(H)
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CHASETOWN FC CLEVEDON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Canute Thorsen 13 0 13 Gk Theo White 13 0 13 Sw Harley Hanny 12 0 12 Sw Nathan Khan 10 0 10 Df Tivadar Lengyel 13 0 13 Df Luca Jones 11 0 11 Df Arno Christiaens 10 0 10 Df Gregor MacKenzie 11 0 11 Df Martin Navarro 10 0 10 Df Guillaume Chauvin 10 0 10 Fw Luis Guerrero 11 0 11 Mf Jake Brooks 10 0 10 Mf Mika Schmidt 11 0 11 Mf Nuno Fita 9 0 9 Mf Aaron Jackson 8 0 8 Mf Ethan Duckworth 5 2 7 Fw Ryan Clemence 13 0 13 Fw Charles Hopkins 13 0 13 Fw Scott Shaw 10 0 10 Fw Sean Boyle 15 0 15 Fw Julius Evensen 14 0 14 Fw Jamie Hunt 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 12 33 19 48 ROSTER TOTALS 13 10 32 26 35 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 12 33 19 57 T O T A L S 13 10 32 26 39 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.98 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.71 (no red card) Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.18 (no red card) Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.64 (no red card) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.53 (no red card) Df Martin Navarro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card) Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.54 (no red card) Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.27 (no red card) Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.05 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.43 (no second yellow) Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card) Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.02 (no red card) Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.67 (no red card) ******* CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Theo White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.53 (no red card) Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card) Df Luca Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.72 (no red card) Df Gregor MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.21 (no red card) Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.08 (no red card) Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.21 (no red card) Mf Nuno Fita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.36 (no red card) Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.27 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.75 (no second yellow) Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.5 (no red card) Fw Sean Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.7 (no red card) Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.59 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.98 (no injury) Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.44 (no injury) Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.23 (no injury) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.94 (no injury) Df Martin Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.62 (no injury) Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.62 (no injury) Mf Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.58 (no injury) Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no injury) Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.72 (no injury) Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.03 (no injury) Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no injury) ******* CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Theo White: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.34 (no injury) Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.74 (no injury) Df Luca Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.22 (no injury) Df Gregor MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.86 (no injury) Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.73 (no injury) Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.9 (no injury) Mf Nuno Fita: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.33 (no injury) Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.27 (no injury) Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.09 (no injury) Fw Sean Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no injury) Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.09 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Julius Evensen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Theo White SL 13 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sean Boyle SL 15 - Defending Gk: Canute Thorsen SL 13 intRndPk = 85 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chasetown FC 13 12 33 19 57 Clevedon Town FC 13 10 32 26 39 Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 25 (57 - 32); result rounded up Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 39) / 3; rounded up) Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Clevedon Town FC 13 10 32 26 39 Chasetown FC 13 12 33 19 57 Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (39 - 33); result rounded up Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Mf Jake Brooks Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Ethan Duckworth Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Jake Brooks Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Nuno Fita Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Charles Hopkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Charles Hopkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Charles Hopkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Sean Boyle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Charles Hopkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CHASETOWN FC 0 - CLEVEDON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
hard one to predict this
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 01/26 - 1:44 PM
Could be close, hoping to scrape through
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/26 - 7:16 PM
Home team has won last five meetings in this series so I'm not giving us a great chance here.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 01/26 - 9:03 PM
Robbed!
Paul (Chasetown FC) 01/27 - 8:15 PM
Yeah, we definitely performed the old smash and grab here.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 01/28 - 5:16 PM