Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 2

Why Do I Care?

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

(H)
at Columbia

Columbia Crazy Tomatoes

Steve Turner

Columbia leads series 21-9

Match Comments

Rest for FIT or CP for FIT? Win or Lose?

Steve (Columbia) Feb 1

#mindgames

Allan (Quincy) Feb 1

I’m used to losing against the Tomatoes, so the choice was quickly made! ;-)

Antoine (Portland) Feb 1

Are the National Champs also playing mindgames?
#alsomindgames

Allan (Quincy) Feb 1

Hard to not think about the end-of-season table in this opening weekend. One match made the difference last season between table-topping & also-ran

Kevin (New Orleans) Feb 2

Granted, Portland has made real progress over the last four seasons. We no longer have to blush when facing the Tomatoes, but they’re still stronger than us when they’re in their "paradise orchard". Physically, and above all mentally. A game in Columbia i

Antoine (Portland) Feb 2

A game at Columbia is never easy. We've only won there twice in 28 games. So yes, I'm used to heavy losses against Columbia… and I know what needs to be done. ;-)

Antoine (Portland) Feb 2

I love the "Paradise Orchard" reference Antoine! Good one!

Allan (Quincy) Feb 2

I think the less reference to Steve’s “Paradise Orchard” the better.

Roger (Pekin) Feb 4

Couple of good matches for Columbia to start the season. I hope Steve's freshmen make the most of it.

Jason (Spokane) Feb 5

his freshmen will not play in this match.

Antoine (Portland) Feb 6

#WillStevePlayFreshmenToday?

Allan (Quincy) Feb 7

home advantage for the win

James (Alton) Feb 7

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Portland			Columbia
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.50	B+	Libero		A+	94.75
95.63	A+	Middle Blockers		A+	96.88
77.38	B-	Outside Hitters		A+	94.38
94.00	A+	Right Side		A+	97.50
91.50	A	Setter		A	91.00
		Skills Prediction

	30 MATCHES
9	WINS	21
6	HOME	12
2	AWAY	8
1	NEUTRAL	1

Portland		Columbia
#6	ELO Rank	#14

1,595.56	ELO Rating	1,534.88 (+145)

28.0%	ELO Winning Chance	72.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.424 7th	ATTACK PCT	.396 13th
13.64 5th	KILLS PER SET	13.09 15th
.866 13th	SERVE PCT	.866 14th
1.7 8th	ACES PER SET	1.7 10th
.604 6th	ASSIST PCT	.59 10th
13.29 5th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.68 15th
4.48 4th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.01 14th
6.1 30th	DIGS PER SET	5.74 32nd
.916 19th	RECEIVE PCT	.920 10th
2.176 14th	PASSER RATING	2.192 7th

	TOP TWO
Marshall (RS) 341 Giannelli (MB) 271	KILLS	Kelso (OH) 305 Berger (RS) 300
Giannelli (MB) .673 Marshall (RS) .543	ATTACK PCT	Kelso (OH) .555 Mata (MB) .542
Noble (S) 1145 Harvey (S) 349	ASSISTS	Rezende (S) 1186 Labonte (S) 385
Giannelli (MB) 44 Marshall (RS) 28	ACES	Carballo (MB) 36 Rezende (S) 32
Giannelli (MB) 88 Grossi (MB) 82	BLOCKS	Mata (MB) 82 Carballo (MB) 74
Margutti (L) 141 Noble (S) 94	DIGS	Christiansen (L) 139 Berger (RS) 90
Giardino (OH) 2.30 Melendez (L) 2.28	PASSER RTG	Christiansen (L) 2.38 Greaves (OH) 2.25

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
14.		Chris Christiansen Junior A- 2.38 Passer Rating 1.60 Digs Per Set	6.45

#	TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.	Darrell Noble Soph. A- 13.01 Assists Per Set 1.74 Service Pts Per Set	8.24
8.	Lucas Rezende Senior B+ 12.48 Assists Per Set 1.62 Service Pts Per Set	7.93

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
7.	Brendan Marshall Junior A- 4.01 Kills Per Set 0.61 Blocks Per Set	7.41
8.	Swen Berger Junior A- 3.41 Kills Per Set 0.60 Blocks Per Set	7.38

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
7.		Lorenzo Giannelli Senior A 0.97 Blocks Per Set 2.98 Kills Per Set	7.67

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	3	-	0	25-21	26-21	25-14			Big 8	0	-	1
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	8-25	23-25			Big 8	0	-	2
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	9-25	15-25			Big 8	0	-	3
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	3	-	0	25-12	25-18	25-16			Big 8	0	-	4
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	17-25			Big 8	0	-	5
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	3	-	1	23-25	25-17	25-23	25-21		Big 8	0	-	6
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	3	-	0	25-13	25-23	25-13			Big 8	0	-	7
8	44	May 05, 2023	2	-	3	25-27	25-23	25-23	23-25	9-15	Big 8	0	-	8
9	1	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	20-25	12-25			Big 8	1	-	8
9	10	Jun 18, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	10-25			Big 8	1	-	9
10	8	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	21-25	25-23	23-25		Big 8	1	-	10
10	34	Nov 12, 2023	3	-	2	25-15	23-25	19-25	26-24	15-13	Big 8	1	-	11
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	2	-	3	25-18	25-15	20-25	20-25	11-15	Big 8	2	-	11
11	27	Feb 05, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	20-25			Big 8 Tournament11-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	3	-	11
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	0	-	3	17-25	20-25	23-25			Big 8	3	-	12
11	42	Feb 25, 2024	1	- (n)	3	20-25	27-29	25-22	21-25		National Championship11-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	4	-	12
12	8	May 12, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	27-25	25-22			Big 8	4	-	13
12	34	Jun 30, 2024	3	-	0	25-17	25-18	25-23			Big 8	5	-	13
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	27-25			Big 8	5	-	14
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	16-25	9-25			Big 8	5	-	15
14	8	Dec 29, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	13-25	15-25			Big 8	5	-	16
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	16-25	12-25			Big 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	5	-	17
14	34	Feb 23, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-15	25-17			Big 8	5	-	18
15	8	Jun 22, 2025	1	-	3	25-23	14-25	19-25	17-25		Big 8	6	-	18
15	19	Jul 13, 2025	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	17-25	23-25		Big 8 Tournament15-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	7	-	18
15	34	Aug 10, 2025	3	-	0	25-20	25-22	25-19			Big 8	8	-	18
15	45	Aug 24, 2025	2	- (n)	3	23-25	24-26	25-15	25-19	11-15	TMVL Cup	8	-	19
16	14	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	25-27	27-29	23-25			Big 8	9	-	19
16	27	Nov 02, 2025	1	-	3	25-22	23-25	23-25	17-25		Big 8 Tournament16-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	9	-	20
16	44	Nov 30, 2025	2	-	3	22-25	20-25	25-23	25-22	11-15	Big 8	9	-	21
17	2	Feb 08, 2026	3	-	2	18-25	25-18	23-25	25-16	18-16	Big 8	10	-	21
17	11	Mar 01, 2026	0	-	3	19-25	21-25	18-25			Big 8	11	-	21

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.