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Allan Sellers
 
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World Cup 48 Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

IRELAND                                    SWEDEN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Carsley          15    1   16     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Marek Murray            8    1    9     Sw Lars Stenbeck          11    2   13
Df Edwin O'Doherty        13    1   14     Df Martin Persson         13    1   14
Df Shay Given             11    1   12     Df Kurt Mörner            10    2   12
Df Marek Murphy            8    1    9     Fw Isaac Juhlin           12    1   13
Df Brian Finnan            8    2   10     Mf Ludwig Troell          12    1   13
Df Gareth Smith           11    1   12     Mf Per Alexandersson      11    1   12
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          13    1   14     Mf Mats Larsson           11    1   12
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke       11    1   12     Fw Sven Skog              15    1   16
Fw IRE FW 1                9    1   10     Fw Ulf Helander           13    1   14
Fw Charles Sweeney         9    2   11     Fw Mats Göthberg           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  9 57 26 21        ROSTER TOTALS      19 13 26 37 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 12 61 26 21         T O T A L S       19 13 26 37 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  IRELAND YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.57 (no red card)

Sw Marek Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.03 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.95 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.98 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.69 (no red card)

Df Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Edwin O'Kelly new match skill level =  7
      Edwin O'Kelly new match total level =  8

Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.61 (no red card)

Fw IRE FW 1: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.36 (no red card)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.39 (no red card)

*******  SWEDEN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.06 (no red card)

Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.98 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.7 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.52 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.24 (no red card)

Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.57 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.03 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.62 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.63 (no red card)

Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  IRELAND CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.73 (no injury) 
Sw Marek Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.83 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.49 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.88 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.65 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.89 (no injury) 
Mf Gearoid O'Rourke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.95 (no injury) 
Fw IRE FW 1: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.12 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.45 (no injury) 

*******  SWEDEN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sweden Team Hardness = 0
   - Ireland Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.91 (no injury) 
Sw Lars Stenbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.26 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.81 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.43 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.81 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Per Alexandersson loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Per Alexandersson new match skill level =  6
      Per Alexandersson new match total level =  7
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.45 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.24 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.65 (no injury) 
Fw Mats Göthberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWEDEN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edwin O'Doherty SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  IRELAND CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sven Skog SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  IRELAND ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ireland                  19  12  61  20  21
  Sweden                   19  13  26  32  53

Ireland is Playing For A Draw!
Ireland Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 26)
Ireland Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Ireland Df Attacks = 2 ((61 - 53) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ireland Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Marek Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWEDEN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sweden                   19  13  26  32  53
  Ireland                  19  12  61  20  21

Sweden Fw Attacks = 0 (53 - 61)
Sweden Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sweden Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Sweden Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kurt Mörner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
IRELAND 0  -  SWEDEN 0
 
Match Notes
Business Trip...
Allan (Ireland) 09/07 - 12:50 PM
A bore draw
Dave (Argentina) 09/15 - 12:52 AM
 
 
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