Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 5

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at Mat-Su

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

Mat-Su leads series 15-14

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			Mat-Su
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
60.75	D+	Libero		A+	95.25
86.63	A-	Middle Blockers		A-	89.88
97.38	A+	Outside Hitters		A-	88.50
60.50	D+	Right Side		A	93.25
85.50	B+	Setter		A+	95.25
		Skills Prediction

	29 MATCHES
14	WINS	15
11	HOME	12
2	AWAY	3
1	NEUTRAL	0

Carlsbad		Mat-Su
#23	ELO Rank	#24

1,454.61	ELO Rating	1,448.69 (+145)

37.1%	ELO Winning Chance	62.9%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.299 23rd	ATTACK PCT	.348 15th
12.00 25th	KILLS PER SET	12.45 17th
.856 21st	SERVE PCT	.863 12th
1.81 6th	ACES PER SET	1.57 14th
.501 24th	ASSIST PCT	.532 18th
11.47 26th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.04 17th
3.64 29th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.13 19th
6.8 16th	DIGS PER SET	6.54 25th
.905 31st	RECEIVE PCT	.910 26th
2.123 25th	PASSER RATING	2.175 12th

	TOP TWO
Barnes (OH) 192 Morgan (OH) 156	KILLS	Mortenson (OH) 166 Noble (OH) 120
Morgan (OH) .558 Barnes (OH) .545	ATTACK PCT	Respaut (MB) .682 Brandenburg (S) .542
Dunne (S) 564 Bormann (S) 225	ASSISTS	Brandenburg (S) 521 Carney (S) 212
Morgan (OH) 50 Dunne (S) 19	ACES	Brandenburg (S) 29 Weaver (L) 19
Feliciano (MB) 47 Gogolak (MB) 42	BLOCKS	Respaut (MB) 45 Bartoli (MB) 38
Morgan (OH) 73 Barnes (OH) 49	DIGS	Weaver (L) 112 Lokensgard (L) 49
Morgan (OH) 2.34 Barnes (OH) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Weaver (L) 2.33 Noble (OH) 2.30

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
6.		Trey Weaver Senior A- 2.33 Passer Rating 2.49 Digs Per Set	7.31

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
10.		Troy Barnes Junior A 4.09 Kills Per Set 2.21 Passer Rating	7.55

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
8.	Theo Respaut Senior B 1.07 Blocks Per Set 2.76 Kills Per Set	7.65
15.	Dawson Feliciano Senior B 1.00 Blocks Per Set 2.34 Kills Per Set	7.40

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	14	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	17-25	9-25	21-25			Pac 8	0	-	1
5	44	Jun 25, 2022	2	-	3	25-17	18-25	25-22	22-25	11-15	Pac 8	1	-	1
6	7	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	23	Sep 10, 2022	1	-	3	26-28	18-25	25-20	18-25		Pac 8 Tournament6-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	1
6	29	Sep 24, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	12-25	28-30			Pac 8	3	-	2
7	7	Dec 03, 2022	2	-	3	23-25	25-23	21-25	25-14	11-15	Pac 8	3	-	3
7	23	Dec 31, 2022	0	-	3	25-27	17-25	19-25			Pac 8 Tournament7-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	4
7	29	Jan 14, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	28-26	25-27	19-25		Pac 8	4	-	4
8	8	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	16-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8	5	-	4
8	34	Apr 23, 2023	2	-	3	25-22	25-19	21-25	24-26	14-16	Pac 8	5	-	5
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	24-26	18-25			Pac 8	5	-	6
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	6
9	23	Jul 09, 2023	1	-	3	25-20	21-25	16-25	23-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	7
10	4	Sep 17, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	6	-	8
10	13	Oct 08, 2023	3	-	2	22-25	22-25	25-15	25-12	15-6	Pac 8	6	-	9
10	46	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	1	19-25	25-16	25-21	25-23		TMVL Shield	7	-	9
11	7	Dec 31, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	7	-	10
11	29	Feb 11, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	25-19	25-16			Pac 8	7	-	11
12	2	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	18-25	21-25			Pac 8	8	-	11
12	11	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	18-25	12-25			Pac 8	8	-	12
13	14	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	19-25	23-25			Pac 8	8	-	13
13	19	Oct 20, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament13-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	8	-	14
13	44	Dec 01, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	9	-	14
14	1	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	0	25-23	25-21	25-18			Pac 8	10	-	14
14	10	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	16-25			Pac 8	11	-	14
14	27	Feb 02, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	26-28			Pac 8 Tournament14-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	12	-	14
15	7	Jun 22, 2025	2	-	3	23-25	23-25	25-23	25-23	10-15	Pac 8	13	-	14
15	23	Jul 20, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament15-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	13	-	15
15	29	Aug 03, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	25-11			Pac 8	14	-	15
16	7	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-21	21-25	22-25		Pac 8	14	-	16
16	29	Nov 09, 2025									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.