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.56 (no red card)

Mf Jack Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.75 (no red card)

Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.07 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Pritchard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.23 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.44 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.48 (no injury) 
Df Peter Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.21 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden McLaughlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Reyes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.49 (no injury) 
Mf Joel Symes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.68 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.58 (no injury) 
Fw André Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.52 (no injury) 
Fw Joshua Holmes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.44 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 14.2 (no injury) 
Df Marius Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.09 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Steven Williams is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Steven Williams new match skill level =  7
      Steven Williams new match total level =  9
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.85 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jannis Schmid is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jules De Cock: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.82 (no injury) 
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.92 (no injury) 
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.9 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.38 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Pritchard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 15

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Finn McMillan SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jermaine Anderson SL 15

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           19   0  35  34  34
  FC United of Manchester  20   0  23  45  17

FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (34 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Bryan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 63.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Bryan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 12.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 95.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Sean Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Joshua Holmes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Sean Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw André Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  20   0  23  45  17
  Kendal Town FC           19   0  35  34  34

Kendal Town FC is using Offside Trap!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 35)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 34) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 5;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 37.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 63.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Alexander Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 11.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 2  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
 
Match Notes
Kmart arrives at a neutral venue with youth players and a historical inability to win things of significance, which feels entirely on brand. Kendal Town await, unmoved by irony.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/22 - 7:30 PM  
Had hoped to avoid this draw. Lost to Ian in the semis last season
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/22 - 8:52 PM  
Our only consolation is that we had a better expected goal outcome based on the stats. Sometimes the best you can do is put the team in a good spot to win, and Olmec has to do the rest. Once again, Olmec favors Ian
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/29 - 8:08 PM  
 
 
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