Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Antioch Anglerfish

Rob Peterson

(H)
at Kentucky

Kentucky Panthers

Matthew Fowler

Antioch leads series 13-10

Match Comments

An away match with only a 33% chance of wining per ELO... welp, we know which match we're going to phone it in.

Rob (Antioch) Sep 15 - 4:18 PM

I'll believe the percentages when they prove right. All the best Rob

Matthew (Kentucky) Sep 19 - 10:48 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Antioch			Kentucky
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.00	B+	Libero		A	90.25
89.00	A-	Middle Blockers		A-	86.88
79.13	B	Outside Hitters		B-	75.25
89.25	A-	Right Side		B	80.25
83.50	B+	Setter		B	80.50
		Skills Prediction

	23 MATCHES
13	WINS	10
10	HOME	8
3	AWAY	2
0	NEUTRAL	0

Antioch		Kentucky
#27	ELO Rank	#28

1,408.57	ELO Rating	1,397.85 (+145)

30.9%	ELO Winning Chance	69.1%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.325 22nd	ATTACK PCT	.267 31st
12.59 20th	KILLS PER SET	11.49 31st
.859 22nd	SERVE PCT	.85 29th
1.38 23rd	ACES PER SET	1.17 30th
.53 22nd	ASSIST PCT	.482 30th
12.21 20th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.22 30th
3.88 27th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.53 8th
6.44 20th	DIGS PER SET	6.83 8th
.920 17th	RECEIVE PCT	.910 28th
2.156 20th	PASSER RATING	2.094 32nd

	TOP TWO
Biederman (OH) 312 Pointdexter (RS) 225	KILLS	Kerr (OH) 207 Poulsen (RS) 178
Biederman (OH) .502 Wallner (MB) .475	ATTACK PCT	Hibbard (MB) .527 Kerr (OH) .401
Cook (S) 773 Schott (S) 374	ASSISTS	de Souza (S) 636 Percival (S) 370
Biederman (OH) 34 Cook (S) 27	ACES	de Souza (S) 23 Heine (OH) 15
Mostow (MB) 68 Kieffer (MB) 54	BLOCKS	Gabriel (OH) 62 Hibbard (MB) 56
Bottolo (L) 165 Hudson (OH) 99	DIGS	Santana (L) 108 Kerr (OH) 80
Biederman (OH) 2.38 De Giorgi (OH) 2.32	PASSER RTG	Santana (L) 2.34 Knauer (L) 2.30

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
10.		Cam Biederman Senior B+ 3.95 Kills Per Set 2.38 Passer Rating	7.54

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	1	Apr 09, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	14-25	9-25			SEC	1	-	0
5	10	Apr 30, 2022	1	-	3	25-20	15-25	17-25	18-25		SEC	1	-	1
6	5	Aug 06, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	19-25	23-25			SEC	2	-	1
6	39	Oct 08, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	20-25	26-28			SEC	2	-	2
7	8	Dec 03, 2022	1	-	3	13-25	18-25	32-30	10-25		SEC	3	-	2
7	34	Jan 21, 2023	1	-	3	19-25	24-26	25-23	19-25		SEC	3	-	3
8	12	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	14-25	16-25			William G. Morgan Cup8-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	4	-	3
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	1	-	3	25-27	25-19	20-25	24-26		SEC	4	-	4
8	44	May 05, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	17-25	21-25			SEC	5	-	4
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	16-25	18-25			SEC	5	-	5
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	10-25	17-25			SEC	6	-	5
10	8	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	20-25	25-21	23-25	21-25		SEC	7	-	5
10	34	Nov 12, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	23-25	24-26	22-25		SEC	7	-	6
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	18-25	17-25			SEC	7	-	7
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	0	-	3	18-25	17-25	20-25			SEC	8	-	7
12	14	May 27, 2024	3	-	1	25-22	18-25	25-15	25-19		SEC	9	-	7
12	44	Jul 14, 2024	3	-	2	19-25	25-21	25-21	16-25	15-12	SEC	9	-	8
13	2	Sep 15, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	15-25	15-25			SEC	9	-	9
13	11	Oct 06, 2024	0	-	3	19-25	20-25	13-25			SEC	10	-	9
14	2	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	2	21-25	25-21	27-25	11-25	15-10	SEC	11	-	9
14	11	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	15-25	15-25			SEC	12	-	9
15	7	Jun 22, 2025	3	-	2	25-23	19-25	25-18	18-25	15-10	SEC	13	-	9
15	29	Aug 03, 2025	3	-	0	26-24	26-24	25-22			SEC	13	-	10
16	5	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	11-25	17-25	15-25			SEC	13	-	11
16	39	Nov 23, 2025	2	-	3	24-26	25-23	25-21	12-25	8-15	SEC	14	-	11

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.