Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 7

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at Tucson

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

Tucson leads series 18-12

Match Comments

Phil's Kharma Chameleons are probably too good this year for me even at home.

Amy (Tucson) Oct 05 - 8:41 PM

We will need some luck and a rowdy crowd at the Spike Dome!

Amy (Tucson) Oct 05 - 8:42 PM

Let's get it done!

Amy (Tucson) Oct 05 - 8:42 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			Tucson
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
66.25	C	Libero		A+	94.25
89.38	A-	Middle Blockers		A-	86.50
97.38	A+	Outside Hitters		A-	89.63
62.75	C-	Right Side		A	92.50
85.50	B+	Setter		A	90.25
		Skills Prediction

	30 MATCHES
12	WINS	18
10	HOME	13
1	AWAY	2
1	NEUTRAL	3

Carlsbad		Tucson
#21	ELO Rank	#15

1,476.93	ELO Rating	1,504.95 (+145)

29.2%	ELO Winning Chance	70.8%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.327 21st	ATTACK PCT	.351 17th
12.41 22nd	KILLS PER SET	13.28 10th
.863 15th	SERVE PCT	.853 27th
1.9 3rd	ACES PER SET	1.57 15th
.521 23rd	ASSIST PCT	.541 20th
11.84 26th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.85 10th
3.79 29th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.33 12th
6.73 9th	DIGS PER SET	7.12 4th
.906 31st	RECEIVE PCT	.927 5th
2.132 27th	PASSER RATING	2.198 7th

	TOP TWO
Barnes (OH) 277 Morgan (OH) 272	KILLS	Vimes (OH) 302 O'Neill (RS) 228
Morgan (OH) .564 Barnes (OH) .550	ATTACK PCT	Vimes (OH) .575 Stevens (MB) .554
Dunne (S) 899 Bormann (S) 327	ASSISTS	Conganugget (S) 1027 Arroyo (S) 411
Morgan (OH) 72 Dunne (S) 33	ACES	Clark (L) 34 Conganugget (S) 30
Gogolak (MB) 72 Barnes (OH) 58	BLOCKS	Stevens (MB) 76 Vimes (OH) 60
Morgan (OH) 112 Dunne (S) 87	DIGS	Clark (L) 240 O'Neill (RS) 103
Morgan (OH) 2.33 Barnes (OH) 2.27	PASSER RTG	Kemp (L) 2.39 Vimes (OH) 2.32

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
1.		Cooper Clark Junior A 2.32 Passer Rating 2.82 Digs Per Set	7.83

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
6.		Taco Conganugget Soph. B+ 12.52 Assists Per Set 2.01 Service Pts Per Set	8.08

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
4.	Sam Vimes Senior A 4.08 Kills Per Set 2.32 Passer Rating	7.76
5.	Drake Morgan Senior A 3.58 Kills Per Set 2.33 Passer Rating	7.75
9.	Troy Barnes Junior A 4.01 Kills Per Set 2.27 Passer Rating	7.54

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
3.		Aaron Stevens Senior B 1.13 Blocks Per Set 2.87 Kills Per Set	8.04

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	4	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	18-25			Pac 8	0	-	1
5	13	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
6	8	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	19-25			Pac 8	1	-	2
6	34	Oct 01, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	16-25			Pac 8	2	-	2
7	4	Nov 19, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	25-20	21-25	25-22	13-15	Pac 8	2	-	3
7	13	Dec 17, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	31-29	28-26			Pac 8	2	-	4
7	22	Dec 31, 2022	1	- (n)	3	20-25	22-25	31-29	21-25		TMVL Cup7-22Round of 32 TMVL Cup	2	-	5
8	1	Feb 19, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	13-25	25-18	15-25		Pac 8	3	-	5
8	10	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	3	-	6
8	23	Apr 02, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament8-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	7
9	2	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	16-25			Pac 8	3	-	8
9	11	Jun 18, 2023	1	-	3	25-21	15-25	14-25	16-25		Pac 8	4	-	8
10	14	Oct 08, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	4	-	9
10	44	Nov 26, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8	5	-	9
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	23-25	26-28			Pac 8	6	-	9
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	1	-	3	16-25	22-25	30-28	22-25		Pac 8	6	-	10
11	19	Jan 22, 2024	1	-	3	12-25	22-25	25-23	25-27		Pac 8 Tournament11-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	11
12	5	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	21-25	11-25			Pac 8	6	-	12
12	19	Jun 03, 2024	1	-	3	11-25	22-25	25-23	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament12-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	13
12	39	Jul 07, 2024	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	7	-	13
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	7	-	14
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	3	-	2	21-25	17-25	25-16	25-19	15-12	Pac 8	7	-	15
13	46	Dec 01, 2024	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-20	25-15			TMVL Shield	7	-	16
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	18-25	25-22	21-25		Pac 8	8	-	16
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	3	-	2	25-22	24-26	26-28	25-21	15-10	Pac 8	9	-	16
15	4	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	17-25	23-25	16-25			Pac 8	9	-	17
15	13	Jul 06, 2025	0	-	3	24-26	11-25	19-25			Pac 8	10	-	17
15	32	Aug 03, 2025	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-17	25-15			National Championship15-32Sweet 16 National Championship	11	-	17
15	35	Aug 10, 2025	0	- (n)	3	19-25	9-25	19-25			TMVL Cup	11	-	18
16	1	Sep 14, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	23-25	11-25			Pac 8	12	-	18
16	10	Oct 05, 2025	2	-	3	25-20	21-25	25-23	22-25	13-15	Pac 8	12	-	19
16	23	Oct 26, 2025	3	-	1	25-23	20-25	35-33	25-19		Pac 8 Tournament16-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	12	-	20

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.