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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Martin Denis           15    2   17     Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18
Sw William Lewis          10    2   12     Sw Arran Wood             13    1   14
Df Aidan O'Neil           13    1   14     Df David Beerman          13    2   15
Df Benjamin Newton        12    2   14     Df Tom Cole               12    2   14
Df Lennard Richter        10    2   12     Df Eirik Strand            8    2   10
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      13    2   15     Mf Billy Garcia           11    2   13
Mf Lewis Smith            13    2   15     Mf Jesse Burns            11    2   13
Mf Luis Schmidt            8    2   10     Fw Tom Beerman            15    2   17
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15     Fw David Sundberg         13    2   15
Fw Blair Munro            13    2   15     Fw Tom Parry              13    2   15
Fw John Coppell           16    1   17     Fw Nicola Marino          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 12 40 40 47        ROSTER TOTALS      18 14 39 26 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 12 40 40 56         T O T A L S       18 14 39 26 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Martin Denis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.72 (no red card)

Sw William Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.66 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.27 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.88 (no red card)

Df Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.47 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.04 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.34 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.64 (no red card)

Fw Blair Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.35 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.69 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.39 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.21 (no red card)

Df David Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.3 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.77 (no red card)

Df Eirik Strand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.05 (no red card)

Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.31 (no red card)

Mf Jesse Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.43 (no red card)

Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.79 (no red card)

Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.1 (no red card)

Fw Tom Parry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.21 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Martin Denis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.72 (no injury) 
Sw William Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.23 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.49 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.05 (no injury) 
Df Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.55 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.26 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.98 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.34 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury) 
Df David Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.93 (no injury) 
Df Eirik Strand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.25 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jesse Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.08 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no injury) 
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Parry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.97 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Coppell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Beerman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Martin Denis SL 15

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  40  40  56
  York City FC             18  14  39  26  60

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 17 (56 - 39); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((40 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw John Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Blair Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             18  14  39  26  60
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  12  40  40  56

York City FC Fw Attacks = 20 (60 - 40); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Beerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw David Sundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Tom Parry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  YORK CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
We usually lose to JT. Today will repeat that pattern.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/09 - 1:30 AM
Up the Beavers.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/09 - 3:04 AM
 
 
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