Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference Tournament Semifinals

Bracket Link | Why Do I Care?

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

(H)
at Carlsbad

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

Tucson leads series 19-12

Match Comments

This will be tough!

Amy (Tucson) Oct 21 - 12:14 AM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Tucson			Carlsbad
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
89.75	A-	Libero		C-	63.00
76.25	B-	Middle Blockers		A	91.38
81.63	B	Outside Hitters		A+	100.88
83.75	B+	Right Side		C-	65.25
86.50	A-	Setter		A-	87.25
		Skills Prediction

	31 MATCHES
19	WINS	12
14	HOME	10
2	AWAY	1
3	NEUTRAL	1

Tucson		Carlsbad
#9	ELO Rank	#23

1,561.04	ELO Rating	1,454.61 (+145)

39.0%	ELO Winning Chance	61.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.333 17th	ATTACK PCT	.299 23rd
13.16 7th	KILLS PER SET	12.00 25th
.855 23rd	SERVE PCT	.856 21st
1.84 5th	ACES PER SET	1.81 6th
.53 19th	ASSIST PCT	.501 24th
12.75 8th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.47 26th
4.4 12th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.64 29th
7.71 4th	DIGS PER SET	6.8 16th
.922 7th	RECEIVE PCT	.905 31st
2.184 9th	PASSER RATING	2.123 25th

	TOP TWO
Vimes (OH) 204 O'Neill (RS) 154	KILLS	Barnes (OH) 192 Morgan (OH) 156
Stevens (MB) .607 Vimes (OH) .585	ATTACK PCT	Morgan (OH) .558 Barnes (OH) .545
Conganugget (S) 606 Arroyo (S) 266	ASSISTS	Dunne (S) 564 Bormann (S) 225
Vimes (OH) 25 Stevens (MB) 20	ACES	Morgan (OH) 50 Dunne (S) 19
Stevens (MB) 43 Vimes (OH) 38	BLOCKS	Feliciano (MB) 47 Gogolak (MB) 42
Clark (L) 156 Vimes (OH) 64	DIGS	Morgan (OH) 73 Barnes (OH) 49
Vimes (OH) 2.39 Kemp (L) 2.33	PASSER RTG	Morgan (OH) 2.34 Barnes (OH) 2.21

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
2.		Cooper Clark Junior A- 2.29 Passer Rating 3.25 Digs Per Set	8.07

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
4.		Taco Conganugget Soph. B 12.63 Assists Per Set 2.10 Service Pts Per Set	8.23

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.	Sam Vimes Senior A 4.25 Kills Per Set 2.39 Passer Rating	8.10
10.	Troy Barnes Junior A 4.09 Kills Per Set 2.21 Passer Rating	7.55

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
3.	Aaron Stevens Senior B 1.05 Blocks Per Set 3.05 Kills Per Set	8.17
15.	Dawson Feliciano Senior B 1.00 Blocks Per Set 2.34 Kills Per Set	7.40

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	4	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	18-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	13	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
6	8	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	19-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	34	Oct 01, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	16-25			Pac 8	2	-	2
7	4	Nov 19, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	25-20	21-25	25-22	13-15	Pac 8	3	-	2
7	13	Dec 17, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	31-29	28-26			Pac 8	4	-	2
7	22	Dec 31, 2022	1	- (n)	3	20-25	22-25	31-29	21-25		TMVL Cup7-22Round of 32 TMVL Cup	5	-	2
8	1	Feb 19, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	13-25	25-18	15-25		Pac 8	5	-	3
8	10	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	6	-	3
8	23	Apr 02, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament8-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	7	-	3
9	2	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	16-25			Pac 8	8	-	3
9	11	Jun 18, 2023	1	-	3	25-21	15-25	14-25	16-25		Pac 8	8	-	4
10	14	Oct 08, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	9	-	4
10	44	Nov 26, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8	9	-	5
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	23-25	26-28			Pac 8	9	-	6
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	1	-	3	16-25	22-25	30-28	22-25		Pac 8	10	-	6
11	19	Jan 22, 2024	1	-	3	12-25	22-25	25-23	25-27		Pac 8 Tournament11-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	11	-	6
12	5	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	21-25	11-25			Pac 8	12	-	6
12	19	Jun 03, 2024	1	-	3	11-25	22-25	25-23	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament12-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	13	-	6
12	39	Jul 07, 2024	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	13	-	7
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	14	-	7
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	3	-	2	21-25	17-25	25-16	25-19	15-12	Pac 8	15	-	7
13	46	Dec 01, 2024	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-20	25-15			TMVL Shield	16	-	7
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	18-25	25-22	21-25		Pac 8	16	-	8
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	3	-	2	25-22	24-26	26-28	25-21	15-10	Pac 8	16	-	9
15	4	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	17-25	23-25	16-25			Pac 8	17	-	9
15	13	Jul 06, 2025	0	-	3	24-26	11-25	19-25			Pac 8	17	-	10
15	32	Aug 03, 2025	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-17	25-15			National Championship15-32Sweet 16 National Championship	17	-	11
15	35	Aug 10, 2025	0	- (n)	3	19-25	9-25	19-25			TMVL Cup	18	-	11
16	1	Sep 14, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	23-25	11-25			Pac 8	18	-	12
16	10	Oct 05, 2025	2	-	3	25-20	21-25	25-23	22-25	13-15	Pac 8	19	-	12
16	23	Oct 26, 2025	3	-	1	25-23	20-25	35-33	25-19		Pac 8 Tournament16-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	20	-	12

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.