(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
AP Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED SWANSEA CITY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18 Gk Pathé Ndong 13 2 15
Sw Gilbert Tchato 16 0 16 Sw Yarik Sidorenko 10 2 12
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa 14 1 15 Df Min-Seong Jung 12 2 14
Df Eric Kompany 13 2 15 Df Munir Hamdallah 11 1 12
Df Lars Koster 12 2 14 Df Jordan Cummings 11 1 12
Mf Ludwig Troell 13 2 15 Mf Kwasi Twumasi 12 2 14
Mf Quentin Meunier 12 2 14 Mf Aurelien Maitron 8 2 10
Fw Marek Grabara 14 2 16 Fw Dario Vasilj 16 2 18
Fw Franco Almada 12 2 14 Fw Fernando Guimarães 15 1 16
Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18 Fw Yeltsin Venegas 16 2 18
Fw Marco Trapp 10 2 12 Fw Renato Cabanas 10 -1 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 16 44 29 60 ROSTER TOTALS 15 12 38 24 61
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 6 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 16 44 29 69 T O T A L S 18 12 44 24 61
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 93.07 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.19 (no red card)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.73 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.57 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.3 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.27 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.34 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.95 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.94 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.9 (no red card)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.84 (no red card)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.06 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.72 (no red card)
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.25 (no red card)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.85 (no red card)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.63 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.14 (no red card)
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.6 (no red card)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.94 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.89 (no second yellow)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.2 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.94 (no red card)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.22 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.94 (no injury)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.67 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.62 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.46 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.44 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.31 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.09 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.4 (no injury)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.83 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.35 (no injury)
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.44 (no injury)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.54 (no injury)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.67 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.61 (no injury)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.19 (no injury)
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.62 (no injury)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.12 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.45 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.16 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.78 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13
intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Dario Vasilj SL 16
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 16 44 29 69
Swansea City AFC 18 12 44 24 61
Southend United Fw Attacks = 25 (69 - 44); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((29 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Mf Quentin Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Quentin Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 18 12 44 24 61
Southend United 21 16 44 29 69
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 17 (61 - 44); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 69) / 3; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 73.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
===============================================
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E X T R A T I M E !!!!!!!!!!
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Note that in extra time, the formulas for determining how many bookings,
penalty kicks, injuries, and attacks are approximately 1/3 of the same
chance in regulation time. Its not always EXACTLY 1/3 but it will be close.
============================================================================
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Each player's level (skill level + fitness) is now reduced by their age (except for Gks - no reduction).
SBY and APP players do not get a reduction.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 64.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.36% | Random number = 87.07 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 12.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 14.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 40.99 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 21.27 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 77.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 12.02 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 66.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 16.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 59.51 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 95.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 25.25 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 6.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 94.84 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 54.8 (no red card)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 65.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 98.63 (no red card)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.24% | Random number = 76.66 (no red card)
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 91.55 (no red card)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 39.56 (no red card)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 72.66 (no red card)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.27 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 44.9 (no second yellow)
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 31.69 (no red card)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 35.25 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 45.33 (no red card)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 74.51 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 0.9%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.46%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 0.46% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 76.39 (no injury)
Df Tetsuo Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 84.93 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 79.82 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 36.74 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 51.29 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 98.2 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 43.94 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 99.21 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 92.78 (no injury)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 89.22 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.07%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.55%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 0.55% | Random number = 23.66 (no injury)
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 64.84 (no injury)
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 48.56 (no injury)
Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 11.54 (no injury)
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 95.21 (no injury)
Mf Kwasi Twumasi: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury)
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 36.19 (no injury)
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 34.15 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 7.53 (no injury)
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury)
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tetsuo Hoshizawa SL 12
- Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13
intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 2% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Dario Vasilj SL 14
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 14 37 25 61
Swansea City AFC 18 11 38 21 51
Southend United Fw Attacks = 8 (61 - 38) * .33; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 21) / 2) * .33; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Quentin Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swansea City AFC 18 11 38 21 51
Southend United 21 14 37 25 61
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (51 - 37) * .33; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Guimarães
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
E N D O F E X T R A T I M E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
===============================================
===============================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T
===============================================
- Southend United Gk (Home): Yassine Amara SL 16
- Swansea City AFC Gk (Away): Pathé Ndong SL 13
************ ROUND 1 ************
Round 1: Yassine Amara (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 82 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 1 : SWA - 0)
Round 1: Dario Vasilj (SWA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 52 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 1 : SWA - 1)
************ ROUND 2 ************
Round 2: Gilbert Tchato (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2 : SWA - 1)
Round 2: Yeltsin Venegas (SWA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2 : SWA - 2)
************ ROUND 3 ************
Round 3: Percy Maguire (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 3 : SWA - 2)
Round 3: Fernando Guimarães (SWA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 74 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 3 : SWA - 3)
************ ROUND 4 ************
Round 4: Tetsuo Hoshizawa (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4 : SWA - 3)
Round 4: Pathé Ndong (SWA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4 : SWA - 4)
************ ROUND 5 ************
Round 5: Marek Grabara (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 83 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 4 : SWA - 4)
Round 5: Min-Seong Jung (SWA) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 14 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 4 : SWA - 5)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
===============================================
P K S H O O T O U T
SOUTHEND UNITED 4 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 5
Match Notes
Colin Scott at home. Swansea won't fancy this. His lot never make it easy for anyone.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 13 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
i think we can say that if Olmec Head Ray had a prediction option he would be plumping for Southend.
~ Vick ~ Jun 20 (Weston-super-Mare AFC)
Evenly matched in history but I favour the Weston beach boys winning this one
~ Graham ~ Jun 20 (Cardiff City FC)

Colin got through ninety minutes and extra time but couldn't hold his nerve in the shootout. Tough one that.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 20 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Olmec Head Ray has let his nomination for coaching points go to his head...
~ Roy ~ Jun 20 (Swansea City AFC)
Unlucky Colin. I thought your keeper was going to be the difference
~ Roy ~ Jun 20 (Swansea City AFC)
28 attacks to 17. Can’t believe this has gone to pens.
~ Colin ~ Jun 20 (Southend United)
Well done Roy. Good luck in the Final.
~ Colin ~ Jun 20 (Southend United)