Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at Denali

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

Carlsbad leads series 18-12

Match Comments

The stats look good for us, can we deliver?

Andy (Denali) Feb 09 - 2:49 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			Denali
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
59.50	D+	Libero		B+	85.50
86.63	A-	Middle Blockers		A+	96.38
94.13	A+	Outside Hitters		A-	89.63
78.50	B	Right Side		A	91.25
85.25	B+	Setter		A-	88.75
		Skills Prediction

	30 MATCHES
18	WINS	12
12	HOME	8
4	AWAY	2
2	NEUTRAL	2

Carlsbad		Denali
#25	ELO Rank	#11

1,419.14	ELO Rating	1,555.10 (+145)

33.1%	ELO Winning Chance	66.9%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.320 26th	ATTACK PCT	.426 6th
12.23 27th	KILLS PER SET	13.60 6th
.856 22nd	SERVE PCT	.871 5th
1.55 17th	ACES PER SET	1.62 14th
.53 24th	ASSIST PCT	.584 11th
11.9 26th	ASSISTS PER SET	13.13 8th
3.75 25th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.42 7th
6.41 14th	DIGS PER SET	7.02 3rd
.912 29th	RECEIVE PCT	.916 20th
2.148 24th	PASSER RATING	2.141 26th

	TOP TWO
Barnes (OH) 292 Riggs (OH) 278	KILLS	Suarez (OH) 270 Palma (OH) 266
Gogolak (MB) .538 Barnes (OH) .518	ATTACK PCT	Suarez (OH) .571 Mesquita (MB) .570
Bormann (S) 829 Polanco (S) 383	ASSISTS	Savage (S) 789 van den Bergh (S) 782
Barnes (OH) 39 Gogolak (MB) 27	ACES	Suarez (OH) 32 Powell (MB) 28
Nishida (MB) 68 Gogolak (MB) 60	BLOCKS	Dunne (MB) 82 Powell (MB) 65
Barnes (OH) 114 Cortez (L) 77	DIGS	Matthews (L) 134 Biggs (OH) 107
Barnes (OH) 2.35 Riggs (OH) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Matthews (L) 2.35 Suarez (OH) 2.30

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
11.		Carlos Matthews Junior B- 2.35 Passer Rating 1.74 Digs Per Set	6.61

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
5.		Troy Barnes Senior A 3.79 Kills Per Set 2.35 Passer Rating	7.78

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
9.		Erik Powell Senior A 0.80 Blocks Per Set 3.01 Kills Per Set	7.54

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	7	Apr 23, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	14-25	16-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	16	May 07, 2022	1	-	3	25-23	20-25	18-25	16-25		William G. Morgan Cup5-16Sweet 16 William G. Morgan Cup	2	-	0
5	29	Jun 04, 2022	0	-	3	22-25	18-25	15-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	1	-	3	31-29	21-25	16-25	20-25		Pac 8	2	-	2
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	3	-	2
7	8	Dec 03, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	4	-	2
7	31	Jan 14, 2023	3	- (n)	1	20-25	25-23	31-29	25-22		TMVL Shield7-31Sweet 16 TMVL Shield	5	-	2
7	34	Jan 21, 2023	3	-	2	25-22	20-25	25-21	17-25	15-13	Pac 8	6	-	2
8	5	Feb 26, 2023	1	-	3	19-25	21-25	25-18	19-25		Pac 8	7	-	2
8	36	Apr 23, 2023	3	- (n)	0	25-10	25-23	25-21			TMVL Shield	8	-	2
8	39	Apr 30, 2023	3	-	2	25-17	23-25	22-25	27-25	15-5	Pac 8	9	-	2
9	7	Jun 11, 2023	2	-	3	25-23	21-25	20-25	25-19	13-15	Pac 8	10	-	2
9	29	Jul 23, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	15-25	14-25			Pac 8	10	-	3
10	7	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	25-23	16-25	15-25	23-25		Pac 8	11	-	3
10	29	Nov 05, 2023	3	-	1	19-25	25-23	25-19	25-23		Pac 8	12	-	3
11	2	Dec 17, 2023	3	-	2	18-25	25-20	25-21	21-25	15-9	Pac 8	12	-	4
11	11	Jan 07, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	22-25	14-25			Pac 8	12	-	5
11	40	Feb 25, 2024	1	- (n)	3	24-26	18-25	25-20	14-25		TMVL Cup	12	-	6
12	8	May 12, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	17-25	12-25			Pac 8	12	-	7
12	34	Jun 30, 2024	3	-	2	25-19	19-25	25-17	20-25	16-14	Pac 8	12	-	8
13	5	Sep 22, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	13-25			Pac 8	13	-	8
13	39	Nov 24, 2024	1	-	3	20-25	20-25	25-21	18-25		Pac 8	13	-	9
14	4	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	16-25	16-25	24-26			Pac 8	14	-	9
14	13	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	19-25			Pac 8	14	-	10
14	23	Jan 26, 2025	1	-	3	31-29	18-25	23-25	14-25		Pac 8 Tournament14-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	10
14	32	Feb 16, 2025	3	- (n)	0	25-19	25-17	28-26			National Championship14-32Sweet 16 National Championship	15	-	11
15	8	Jun 22, 2025	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	12-25			Pac 8	15	-	12
15	34	Aug 10, 2025	0	-	3	14-25	20-25	23-25			Pac 8	16	-	12
16	2	Sep 14, 2025	3	-	1	21-25	25-19	25-19	25-23		Pac 8	17	-	12
16	11	Oct 05, 2025	0	-	3	21-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	18	-	12
17	5	Feb 15, 2026	0	-	3	17-25	24-26	21-25			Pac 8	18	-	13
17	39	Apr 19, 2026	3	-	2	25-19	25-21	23-25	20-25	15-13	Pac 8	18	-	14

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.