Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at Denali

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

Carlsbad leads series 18-12

Match Comments

The stats look good for us, can we deliver?

Andy (Denali) Feb 09 - 2:49 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			Denali
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
52.75	D-	Libero		B-	77.75
78.38	B	Middle Blockers		A-	89.88
83.50	B+	Outside Hitters		B+	85.50
67.75	C	Right Side		B	78.25
77.75	B-	Setter		B+	85.25
		Skills Prediction

	30 MATCHES
18	WINS	12
12	HOME	8
4	AWAY	2
2	NEUTRAL	2

Carlsbad		Denali
#12	ELO Rank	#13

1,515.21	ELO Rating	1,513.11 (+145)

30.5%	ELO Winning Chance	69.5%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.234 23rd	ATTACK PCT	.318 12th
10.22 27th	KILLS PER SET	11.75 13th
.849 13th	SERVE PCT	.88 3rd
2.22 4th	ACES PER SET	1.17 30th
.461 21st	ASSIST PCT	.511 11th
9.89 28th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.42 14th
4.44 18th	BLOCKS PER SET	5 9th
7.67 21st	DIGS PER SET	7.08 24th
.907 21st	RECEIVE PCT	.925 7th
2.127 18th	PASSER RATING	2.164 12th

	TOP TWO
Barnes (OH) 27 Riggs (OH) 20	KILLS	Suarez (OH) 30 Powell (MB) 22
Gogolak (MB) .875 Barnes (OH) .525	ATTACK PCT	Suarez (OH) .700 Dunne (MB) .400
Bormann (S) 66 Polanco (S) 16	ASSISTS	van den Bergh (S) 97 Lutz (S) 28
Bormann (S) 5 Barnes (OH) 5	ACES	Matthews (L) 2 Biggs (OH) 2
Gogolak (MB) 12 Barnes (OH) 9	BLOCKS	Powell (MB) 11 Mesquita (MB) 8
Barnes (OH) 15 May (L) 12	DIGS	Matthews (L) 21 van den Bergh (S) 16
Barnes (OH) 2.38 Quinn (OH) 2.36	PASSER RTG	Suarez (OH) 2.56 Matthews (L) 2.20

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.		Troy Barnes Senior A 4.50 Kills Per Set 2.38 Passer Rating	9.58

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
3.	Gene Gogolak Junior A- 2.00 Blocks Per Set 2.50 Kills Per Set	9.13
10.	Erik Powell Senior A 1.22 Blocks Per Set 2.44 Kills Per Set	8.34

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	7	Apr 23, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	14-25	16-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	16	May 07, 2022	1	-	3	25-23	20-25	18-25	16-25		William G. Morgan Cup5-16Sweet 16 William G. Morgan Cup	2	-	0
5	29	Jun 04, 2022	0	-	3	22-25	18-25	15-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	1	-	3	31-29	21-25	16-25	20-25		Pac 8	2	-	2
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	3	-	2
7	8	Dec 03, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	4	-	2
7	31	Jan 14, 2023	3	- (n)	1	20-25	25-23	31-29	25-22		TMVL Shield7-31Sweet 16 TMVL Shield	5	-	2
7	34	Jan 21, 2023	3	-	2	25-22	20-25	25-21	17-25	15-13	Pac 8	6	-	2
8	5	Feb 26, 2023	1	-	3	19-25	21-25	25-18	19-25		Pac 8	7	-	2
8	36	Apr 23, 2023	3	- (n)	0	25-10	25-23	25-21			TMVL Shield	8	-	2
8	39	Apr 30, 2023	3	-	2	25-17	23-25	22-25	27-25	15-5	Pac 8	9	-	2
9	7	Jun 11, 2023	2	-	3	25-23	21-25	20-25	25-19	13-15	Pac 8	10	-	2
9	29	Jul 23, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	15-25	14-25			Pac 8	10	-	3
10	7	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	25-23	16-25	15-25	23-25		Pac 8	11	-	3
10	29	Nov 05, 2023	3	-	1	19-25	25-23	25-19	25-23		Pac 8	12	-	3
11	2	Dec 17, 2023	3	-	2	18-25	25-20	25-21	21-25	15-9	Pac 8	12	-	4
11	11	Jan 07, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	22-25	14-25			Pac 8	12	-	5
11	40	Feb 25, 2024	1	- (n)	3	24-26	18-25	25-20	14-25		TMVL Cup	12	-	6
12	8	May 12, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	17-25	12-25			Pac 8	12	-	7
12	34	Jun 30, 2024	3	-	2	25-19	19-25	25-17	20-25	16-14	Pac 8	12	-	8
13	5	Sep 22, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	13-25			Pac 8	13	-	8
13	39	Nov 24, 2024	1	-	3	20-25	20-25	25-21	18-25		Pac 8	13	-	9
14	4	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	16-25	16-25	24-26			Pac 8	14	-	9
14	13	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	19-25			Pac 8	14	-	10
14	23	Jan 26, 2025	1	-	3	31-29	18-25	23-25	14-25		Pac 8 Tournament14-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	10
14	32	Feb 16, 2025	3	- (n)	0	25-19	25-17	28-26			National Championship14-32Sweet 16 National Championship	15	-	11
15	8	Jun 22, 2025	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	12-25			Pac 8	15	-	12
15	34	Aug 10, 2025	0	-	3	14-25	20-25	23-25			Pac 8	16	-	12
16	2	Sep 14, 2025	3	-	1	21-25	25-19	25-19	25-23		Pac 8	17	-	12
16	11	Oct 05, 2025	0	-	3	21-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	18	-	12
17	5	Feb 15, 2026									Pac 8
17	39	Apr 19, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.