Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 10

Why Do I Care?

Columbia Crazy Tomatoes

Steve Turner

(H)
at Portland

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

Columbia leads series 19-8

Match Comments

I could be wrong but I think if we both play T7 there is no difference in the overall skills. Question is whether Portlands far superior setter is enough to overcome our small advantages at other positions.

Steve (Columbia) Oct 06 - 4:26 PM

I’ve always thought Setters are overrated. My best season, when I won the Nats, my top rated Setter was only level 13.

Roger (Pekin) Oct 07 - 1:30 PM

I’d be very happy for Antoine to prove me wrong though!

Roger (Pekin) Oct 07 - 1:31 PM

The match is at our place. Our setter will have to live up to his reputation (…and I’m praying he will be)

Antoine (Portland) Oct 07 - 4:03 PM

Well the good news is that my Setter's SET rating is only 1 less than Portland's, and all the extra points are for abilities that are much less important.

Steve (Columbia) Oct 10 - 6:12 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Columbia			Portland
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
87.00	A-	Libero		B	79.75
95.88	A+	Middle Blockers		A	91.38
90.25	A	Outside Hitters		B+	85.63
97.25	A+	Right Side		A-	87.00
88.50	A-	Setter		A+	94.75
		Skills Prediction

	27 MATCHES
19	WINS	8
10	HOME	5
8	AWAY	2
1	NEUTRAL	1

Columbia		Portland
#2	ELO Rank	#4

1,657.76	ELO Rating	1,638.92 (+145)

32.2%	ELO Winning Chance	67.8%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.437 3rd	ATTACK PCT	.420 5th
14.11 1st	KILLS PER SET	13.55 6th
.876 3rd	SERVE PCT	.861 18th
1.77 6th	ACES PER SET	1.49 18th
.624 2nd	ASSIST PCT	.586 7th
13.69 1st	ASSISTS PER SET	13 8th
4.58 6th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.52 9th
6.5 16th	DIGS PER SET	6.08 31st
.930 1st	RECEIVE PCT	.910 27th
2.223 3rd	PASSER RATING	2.147 23rd

	TOP TWO
Kelso (OH) 326 Fletcher (RS) 228	KILLS	Marshall (RS) 321 Giannelli (MB) 307
Mata (MB) .589 Kelso (OH) .581	ATTACK PCT	Giannelli (MB) .651 Marshall (RS) .524
Rezende (S) 906 Labonte (S) 521	ASSISTS	Miner (S) 1246 Noble (S) 401
Wheeler (MB) 35 Rezende (S) 29	ACES	McCormick (OH) 43 Giannelli (MB) 31
Wheeler (MB) 77 Mata (MB) 76	BLOCKS	Giannelli (MB) 115 Grossi (MB) 86
Stover (L) 133 Christiansen (L) 110	DIGS	Margutti (L) 137 Marshall (RS) 103
Christiansen (L) 2.44 Hinata (L) 2.38	PASSER RTG	McCormick (OH) 2.34 Mader (OH) 2.24

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
10.		Niko Stover Junior B 2.25 Passer Rating 2.15 Digs Per Set	6.80

#	TOP SETTERS	Rtg
2.	Lucas Rezende Junior B+ 13.13 Assists Per Set 2.01 Service Pts Per Set	8.46
3.	Jake Miner Senior A 12.85 Assists Per Set 1.65 Service Pts Per Set	8.41

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.	Brendan Marshall Soph. B+ 3.57 Kills Per Set 0.76 Blocks Per Set	7.72
7.	Austin Fletcher Senior A 3.12 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	7.16

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
2.	Lorenzo Giannelli Junior A 1.19 Blocks Per Set 3.16 Kills Per Set	8.21
5.	Kole Wheeler Senior A 1.03 Blocks Per Set 2.81 Kills Per Set	7.92

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	3	-	0	25-21	26-21	25-14			Big 8	1	-	0
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	8-25	23-25			Big 8	2	-	0
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	9-25	15-25			Big 8	3	-	0
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	3	-	0	25-12	25-18	25-16			Big 8	4	-	0
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	17-25			Big 8	5	-	0
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	3	-	1	23-25	25-17	25-23	25-21		Big 8	6	-	0
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	3	-	0	25-13	25-23	25-13			Big 8	7	-	0
8	44	May 05, 2023	2	-	3	25-27	25-23	25-23	23-25	9-15	Big 8	8	-	0
9	1	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	20-25	12-25			Big 8	8	-	1
9	10	Jun 18, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	10-25			Big 8	9	-	1
10	8	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	21-25	25-23	23-25		Big 8	10	-	1
10	34	Nov 12, 2023	3	-	2	25-15	23-25	19-25	26-24	15-13	Big 8	11	-	1
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	2	-	3	25-18	25-15	20-25	20-25	11-15	Big 8	11	-	2
11	27	Feb 05, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	20-25			Big 8 Tournament11-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	11	-	3
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	0	-	3	17-25	20-25	23-25			Big 8	12	-	3
11	42	Feb 25, 2024	1	- (n)	3	20-25	27-29	25-22	21-25		National Championship11-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	12	-	4
12	8	May 12, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	27-25	25-22			Big 8	13	-	4
12	34	Jun 30, 2024	3	-	0	25-17	25-18	25-23			Big 8	13	-	5
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	27-25			Big 8	14	-	5
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	16-25	9-25			Big 8	15	-	5
14	8	Dec 29, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	13-25	15-25			Big 8	16	-	5
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	16-25	12-25			Big 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	17	-	5
14	34	Feb 23, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-15	25-17			Big 8	18	-	5
15	8	Jun 22, 2025	1	-	3	25-23	14-25	19-25	17-25		Big 8	18	-	6
15	19	Jul 13, 2025	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	17-25	23-25		Big 8 Tournament15-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	18	-	7
15	34	Aug 10, 2025	3	-	0	25-20	25-22	25-19			Big 8	18	-	8
15	45	Aug 24, 2025	2	- (n)	3	23-25	24-26	25-15	25-19	11-15	TMVL Cup	19	-	8
16	14	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	25-27	27-29	23-25			Big 8	19	-	9
16	27	Nov 02, 2025	1	-	3	25-22	23-25	23-25	17-25		Big 8 Tournament16-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	20	-	9
16	44	Nov 30, 2025	2	-	3	22-25	20-25	25-23	25-22	11-15	Big 8	21	-	9

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.