(H)
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
Boston United
Rob Peterson
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CHASETOWN FC BOSTON UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Canute Thorsen 16 0 16 Gk Morgan James 15 2 17 Sw Harley Hanny 12 0 12 Sw Linus Lehmann 9 2 11 Df Arno Christiaens 14 0 14 Df Julian Koch 13 0 13 Df Alexander Kerr 7 0 7 Df Fabio Dalla Cort 10 2 12 Fw Luis Guerrero 11 0 11 Df Simon Khan 8 2 10 Mf Aaron Jackson 8 -1 7 Mf Claudio Ferrari 14 1 15 Mf Leor Chadad 7 2 9 Mf Rob Fuller 10 0 10 Fw Scott Shaw 14 0 14 Fw Carrington Wilkins 14 0 14 Fw Ryan Clemence 14 0 14 Fw Shay Holland 11 0 11 Fw Julius Evensen 14 -2 12 Fw Nicolás Rojas 9 2 11 Fw Aaron Martin 4 2 6 Fw Sebastian Colombo 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 12 21 16 57 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 35 25 46 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 12 23 20 60 T O T A L S 17 11 35 25 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.77 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card) Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.12 (no red card) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.74 (no red card) Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.75 (no red card) Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.9 (no red card) Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.49 (no red card) Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.1 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.29 (no second yellow) Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.32 (no red card) Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.01 (no red card) Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card) Fw Aaron Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.39 (no red card) ******* BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.54 (no red card) Sw Linus Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card) Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.75 (no red card) Df Fabio Dalla Cort: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.37 (no red card) Df Simon Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card) Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.54 (no red card) Mf Rob Fuller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.54 (no red card) Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.3 (no red card) Fw Shay Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.45 (no red card) Fw Nicolás Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.69 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.81 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - Boston United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Canute Thorsen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.89 (no injury) Sw Harley Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.32 (no injury) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no injury) Df Alexander Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.04 (no injury) Mf Aaron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no injury) Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.46 (no injury) Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.96 (no injury) Fw Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.16 (no injury) Fw Julius Evensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.64 (no injury) Fw Aaron Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.37 (no injury) ******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Boston United Team Hardness = 0 - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.94 (no injury) Sw Linus Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.5 (no injury) Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.9 (no injury) Df Fabio Dalla Cort: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.23 (no injury) Df Simon Khan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.25 (no injury) Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.51 (no injury) Mf Rob Fuller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.5 (no injury) Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no injury) Fw Shay Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no injury) Fw Nicolás Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.2 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.25 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Arno Christiaens SL 14 - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 15 intRndPk = 42 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Claudio Ferrari SL 14 - Defending Gk: Canute Thorsen SL 16 intRndPk = 83 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chasetown FC 16 12 23 20 60 Boston United 17 11 35 25 46 Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 25 (60 - 35); result rounded up Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Ryan Clemence Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Julius Evensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) ******* BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Boston United 17 11 35 25 46 Chasetown FC 16 12 23 20 60 Boston United Fw Attacks = 23 (46 - 23); result rounded up Boston United Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Boston United Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Mf Claudio Ferrari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Rob Fuller Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 62.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Claudio Ferrari Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 89.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nicolás Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 61.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Nicolás Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 42.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Shay Holland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 26: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CHASETOWN FC 1 - BOSTON UNITED 3
Match Notes
#10 vs #2... and we're away. UGH.
Rob (Boston United) 03/02 - 2:02 AM
Dreadful record against Boston, hoping to improve it a little here
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/02 - 11:39 AM
Well played, Rob!
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/02 - 8:07 PM
The numbers indicated a draw was likely. It really could have gone either way.
Rob (Boston United) 03/09 - 3:09 PM
Good match Paul!
Rob (Boston United) 03/09 - 3:09 PM