Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 7

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Tucson

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

Tucson leads series 19-15

Match Comments

Could be a close one!

Amy (Tucson) Feb 28 - 4:39 PM

Didn't we just play you? 🤔

Bryce (Mat-Su) Feb 28 - 5:24 PM

Guess we'd rather go to Tucson this time of year anyway.

Bryce (Mat-Su) Feb 28 - 5:24 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Tucson
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.00	A-	Libero		A+	100.25
86.25	A-	Middle Blockers		B	78.25
82.75	B+	Outside Hitters		B+	82.75
86.50	A-	Right Side		A	90.50
94.00	A+	Setter		A+	94.50
		Skills Prediction

	34 MATCHES
15	WINS	19
13	HOME	14
1	AWAY	2
1	NEUTRAL	3

Mat-Su		Tucson
#20	ELO Rank	#18

1,457.85	ELO Rating	1,468.08 (+145)

37.3%	ELO Winning Chance	62.7%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.319 22nd	ATTACK PCT	.326 20th
12.35 21st	KILLS PER SET	11.57 29th
.851 24th	SERVE PCT	.852 23rd
1.34 28th	ACES PER SET	1.59 13th
.528 19th	ASSIST PCT	.52 23rd
12.06 18th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.23 29th
3.68 25th	BLOCKS PER SET	5.03 3rd
6.78 11th	DIGS PER SET	6.59 19th
.916 15th	RECEIVE PCT	.910 29th
2.183 7th	PASSER RATING	2.133 24th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 204 Noble (OH) 143	KILLS	O'Neill (RS) 206 Cocoamobile (OH) 187
Brewer (RS) .519 Noble (OH) .514	ATTACK PCT	Cocoamobile (OH) .569 O'Neill (RS) .470
Brandenburg (S) 607 Neale (S) 223	ASSISTS	Conganugget (S) 668 Arroyo (S) 129
Noble (OH) 15 Brandenburg (S) 15	ACES	Conganugget (S) 25 Clark (L) 24
Townsend (MB) 48 Bartoli (MB) 41	BLOCKS	Prins (MB) 77 Cocoamobile (OH) 61
Lokensgard (L) 123 Brewer (RS) 60	DIGS	Clark (L) 123 Cocoamobile (OH) 69
Noble (OH) 2.41 Wilkins (OH) 2.34	PASSER RTG	Clark (L) 2.41 Jordan (OH) 2.18

#	TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
4.	Cooper Clark Senior A 2.41 Passer Rating 2.28 Digs Per Set	7.60
6.	Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.26 Passer Rating 2.56 Digs Per Set	7.25

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
2.	Jack O'Neill Senior B+ 3.61 Kills Per Set 1.00 Blocks Per Set	8.18
4.	Dave Brewer Junior B 4.25 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	8.09

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
2.		Jan-Willem Prins Junior C+ 1.35 Blocks Per Set 2.23 Kills Per Set	8.05

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	1	Apr 09, 2022	1	-	3	20-25	25-19	23-25	20-25		Pac 8	0	-	1
5	10	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	6-25	14-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
5	27	May 28, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament5-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	1	-	2
5	32	Jun 04, 2022	2	- (n)	3	25-23	23-25	25-27	29-27	9-15	National Championship5-32Sweet 16 National Championship	1	-	3
6	1	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	21-25			Pac 8	1	-	4
6	10	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	9-25			Pac 8	2	-	4
6	45	Oct 15, 2022	1	- (n)	3	15-25	19-25	25-18	25-27		TMVL Cup	2	-	5
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	18-25	22-25			Pac 8	3	-	5
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	24-26	16-25			Pac 8	3	-	6
7	27	Jan 07, 2023	1	-	3	25-23	19-25	23-25	22-25		Pac 8 Tournament7-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	3	-	7
8	7	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	8-25	12-25	8-25			Pac 8	4	-	7
8	29	Apr 16, 2023	1	-	3	20-25	25-20	25-27	17-25		Pac 8	4	-	8
9	8	Jun 11, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	22-25	22-25			Pac 8	5	-	8
9	19	Jul 02, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	25-20	24-26	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	8
9	34	Jul 30, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	17-25	14-25			Pac 8	6	-	9
10	1	Sep 10, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	16-25			Pac 8	6	-	10
10	10	Oct 01, 2023	3	-	2	21-25	19-25	29-27	25-23	15-12	Pac 8	6	-	11
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	12-25	7-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	12
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	2	-	3	27-25	22-25	25-23	28-30	16-18	Pac 8	7	-	12
11	45	Mar 03, 2024	3	- (n)	1	21-25	26-24	25-21	25-20		TMVL Cup	8	-	12
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	15-25			Pac 8	9	-	12
12	10	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	14-25			Pac 8	9	-	13
13	1	Sep 15, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	17-25	7-25			Pac 8	9	-	14
13	10	Oct 06, 2024	0	-	3	27-29	16-25	15-25			Pac 8	10	-	14
13	23	Oct 27, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	21-25	27-29			Pac 8 Tournament13-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	10	-	15
13	36	Nov 17, 2024	3	- (n)	1	25-16	25-27	25-21	25-18		TMVL Shield	10	-	16
14	4	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	11	-	16
14	13	Jan 12, 2025	2	-	3	19-25	27-29	30-28	25-23	13-15	Pac 8	11	-	17
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	3	-	1	21-25	25-23	25-19	25-23		Pac 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	12	-	17
15	5	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	11-25	14-25			Pac 8	13	-	17
15	39	Aug 17, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	21-25			Pac 8	13	-	18
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-23	13-25	20-25		Pac 8	13	-	19
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	2	-	3	24-26	25-23	23-25	25-23	11-15	Pac 8	14	-	19
17	1	Feb 08, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	15	-	19
17	10	Mar 01, 2026	0	-	3	19-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	15	-	20

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.