Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

National Championship Quarterfinals

Bracket Link | Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(N)
Neutral Court

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

Mat-Su leads series 20-16

Match Comments

The stats look good but the Moose’s normally have our number.

Andy (Denali) Apr 06 - 12:50 PM

Well, either way the Pac-8 will have a representative in the semis but I don't think the odds are that it will be the Moose.

Bryce (Mat-Su) Apr 12 - 1:04 AM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Denali
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.00	A-	Libero		B+	83.25
87.63	A-	Middle Blockers		A	91.63
83.13	B+	Outside Hitters		A-	86.13
86.50	A-	Right Side		A-	86.50
94.00	A+	Setter		A-	87.00
		Skills Prediction

	36 MATCHES
20	WINS	16
13	HOME	14
4	AWAY	2
3	NEUTRAL	0

Mat-Su		Denali
#19	ELO Rank	#11

1,466.52	ELO Rating	1,555.10

39.9%	ELO Winning Chance	60.1%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.336 23rd	ATTACK PCT	.426 6th
12.59 23rd	KILLS PER SET	13.60 6th
.857 21st	SERVE PCT	.871 5th
1.37 25th	ACES PER SET	1.62 14th
.54 22nd	ASSIST PCT	.584 11th
12.2 23rd	ASSISTS PER SET	13.13 8th
3.74 26th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.42 7th
6.16 25th	DIGS PER SET	7.02 3rd
.915 21st	RECEIVE PCT	.916 20th
2.186 10th	PASSER RATING	2.141 26th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 342 Noble (OH) 219	KILLS	Suarez (OH) 270 Palma (OH) 266
Brewer (RS) .513 Noble (OH) .470	ATTACK PCT	Suarez (OH) .571 Mesquita (MB) .570
Brandenburg (S) 952 Neale (S) 332	ASSISTS	Savage (S) 789 van den Bergh (S) 782
Brandenburg (S) 27 Lokensgard (L) 25	ACES	Suarez (OH) 32 Powell (MB) 28
Townsend (MB) 73 Bartoli (MB) 63	BLOCKS	Dunne (MB) 82 Mesquita (MB) 65
Lokensgard (L) 159 Brewer (RS) 95	DIGS	Matthews (L) 134 Biggs (OH) 107
Noble (OH) 2.39 Thorne (L) 2.26	PASSER RTG	Matthews (L) 2.35 Suarez (OH) 2.30

#	TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
10.	Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.22 Passer Rating 2.21 Digs Per Set	6.64
11.	Carlos Matthews Junior B- 2.35 Passer Rating 1.74 Digs Per Set	6.61

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.		Dave Brewer Junior B 4.22 Kills Per Set 0.62 Blocks Per Set	7.71

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
9.		Erik Powell Senior A 0.80 Blocks Per Set 3.01 Kills Per Set	7.54

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	10-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	1	-	3	15-25	25-22	19-25	15-25		Pac 8	1	-	1
5	19	May 14, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	23-25	25-21	27-25	12-15	Pac 8 Tournament5-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	2	-	1
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	13-25	20-25			Pac 8	3	-	1
6	19	Sep 03, 2022	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	13-25			Pac 8 Tournament6-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	4	-	1
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	25-22	20-25	24-26	13-15	Pac 8	4	-	2
7	1	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	4	-	3
7	10	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	19-25			Pac 8	5	-	3
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	3	-	2	25-21	16-25	22-25	25-23	15-10	Pac 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	3
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	1	-	3	25-14	25-27	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	6	-	4
8	44	May 05, 2023	3	-	0	25-18	25-23	31-29			Pac 8	6	-	5
9	5	Jun 04, 2023	3	-	2	15-25	25-21	25-23	21-25	16-14	Pac 8	7	-	5
9	27	Jul 16, 2023	3	-	1	25-17	19-25	25-22	28-26		Pac 8 Tournament9-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	8	-	5
9	39	Aug 06, 2023	2	-	3	27-29	20-25	25-22	25-20	10-15	Pac 8	9	-	5
10	5	Sep 17, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	17-25	22-25	14-25		Pac 8	9	-	6
10	39	Nov 19, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	10	-	6
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	11	-	6
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	0	-	3	23-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	11	-	7
12	4	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	13-25	23-25	20-25			Pac 8	11	-	8
12	13	May 27, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	14-25	23-25			Pac 8	12	-	8
13	8	Sep 29, 2024	1	-	3	26-24	16-25	21-25	19-25		Pac 8	13	-	8
13	34	Nov 17, 2024	1	-	3	25-27	25-23	23-25	27-29		Pac 8	13	-	9
13	37	Nov 17, 2024	1	- (n)	3	19-25	20-25	25-16	16-25		National Championship13-37Quarterfinals National Championship	14	-	9
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	19-25	13-25			Pac 8	15	-	9
14	40	Mar 02, 2025	3	- (n)	1	28-26	25-27	25-19	25-22		TMVL Cup	16	-	9
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	17-25			Pac 8	16	-	10
15	1	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	25-16	25-20			Pac 8	16	-	11
15	10	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	16	-	12
15	27	Jul 27, 2025	3	-	1	18-25	25-18	25-20	27-25		Pac 8 Tournament15-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	17	-	12
15	42	Aug 17, 2025	3	- (n)	2	23-25	25-19	29-27	23-25	15-13	National Championship15-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	18	-	12
16	4	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	10-25			Pac 8	19	-	12
16	13	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	15-25			Pac 8	19	-	13
16	19	Oct 19, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	25-23	19-25	20-25		Pac 8 Tournament16-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	19	-	14
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	20	-	14
17	23	Mar 22, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8 Tournament17-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	20	-	15
17	29	Apr 05, 2026	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	18-25			Pac 8	20	-	16
17	37	Apr 12, 2026	0	- (n)	3	23-25	19-25	16-25			National Championship17-37Quarterfinals National Championship	20	-	17

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.