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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mateo Romano           11    0   11     Gk Jay Hussain            15    2   17
Sw Paul MacKenzie         11    1   12     Df Martin Kennedy         14    2   16
Df Eoin O'Neal            11    1   12     Df Thomas McIntyre         7    1    8
Df Gilberto Medina        10    1   11     Df Mason Shaw              3    2    5
Df Andrea De Luca          7    2    9     Mf Noah Young             13    1   14
Mf Coll Wilson            14    0   14     Mf William Carney         12    2   14
Mf Callum Davies          11    0   11     Mf Mons Nygård             7    0    7
Mf Algenon White          11    1   12     Mf Owen Roberts            7    2    9
Mf Morgan Moore            5    2    7     Fw Sean Moore             12    2   14
Fw Rob Ramsey             12    0   12     Mf Jose Ramon Marquez      9    2   11
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz      12    0   12     Fw Agustin Martínez        7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 12 32 44 24        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 29 55 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  1  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 12 37 48 28         T O T A L S       17  0 29 55 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.33 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.56 (no red card)

Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.87 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.76 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.36 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.99 (no second yellow)

Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.44 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.78 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.67 (no red card)

Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.34 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.63 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.17 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.0 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.74 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.25 (no red card)

Mf Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.04 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.2 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.84 (no injury) 
Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.12 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.3 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Coll Wilson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.67 (no injury) 
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.57 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.46 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Df Martin Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.1 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.74 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.61 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.36 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Mf Jose Ramon Marquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.0 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Coll Wilson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 15

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Kennedy SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 11

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              11  12  37  48  28
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  29  55  23

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 29)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((48 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Eoin O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Eoin O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Eoin O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Eoin O'Neal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Gilberto Medina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  29  55  23
  Mossley AFC              11  12  37  48  28

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 37)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((55 - 48) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jose Ramon Marquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jose Ramon Marquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 1  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Gonna be a tough home fixture
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/17 - 9:52 PM
 
 
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