Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 5

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at San Diego

San Diego Swordfish

Matt White

Carlsbad leads series 24-15

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			San Diego
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
59.50	D+	Libero		A-	86.00
86.63	A-	Middle Blockers		A	92.00
94.13	A+	Outside Hitters		B+	85.00
78.50	B	Right Side		C-	64.75
85.25	B+	Setter		B-	76.00
		Skills Prediction

	39 MATCHES
24	WINS	15
13	HOME	11
6	AWAY	4
5	NEUTRAL	0

Carlsbad		San Diego
#25	ELO Rank	#32

1,419.14	ELO Rating	1,323.27 (+145)

41.5%	ELO Winning Chance	58.5%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.320 26th	ATTACK PCT	.334 24th
12.23 27th	KILLS PER SET	12.80 20th
.856 22nd	SERVE PCT	.846 30th
1.55 17th	ACES PER SET	1.32 28th
.53 24th	ASSIST PCT	.533 23rd
11.9 26th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.44 17th
3.75 25th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.45 31st
6.41 14th	DIGS PER SET	7.15 2nd
.912 29th	RECEIVE PCT	.923 6th
2.148 24th	PASSER RATING	2.187 9th

	TOP TWO
Barnes (OH) 292 Riggs (OH) 278	KILLS	Silva (OH) 325 Reid (OH) 270
Gogolak (MB) .538 Barnes (OH) .518	ATTACK PCT	Alves (MB) .493 Soullard (MB) .425
Bormann (S) 829 Polanco (S) 383	ASSISTS	Ferrara (S) 1085 Jeppy (S) 330
Barnes (OH) 39 Gogolak (MB) 27	ACES	Silva (OH) 40 Casiraghi (MB) 22
Nishida (MB) 68 Gogolak (MB) 60	BLOCKS	Alves (MB) 78 Casiraghi (MB) 62
Barnes (OH) 114 Cortez (L) 77	DIGS	Hall (L) 159 Ferrara (S) 118
Barnes (OH) 2.35 Riggs (OH) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Silva (OH) 2.37 Reid (OH) 2.17

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
5.		Troy Barnes Senior A 3.79 Kills Per Set 2.35 Passer Rating	7.78

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
1	1	Aug 22, 2020	0	-	3	22-25	9-25	15-25			Eastern Conference	0	-	1
1	10	Sep 05, 2020	3	- (n)	1	30-28	25-17	24-26	25-23		William G. Morgan Cup1-10Group Round William G. Morgan Cup	1	-	1
1	12	Sep 12, 2020	2	-	3	25-22	17-25	21-25	25-23	11-15	Eastern Conference	2	-	1
2	9	Feb 06, 2021	3	-	2	25-21	17-26	25-22	15-25	15-11	Eastern Conference	3	-	1
2	24	Mar 06, 2021	0	-	3	22-25	20-25	22-25			Eastern Conference	4	-	1
2	35	Mar 20, 2021	0	- (n)	3	24-26	22-25	18-25			Holyoke Invitational2-35Quarterfinals Holyoke Invitational	5	-	1
2	38	Mar 27, 2021	3	- (n)	1	25-16	18-25	25-16	25-21		TMVL Shield	6	-	1
3	9	Sep 04, 2021	0	-	3	20-25	25-27	21-25			Eastern Conference	7	-	1
3	24	Oct 02, 2021	1	-	3	25-18	17-25	14-25	18-25		Eastern Conference	7	-	2
3	37	Oct 23, 2021	0	- (n)	3	19-25	11-25	22-25			TMVL Cup	8	-	2
4	5	Dec 04, 2021	0	-	3	20-25	17-25	13-25			Eastern Conference	8	-	3
4	24	Jan 08, 2022	3	-	0	25-16	25-18	25-21			Eastern Conference	8	-	4
5	8	Apr 23, 2022	1	-	3	19-25	25-20	16-25	15-25		Pac 8	8	-	5
5	34	Jun 11, 2022	1	-	3	25-23	20-25	20-25	23-25		Pac 8	9	-	5
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	10	-	5
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	3	-	1	25-20	25-17	28-30	25-20		Pac 8	11	-	5
7	5	Nov 19, 2022	1	-	3	19-25	24-26	25-22	18-25		Pac 8	12	-	5
7	39	Jan 28, 2023	2	-	3	25-21	25-23	23-25	17-25	11-15	Pac 8	12	-	6
8	7	Mar 05, 2023	3	-	2	23-25	23-25	25-22	25-17	15-12	Pac 8	13	-	6
8	29	Apr 16, 2023	3	-	2	18-25	25-21	25-23	20-25	15-6	Pac 8	13	-	7
9	14	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	18-25	8-25			Pac 8	13	-	8
9	19	Jul 02, 2023	3	-	1	25-22	18-25	25-22	25-14		Pac 8 Tournament9-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	14	-	8
9	44	Aug 13, 2023	3	-	1	25-15	25-20	21-25	25-13		Pac 8	14	-	9
10	2	Sep 10, 2023	0	-	3	17-25	15-25	13-25			Pac 8	14	-	10
10	11	Oct 01, 2023	0	-	3	25-27	16-25	16-25			Pac 8	15	-	10
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	1	-	3	19-25	25-21	21-25	14-25		Pac 8	15	-	11
11	22	Jan 30, 2024	3	- (n)	1	25-20	23-25	25-18	25-18		TMVL Cup11-22Round of 32 TMVL Cup	16	-	11
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	3	-	1	25-22	23-25	25-19	29-27		Pac 8	16	-	12
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	16-25	20-25	21-25			Pac 8	16	-	13
12	10	May 20, 2024	2	-	3	20-25	21-25	28-26	27-25	11-15	Pac 8	17	-	13
13	2	Sep 15, 2024	1	-	3	25-22	18-25	21-25	20-25		Pac 8	18	-	13
13	11	Oct 06, 2024	2	-	3	25-22	28-26	18-25	23-25	9-15	Pac 8	18	-	14
14	5	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	19-25	18-25			Pac 8	18	-	15
14	39	Mar 02, 2025	2	-	3	16-25	26-24	26-24	21-25	8-15	Pac 8	19	-	15
15	2	Jun 08, 2025	1	-	3	25-20	28-30	26-28	18-25		Pac 8	20	-	15
15	11	Jun 29, 2025	3	-	2	22-25	22-25	25-21	26-24	18-16	Pac 8	21	-	15
15	19	Jul 13, 2025	1	-	3	9-25	29-31	25-23	19-25		Pac 8 Tournament15-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	22	-	15
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	0	-	3	17-25	27-29	16-25			Pac 8	23	-	15
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	3	-	1	25-23	27-25	20-25	25-22		Pac 8	24	-	15
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	1	-	3	21-25	22-25	25-23	21-25		Pac 8	24	-	16
17	29	Apr 05, 2026	3	-	0	25-23	25-17	25-22			Pac 8	24	-	17

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.